Messing around with a new System

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  • COdoubleBizzle
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-11-13
    • 668

    #1
    Messing around with a new System
    Not betting this week, just some picks to test out my system lets see if they would hit. Takes into accoutn a O lien Rating, D line Rating, SoS, average margin per game, and home vs road bias.

    Picks this week:

    all depends where the lines fall
    (spread depicts where I think each game should be snatched up at)
    (if game falls between the two values I'd stay away)

    TB +10 Detroit -6.5
    KC -2.5 SD +5
    Car -2.5 Miami +5
    Wash +5 SF -2.5
  • steel26
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-14-12
    • 53

    #2
    Thats a pretty big variance.. Let me see if I get you if the line falls between +10 and -6.5 stay away?
    Comment
    • COdoubleBizzle
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-11-13
      • 668

      #3
      Originally posted by steel26
      Thats a pretty big variance.. Let me see if I get you if the line falls between +10 and -6.5 stay away?

      yes that's what i meant

      TB Covered
      SD Covered
      Carolina at -2.5 covered and Miami at 5
      With the injury news I would suggest that the niners will cover at anything up to 6.5 for sure

      definitely will put into action next week
      Comment
      • COdoubleBizzle
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-11-13
        • 668

        #4
        First official bet with this system 49ers teased to -3 at -155, 1 unit bet.
        This seems like a trap game with all the money out there on SF, I would usually pound the money line hard on this one, but something seems up
        Comment
        • VegasInsider
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-12-10
          • 14593

          #5
          You mean you BOUGHT the game to -3

          You cannot TEASE only one game..
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            CODY how is it going ???
            Comment
            • COdoubleBizzle
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-11-13
              • 668

              #7
              Originally posted by VegasInsider
              You mean you BOUGHT the game to -3

              You cannot TEASE only one game..
              You can on 5dimes, alternative point spreads man, not a teaser persay but the line is teased down for different amounts of juice.
              Basically I think the niners will win by more than a FG, but it's monday night and things get weird. Plus this pays -80 more than the money line with less risk than the awkward 5 number.
              Comment
              • COdoubleBizzle
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-11-13
                • 668

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                CODY how is it going ???
                my user name spells COBB, my last name lol
                Comment
                • COdoubleBizzle
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-11-13
                  • 668

                  #9
                  1-0 UP .75 UNITS with new system

                  posting picks Wednesday after I crunch some numbers
                  Comment
                  • COdoubleBizzle
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-11-13
                    • 668

                    #10
                    Thanksgiving Picks

                    GB +7
                    Dallas -7
                    Balt -2.5
                    Comment
                    • COdoubleBizzle
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-11-13
                      • 668

                      #11
                      all 1 unit plays, but if you were to play a 2 unit play id put it on balt
                      Comment
                      • COdoubleBizzle
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-11-13
                        • 668

                        #12
                        Also hoping on NCAAF Texas -4 (not a system play)
                        Comment
                        • COdoubleBizzle
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-11-13
                          • 668

                          #13
                          0-1-1 so far
                          Comment
                          • COdoubleBizzle
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-11-13
                            • 668

                            #14
                            1-2-1 Got done dirty in the Pittsburgh game

                            total

                            2-2-1 -.5 units
                            Comment
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