Falcons+9 is an auto bet on Thursday night

[ByeShea]

Have you followed the Jaguars this year ???? Believe it or not they are in the NFL

They also cover nicely in nationally broadcast games.

Players can get their sh*t together enough to almost win games, happens all the time. I like Atlanta at home in the short week vs. division rivals, getting all those points.

NO has already shown they will limit Jimmy Graham's play (whether winning or losing) to nurse his foot along. I doubt they'll be trying to force the ball to Colston either.

I'm not saying ATL wins outright, just that there's a lot of sane reasons to back them.

[shade3599]

this game is over by halftime. saints blow them out of the water

[Joey Blaze]

Division rivals or not I would be cautious to take the falcons at even +12 here.. they have fail written all over them

[bubblebuttluv]

They also cover nicely in nationally broadcast games.

Players can get their sh*t together enough to almost win games, happens all the time. I like Atlanta at home in the short week vs. division rivals, getting all those points.

NO has already shown they will limit Jimmy Graham's play (whether winning or losing) to nurse his foot along. I doubt they'll be trying to force the ball to Colston either.

I'm not saying ATL wins outright, just that there's a lot of sane reasons to back them.

Brees could choose to use any of his weapons and still bash the Falcons.

Though their offense without Julio and with that shitty O-Line has looked awful, the worst part about the Falcons is their pathetic defense.

[pavyracer]

If you think the Falcons can cover +9 you might as well bet the ML. Because they haven't covered ATS in any game they were dogs. So if they cover the +9 it will be because they won the game.

[Big Bear]

the Falcons are really bad in many areas of their game.

the only real strength is Matt Ryan to Roddy White and Matt Ryan to Tony Gonzalez

But the thing is the Falcons offensive line doesnt give Matt Ryan enough time to throw.

[BIGDAY]

If you think the Falcons can cover +9 you might as well bet the ML. Because they haven't covered ATS in any game they were dogs. So if they cover the +9 it will be because they won the game.

Was going to say the same thing.

If they keep it with in a score you may as well have some on the ML as there would be some value there in a game winning drive.

That being said, I think Saints crush em. Lol

[pavyracer]

Was going to say the same thing.

If they keep it with in a score you may as well have some on the ML as there would be some value there in a game winning drive.

That being said, I think Saints crush em. Lol

I'm not betting the Falcons. It makes more sense to risk less on ML than taking the points.

[calven]

Public money is so lopsided on this in favor of the saints at +8 its sickening. More often than not public money gets crushed from my experience. On the flipside, how can anyone believe in the falcons though @ 2-8 with the last 4 games being double digit losses. If you made me pick one way Id take saints -8 and go with the crowd here. I think this could easily be a blowout....

[icsky3]

I wouldn't bet the Saints tonight just because all you fukks are on them ;P. Kidding, you're not fukks... but have you all read what you're saying? The books know the Falcons "suck" too. Why set it at 9? Or even 10. Hmph. BOL to you all!

[You mad bro]

so pretty much everyone on here is on the saints huh

[sneakerhead]

No play. Pt set up for a burial it seems.
Thursday nights are shady as is
hope you fuks win, will look for angles live

[brewcrew2k]

Bookmaker won't move the line, its still stuck at +7.5, you can heavily Juice it up to +10. What does that tell you??

[suicidekings]

Public money is so lopsided on this in favor of the saints at +8 its sickening. More often than not public money gets crushed from my experience. On the flipside, how can anyone believe in the falcons though @ 2-8 with the last 4 games being double digit losses. If you made me pick one way Id take saints -8 and go with the crowd here. I think this could easily be a blowout....

Heavy imbalance on the side does not necessarily mean the public is on that side while the sharps are on the other. Sometimes the books can only make a line so big without completely stepping away from what their metrics say the fair line should be, especially in a divisional matchup like this one with a history of close games.

I'm leaning the same as you, towards a blowout. Saints -8 or the TT Over 30.5 seems appealing.

[innovation]

If I was going to play I would take the points.

Saint will see these guys twice every year and you don't rub salt in the wounds because Karma is a biatch

[bringdownthehous]

I see ATL down to 8.5 now...is that worth taking note of? or the books just trying to even it out...seems odd considering I havn't seen anyone except the creator of the thread on atl lol

[allabout the $$$]

saints big lead = pierre thomas over 48.5 rushing yards

[gshock1]

7.5 and juiced towards ATL. Weird

[psufan]

Line movements should only be used to justify your pick or get a better line. Lol that was ambiguous. Anyhow, Saints -7.5 is what's up.

[Rainman10]

Double-digit home dogs in the NFL hit like 66% of time. I'll take the points every time.

It was +9.5 last night, and I bought the point to get +10. Feeling pretty good about it.

[tatddy]

Sproles and j Evans out. Can't hurt. Gl

[k13]

Brees better not choke for my must win game in fantasy.

ML has dropped big, I'll pass on this game.

[Conan]

im in for saints -9

[kfranz31]

easy money

[ByeShea]

so pretty much everyone on here is on the saints huh

I took the Falcons tonight.

Cornerbacks could only wish to have the short memories some on this board have.

I distinctly remember a whole lot of Bengals noise on this board (had just KILLED the Jets) when they were visiting the Dolphins only two weeks ago.

I think the Redskins killing the Vikings was a given, too.

Anyway SBR = crowd = square. Week in and week out, no one learns.

[JamesBrown]

Atl is the play tonight for me. I see a 4 ish point loss. On it large. Hate taking shitty teams but this one stood out so I had to grab it.

[k13]

So Saints would be -16 at home, retarded.

They suck.

[Rainman10]

Well my +10 is looking good so far

[Joey Blaze]

this was an unexpected start to the game

[easyliving]

ridiculous no call on that hit on matt ryan

[jjgold]

so far so good

Atl hanging in there

Saints flat

[rcene]

Looking good. Saints look like shit.

[easyliving]

never in doubt

[BIGDAY]

Nice hit pal.

[jjgold]