I see a lot of frantic bets around here lately

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  • tatddy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-02-10
    • 10779

    #1
    I see a lot of frantic bets around here lately
    See guys around here combing through pages of numbers...trying to find right angles sitting inside a circle. Not to mention being far too results oriented when a bet wins or loses.

    Some of you would be well served to take a deep breath and lay off the volume a bit. You can't chase action in this game.

    Relax and let the plays come to you. If you've got any sensibility on how these games are played your intuition will be your guide and you will wake up and see the value before your eyes.
  • downsouth
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-13-11
    • 11580

    #2
    Its all about volume. Try to average 40 plus plays a week.
    Comment
    • tatddy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-02-10
      • 10779

      #3
      Originally posted by downsouth
      Its all about volume. Try to average 40 plus plays a week.
      I'm obv not talking to you. You're way to level headed.

      When I make a post accosting the nits on Sbr you can chime in.
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #4
        Saint Tatddy bestowing his wisdom upon us. Thank you Saint Tatddy
        Comment
        • YOUNGBUCK
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-16-10
          • 6510

          #5
          Tat is the man
          Comment
          • downsouth
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-13-11
            • 11580

            #6
            Originally posted by t-wizzle
            Saint Tatddy bestowing his wisdom upon us. Thank you Saint Tatddy
            Guy is pretty useful.
            Comment
            • tatddy
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-02-10
              • 10779

              #7
              Originally posted by t-wizzle
              Saint Tatddy bestowing his wisdom upon us. Thank you Saint Tatddy
              Apparently you didn't enjoy me coming into your thread this week to pat you on the back. I'll go back to pointing our your flaws.

              You can fight the war but the war will win pal.
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #8
                Originally posted by tatddy
                Apparently you didn't enjoy me coming into your thread this week to pat you on the back. I'll go back to pointing our your flaws.

                You can fight the war but the war will win pal.

                I am messing with you bud. Relax.
                Comment
                • tatddy
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-02-10
                  • 10779

                  #9
                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                  I am messing with you bud. Relax.
                  All good man. Gl this week.
                  Comment
                  • t-wizzle
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-18-09
                    • 38099

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tatddy
                    All good man. Gl this week.

                    And you as well.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      A lot of guys have been betting on Celts although they are hanging in there more posters than less are winning so far this year we do not have any quitters here
                      Comment
                      • nikossf
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-02-10
                        • 2217

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tatddy
                        See guys around here combing through pages of numbers...trying to find right angles sitting inside a circle. Not to mention being far too results oriented when a bet wins or loses.

                        Some of you would be well served to take a deep breath and lay off the volume a bit. You can't chase action in this game.

                        Relax and let the plays come to you. If you've got any sensibility on how these games are played your intuition will be your guide and you will wake up and see the value before your eyes.


                        Chased games all up and down last week. After going on an incredible run the first 4 weeks of the nfl and college season this past week and half has been REAL shit for me!!

                        So...Im doin this exactly..Layin' off for a few days. Updating some notes, going over previous plays, checking up coming games.
                        Basically just taking a step back from actual betting and really getting back in touch with studying the games and letting the games flow.

                        Ive realized this after years of gambling. When your hot..enjoy..Because there will always come a time your gonna be doing the opposite.
                        Same with losing though.. Always comes back around.
                        Comment
                        • ThaTopMoron
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-30-10
                          • 27020

                          #13
                          I know man I know... seems like the easy wins from September are slowing down... gotta wait and find the right opportunities

                          I already know my huge spot bet for October but its almost 2 weeks away still

                          need to stop live betting these baseball games.... baseball hates me but saved my bacon tonight
                          Comment
                          • MoneyLineDawg
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 13253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                            I know man I know... seems like the easy wins from September are slowing down... gotta wait and find the right opportunities

                            I already know my huge spot bet for October but its almost 2 weeks away still

                            need to stop live betting these baseball games.... baseball hates me but saved my bacon tonight
                            I'm always muchhh better middle of the season in college and NFL and no clue why, 3 years straight I've killed it Oct-Nov and didn't do well in September....I think I trust my gut too much going into the year, but I watch so much football and study so much throughout the week (loser I know) that I adapt better as more information (games, stats, gamefilm) become available

                            I would agree with tat, and for some guys it's probably true.....But there are many out there that don't have a prayer, volume or being patient....Not even being condescending at all, too many squares rely on the "Sportscenter Mentality" and that will never change or win longterm
                            Comment
                            • Wulfman14
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 8869

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tatddy
                              I'm obv not talking to you. You're way to level headed.

                              When I make a post accosting the nits on Sbr you can chime in.
                              , although if took the path of the nit i'd probably have over 100k pts right now.
                              Comment
                              • broadway6
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-14-09
                                • 13337

                                #16
                                Originally posted by downsouth
                                Its all about volume. Try to average 40 plus plays a week.
                                DS,

                                Send me a few winners since tat won't.
                                Comment
                                • Vinnie Paz
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-27-12
                                  • 12177

                                  #17
                                  Tat is .kinda right, the best plays are the ones that just jump off the screen and come to you.

                                  Broadway, lay the 1-fiddy and then some on waino tomorrow. This one I can feel in my bones. It's a winner before it starts.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    Guys here have great betting stamina

                                    I like that
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #19
                                      Agree but it won't change anything...

                                      Most at bet all 4 mlb games, & the NFL game
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        *cough* Deemer *cough*
                                        Comment
                                        • RudyRuetigger
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 08-24-10
                                          • 65084

                                          #21
                                          i only place frantic bets

                                          0-2 in nba preseason last night
                                          Comment
                                          • tatddy
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-02-10
                                            • 10779

                                            #22
                                            @MLD - Of course...most will not have a prayer patient or pushing. If they were all winners there would be no hobby for us.

                                            @broadway - you were 2-0 on picks I saw Sunday. You don't need any help. And you didn't hit Colts? Pretty sure I yelled that one.

                                            @rudy - I'm not talking to you or people like you here. You're woven from a different fabric. You're not making frantic bets....you just have different goals in mind. I can respect the lifelong pursuit of hitting it massive....with anything else being trivial and a discard. Nothing wrong with that. Although you know what I'm talking about when I say let bets come to you. When you're lucid and in the zone you're hitting at a killer % (like when you say trust me, tat).

                                            Point is the days have passed when people can win just betting -110 spreads in major at a high volume. Numbers are sharp and information is instant these days. Guys that are winning are either picking their spots and maximizing their value or betting smaller sports/props/etc.
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65084

                                              #23
                                              go get some fukkin points pal
                                              Comment
                                              • tatddy
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-02-10
                                                • 10779

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                go get some fukkin points pal
                                                Haven't played poker last 6 months here more than a few hands. Get the games going again commish.
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65084

                                                  #25
                                                  i tried with my thread on noone can beat me heads up

                                                  lou showed up. i took his points. then lost all in sbrbook
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by tatddy
                                                    @MLD - Of course...most will not have a prayer patient or pushing. If they were all winners there would be no hobby for us.

                                                    @broadway - you were 2-0 on picks I saw Sunday. You don't need any help. And you didn't hit Colts? Pretty sure I yelled that one.

                                                    @rudy - I'm not talking to you or people like you here. You're woven from a different fabric. You're not making frantic bets....you just have different goals in mind. I can respect the lifelong pursuit of hitting it massive....with anything else being trivial and a discard. Nothing wrong with that. Although you know what I'm talking about when I say let bets come to you. When you're lucid and in the zone you're hitting at a killer % (like when you say trust me, tat).

                                                    Point is the days have passed when people can win just betting -110 spreads in major at a high volume. Numbers are sharp and information is instant these days. Guys that are winning are either picking their spots and maximizing their value or betting smaller sports/props/etc.

                                                    I tend to disagree with this. Then again depends what your definition of volume is. For football season I'd say 6-8+ games a weekend is heavy volume. I think you can win consistently betting that much.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tatddy
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-02-10
                                                      • 10779

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                      I tend to disagree with this. Then again depends what your definition of volume is. For football season I'd say 6-8+ games a weekend is heavy volume. I think you can win consistently betting that much.
                                                      Have you seen the overall BTP record? You might be able to do so but the collective group can not.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tatddy
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-02-10
                                                        • 10779

                                                        #28
                                                        See a lot if people "analyzing" the LA/Stl game...worrying about lines moving. Don't get too frantic spinning your wheels today boys.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Killer_Demo
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 06-15-08
                                                          • 8409

                                                          #29
                                                          3-5 plays a week max
                                                          Comment
                                                          • t-wizzle
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-18-09
                                                            • 38099

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by tatddy
                                                            See a lot if people "analyzing" the LA/Stl game...worrying about lines moving. Don't get too frantic spinning your wheels today boys.

                                                            Tonight is not a line analysis game. Honestly most mlb playoff games are not.

                                                            Only think I really ever look at is where it opens. If I think books are leaning a certain way based on the opener then I take that into account.

                                                            Who you taking, if anything?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tatddy
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-02-10
                                                              • 10779

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                              Tonight is not a line analysis game. Honestly most mlb playoff games are not.

                                                              Only think I really ever look at is where it opens. If I think books are leaning a certain way based on the opener then I take that into account.

                                                              Who you taking, if anything?
                                                              Agree the lines moving are irrelevant tonight and most nights. I have no play on this game. Think the lines are pretty much in line with probability.

                                                              Did you catch my shout out to you on my play last night?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • t-wizzle
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-18-09
                                                                • 38099

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by tatddy
                                                                Agree the lines moving are irrelevant tonight and most nights. I have no play on this game. Think the lines are pretty much in line with probability.

                                                                Did you catch my shout out to you on my play last night?
                                                                Tatddy I did not. Was it the colts play?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tatddy
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-02-10
                                                                  • 10779

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                                  Tatddy I did not. Was it the colts play?
                                                                  Nope. This one...post 9. Cheers.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                                    • 38099

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by tatddy

                                                                    Lol got ya. Yea I basically live in nba subforum once that season starts.

                                                                    Every time I've gone into the baseball or college football one this year though it seems dead.

                                                                    Good hit.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tatddy
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-02-10
                                                                      • 10779

                                                                      #35
                                                                      A friendly reminder not to hit the gas too hard especially as the cards shorten.
                                                                      Comment
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