Guaranteed picks (nba and nfl)

alsonlow · 11-24-13, 10:00 AM

what time will your nba picks be up?

knc42 · 11-24-13, 10:01 AM

Tamba Bay is at +7 for me. What do you think Money?

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:02 AM

Originally posted by reddZor

money can you run the jaguars v texans over under please champ?

Yes take Over 43.5...its a 4-star pick

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by alsonlow

what time will your nba picks be up?

Nba picks will be up in an hour...

reddZor · 11-24-13, 10:04 AM

could you post the best picks for the NFL please

be greatly appreciated, keep up the good work!

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by knc42

Tamba Bay is at +7 for me. What do you think Money?

At +7...it becomes a 2-star pick. Kinda risky

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by reddZor

could you post the best picks for the NFL please

be greatly appreciated, keep up the good work!

The picks I posted are the top 5 picks for the nfl today.

reddZor · 11-24-13, 10:09 AM

ok no problems cheers for that, just waiting for the NBA now

quick question moneyme.. im bit tight on funds atm, if you had to pick one or two games to bet on, what would you be most confident on, doesnt have to be the NHL can be anything.

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by reddZor

ok no problems cheers for that, just waiting for the NBA now

quick question moneyme.. im bit tight on funds atm, if you had to pick one or two games to bet on, what would you be most confident on, doesnt have to be the NHL can be anything.

I'll let you know after the I run the nba picks through the system.

reddZor · 11-24-13, 10:16 AM

ok thanks, i appreciate all the effort you put into this.

Horseck · 11-24-13, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by moneyme87

It suggests taking dallas +2.5, and over 44.5...

Which one does it say is the stronger play. Much appreciated.

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by Horseck

Which one does it say is the stronger play. Much appreciated.

Over 44...

SEAHAWKHARRY · 11-24-13, 10:41 AM

Originally posted by moneyme87

The picks I posted are the top 5 picks for the nfl today.

What were your top 5 picks?

cotes17 · 11-24-13, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by moneyme87

Hey, I'm currently re-tooling some of the variables in the system's algorithm. I think that we're close. I don't think that we would have good enough success with the -1.5 spread picks, because it would hurt my overall record, but what I think we could be really good at is the Over/under picks where I went 2-0-1 on my picks and the Grand Salami where I went 1-1 for a combined 3-1-1 record in the 2 days. So...I'm going to adjust the NHL algorithm and resume posting picks soon, but the next time I post the picks, It will be part of my record, so it's no joke.

What if you do -1 spread instead of -1.5. You get a push if they win by one but at least you don't get a loss. Maybe worth a shot to see what happens?

Noleafclover · 11-24-13, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

What were your top 5 picks?

You seriously can't be this lazy. Scroll back and look for bold. Fine, ctrl-find for chi or tb, then.

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:54 AM

NFL Sunday Picks :

Jacksonville +10
Indianapolis +3
Baltimore -3.5
CHI/STL Over 45.5
MIN/GB Over 43.5

BOL Guys...

SEAHAWKHARRY · 11-24-13, 10:57 AM

Originally posted by Noleafclover

You seriously can't be this lazy. Scroll back and look for bold. Fine, ctrl-find for chi or tb, then.

Not lazy just using smart phone and having scrolling issues...sorry bud didn't mean to upset you. Are you taking your meds.,

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 10:58 AM

One NBA pick so far...

CHI/LAC Over 193.5

As the lines move throughout the day, I'll inform you guys of any plays.

BOL everyone!

SEAHAWKHARRY · 11-24-13, 10:59 AM

Originally posted by moneyme87

NFL Sunday Picks :

Jacksonville +10
Indianapolis +3
Baltimore -3.5
CHI/STL Over 45.5
MIN/GB Over 43.5

BOL Guys...

Thanks for reposting these.

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 11:04 AM

8-3 (72.7%) for the week so far, 6-2 (75%) with NFL picks so far.

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 11:06 AM

Originally posted by reddZor

ok no problems cheers for that, just waiting for the NBA now

quick question moneyme.. im bit tight on funds atm, if you had to pick one or two games to bet on, what would you be most confident on, doesnt have to be the NHL can be anything.

The top 2 picks for today are...

CHI/STL Over 45.5
MIN/GB Over 43.5

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by cotes17

What if you do -1 spread instead of -1.5. You get a push if they win by one but at least you don't get a loss. Maybe worth a shot to see what happens?

I'll take a look and see what we come up with.

piruka111 · 11-24-13, 11:29 AM

Damn Owls

Originally posted by JayMoney24_7

Congratulations on you success my man! I don't know how units work, but I'm up $700 for the day. Would have been $1300 if Temple didn't blow their 21 point lead in the last quarter to the Conneticut Huskies of all teams.

Idk why I put $300 on Temple. Need to stick to my $100 strategy.

I feel your pain. That one game game cost me a parlay 5 teamer! They were up 21-0. The other four covered. Almost an awesome day.

pokergeek · 11-24-13, 11:40 AM

Yo man! The NBA lines are out, any NBA picks for us today?

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by pokergeek

Yo man! The NBA lines are out, any NBA picks for us today?

Yes I posted the pick over an hour ago.

CHI/LAC Over 193.5....That's the only pick so far. If the lines change and something comes up, I'll post the pick. BOL buddy.

alsonlow · 11-24-13, 11:45 AM

Money i got a question for you! Lets say the over is at 45.5. But the line drops to over 45 does that says the game is most probably going under?

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by alsonlow

Money i got a question for you! Lets say the over is at 45.5. But the line drops to over 45 does that says the game is most probably going under?

Not necessarily...The spread and over/under is not what vegas thinks the difference or score will be. It is set and moved by the betters. So for example. Vegas takes the Broncos to beat the patriots @ -2...If the majority of betters take the broncos, the line will move to -3, if the majority start to take the patriots +2, then the line moves to patriots +1 and so on. The spreads and totals move based on the betting not a prediction by vegas. So for this particular over/under, The total was at 45.5 and the majority of betters picked the under, now it's down to 45. If the majority of betters now take the over, it'll go back up to 45.5. That is how the spreads and totals are moved. If that wasn't clear enough, just let me know. Good Luck.

pokergeek · 11-24-13, 12:04 PM

Thanks man! Blindly betting NFL for the first time that's how much I trust your picks. BOL.

alsonlow · 11-24-13, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by moneyme87

Not necessarily...The spread and over/under is not what vegas thinks the difference or score will be. It is set and moved by the betters. So for example. Vegas takes the Broncos to beat the patriots @ -2...If the majority of betters take the broncos, the line will move to -3, if the majority start to take the patriots +2, then the line moves to patriots +1 and so on. The spreads and totals move based on the betting not a prediction by vegas. So for this particular over/under, The total was at 45.5 and the majority of betters picked the under, now it's down to 45. If the majority of betters now take the over, it'll go back up to 45.5. That is how the spreads and totals are moved. If that wasn't clear enough, just let me know. Good Luck.

It's clear enough!! Thanks

mrSkobratti · 11-24-13, 12:15 PM

hello money,
I appreciated very much your work on sbr,
I'm very interessed by the rating bet system and I would create a personal one...
can u help me???
I just want know how I create a rate system, what I have to study.....where I can search ..

for NFL picks, I don't like very much indianapolis+3 .... in my book H are 2.5......too short value... with H +2.5 have value play it for your system????

Thank u very much for your picks you really have done a good work, mate!!!!

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by mrSkobratti

hello money,
I appreciated very much your work on sbr,
I'm very interessed by the rating bet system and I would create a personal one...
can u help me???
I just want know how I create a rate system, what I have to study.....where I can search ..

for NFL picks, I don't like very much indianapolis+3 .... in my book H are 2.5......too short value... with H +2.5 have value play it for your system????

Thank u very much for your picks you really have done a good work, mate!!!!

the rating system was very difficult because I had to pretty much input artificial intelligence so that it can actually make decisions. there is no real way to explain it without just giving it to you. As far as the indy pick, its ok to disagree.

unique_x · 11-24-13, 12:50 PM

money, detroid pistons +2, what do you think? considering brooklyns terrible form and that deron is out

mrSkobratti · 11-24-13, 01:05 PM

yesterday Clippers risks to lose with kings from a 40-20 first time lead....very poor perfomance...
maybe fatigue for played 4games in 5 days.....
today bulls without rose sure, but top defensive team and still able to cover a 6.5H.......

for me BULLS +6.5

thoughts???

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by unique_x

money, detroid pistons +2, what do you think? considering brooklyns terrible form and that deron is out

System predicts Detroit to win...2-Star pick

moneyme87 · 11-24-13, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by mrSkobratti

yesterday Clippers risks to lose with kings from a 40-20 first time lead....very poor perfomance...
maybe fatigue for played 4games in 5 days.....
today bulls without rose sure, but top defensive team and still able to cover a 6.5H.......

for me BULLS +6.5

thoughts???

The system expects LAC to cover but only a 1-star pick so chicago might be a good play.