Time to start somewhere - My picks

[orhane]

Hi everyone,

been a silent reader in this forum for a while. I think it is time trying to contribute something to the community here.
I want to keep record of my picks and discuss the development with the guys around here.
So let's get started.

Picks for 6.12.2013

NFL houston over 42,5	1 unit	1,97
NCAAB providence -7	1 unit	1,95
NCAAB san diego state -6	1 unit	1,93

Good luck everyone.

[Dirty Sanchez]

Never fukkin heard of ya pal

[vividjohn45]

Dont mean shit to me without a write up. But some guys happy to drop cash without knowing why they like that team

[orhane]

Just more to add:

NFL houston -3

1 unit

1,87

[orhane]

Ok i created a database with line movement and public opinion for the sat 10 years. Depending on trends in each sport you can see patterns. I use these patterns to fade or tail public opinion based on bookies reaction.
For the NFL I recognized that when the Line is 43 or lower, the probability for over on the public trend increases.
So if the public goes over and the line is below I tail it.

[vividjohn45]

Even one sentence helps like my nuts are tingling gives me a better grip on the play

[vividjohn45]

Ex. Hstn -3. My nuts tingle.

[orhane]

The System for Overs (43 and below) created 468 winners and 355 losses in the NFL for the last 7 years

[vividjohn45]

Ok i created a database with line movement and public opinion for the sat 10 years. Depending on trends in each sport you can see patterns. I use these patterns to fade or tail public opinion based on bookies reaction.
For the NFL I recognized that when the Line is 43 or lower, the probability for over on the public trend increases.
So if the public goes over and the line is below I tail it.

not sure i follow that. Im listening

[vividjohn45]

Just so u know ill never take a play of urs. But ill listen

[vividjohn45]

I Dont understand wat u said. Is the public on the ov 43 so u play that?

[vividjohn45]

The System for Overs (43 and below) created 468 winners and 355 losses in the NFL for the last 7 years

then ur rich. Nice system then. Congrats

[orhane]

Just so u know ill never take a play of urs. But ill listen

my main goal is to keep record in public and try to optimize the selection criteria.
i bet straight by the numbers. no expert in any sport at all.

[vividjohn45]

Initiaaly if u said systm plays id let u alone. Thats ur bad. Gl with ur system ill move on

[orhane]

then ur rich. Nice system then. Congrats

wish i would be by now. i started 1 year avon with building a program of record keeping and monitoring market movement.
Now i rely on statistical analysis.

[vividjohn45]

Well gl. I prefer one play at a time.

[steel26]

So do you go with all sports or just nfl?

[orhane]

nba, nfl, ncaaf, ncaab, mlb
nhl is to hard to predict for me.

[orhane]

1 win and 3 losses to start with.
more will follow.

[jjgold]

These threads are hilarious

[orhane]

Did I do something wrong?

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Yeah ....u lost

[Russian Rocket]

1 win and 3 losses to start with.
more will follow.

Did I do something wrong?

don't worry about losing...keep on posting your plays.

gl!

[jjgold]

Orhane no the threads are just funny

we all lose but we talk like we are fukkin specialists in certain sports

Orphy call me

[RollinDo]

Orhane no the threads are just funny

we all lose but we talk like we are fukkin specialists in certain sports

Orphy call me

Totally agree JJ. You are a funny guy sometimes!
But true that most of us sound like we got it all "figered" out, yet most of us lose more than win.

b.t.w. - never gonna tail ya again with a ML pick with -500 juice EVER AGAIN!!!
But I tend to agree with a lot of your picks.

[orhane]

Sorry a bit late, but here are key new selections for tonight.

NBA	8	oklahoma city -5	1 unit	1,93
NBA	9	la lakers +4	1 unit	1,97
NBA	9	orlando +5,5	1 unit	1,93
NCAAB	21	manhattan -9,5	1 unit	1,94
NCAAB	20	arizona st.under 150	1 unit	1,91
NCAAB	20	south carolina under 151,5	1 unit	2,00

good luck everyone

[Heandog]

Good luck with the Plays don't listen to the other moron i dont see him posting plays.

[jjgold]

Orphy where are you from??

[dnwjdl]

Good luck, pal! Just do your thing!

[orhane]

I am from Germany. Thanks for the nice wishes. I will try to keep it going. Maybe it will lead to something good. We will see.
Main problem is the difference of Time Zones.

[orhane]

5 W - 1 L last night
overall 6-4 and +1,72 units profit. hope there will be more

[orhane]

07.12.13

NBA

8

la clippers -6

1 unit

2,02

new pick for tonight. good luck everyone

[AllOfYouLose]

Good shit keep it up orhane, ill tail along

[Hakki77]

I am also from Germany,
loosing a bet is part of our hobby

Do your thing

[orhane]

Clippers lost
6 W - 5 L
Tomorrow more with some nice NFL picks i hope.
+0,72 units