The NFL is too hard.

[The Giant]

The lines are too efficient.

There is literally no edge anywhere.

Every game is a coin flip, and most come down to a play or two.

Anyone claiming to hit over 56% or so is either lying, or LT Profits.

[BigDeem5]

Gotta battle. long season.

[Louisvillekid1]

If you play the card, or every TV game you will get buried...

But 1-3 plays per week or so and not auto betting prime time games, you can beat it

[greenhippo]

I'm beating it like a cheating girlfriend right now

[jjgold]

Its all about QB's and nothing else

Giant listen to me and maybe some day you have the finer things in life

Do you think I would wear a 2 dime rug and look spectacular if I did not have the ability to pick winners??

[C-Gold]

its all about qb's and nothing else

giant listen to me and maybe some day you have the finer things in life

do you think i would wear a 2 dime rug and look spectacular if i did not have the ability to pick winners??

lmao

[thetrinity]

agree with giant look at how close these were to the spread the first 2 weeks when the lines are supposedly "soft"

[JR007]

there are very few people who can win in nfl because of market efficiency and small sample size, one knowledgeable person in another forum gave out a number 500 out of 10,000 win, only way to beat it is with a very good statistical forecasting model, and your right , gotta pick your spots, ncaa foots and baskets are easier. I follow a guy whom is one of the best out there in reading the market and he went 1 and 4 last week

[Chi_archie]

one knowledgeable person in another forum gave out a number 500 out of 10,000 win

why not just say 5 out of every 100 or 5%?

[thetrinity]

always baffled me that the toughest sport to beat gets the most bets, at least in america

i guess people are just gambling and like how every bet comes down to the last play

totals are even fairly sharp, sometimes you can exploit weather later in the year though

[ChalkyDog]

Lost one game, as the last leg of a parlay.

Everything else has cashed.

Points seem to be your friend, before game.

Anyone can beat anyone, and that matters. JAX excluded.

[TheMoneyShot]

I just think dog when wagering NFL. Hope you connect on one... and stop wagering until you find another opening somewhere in a game. I think vegas tipped the Miami/Indy game 2nd half line. Just fade it. They kind of told you who was going to win. IMO

[physed]

Not too hard if betting moneylines

[tony_come]

Please act like you been here before

[InTheDrink]

I bet one game today. Fukkin bears loser

Had a great day yesterday. There are no Oregon's in the nfl right now where the spreads should be 40 in most of their games but the books won't put em up that high. Maybe Denver can be that team. Don't trust them though.

[frogsrangers]

always baffled me that the toughest sport to beat gets the most bets, at least in america

i guess people are just gambling and like how every bet comes down to the last play

totals are even fairly sharp, sometimes you can exploit weather later in the year though

Think about your average moron in your office who is also an NFL fan. Think of said moron crowing each week about how NFL games will turn out. How they act like they know everything. Now imagine said moron thinking he can get rich quick by betting NFL games.

[BIGDAY]

I'm surprisingly doing well.

[teaserpleaser]

Not too hard if betting moneylines in-game

in-game MLs and totals for the win

[chopperocker]

don't ignore the value of teasers considering teams situational strengths and getting off key numbers.

[The Giant]

don't ignore the value of teasers considering teams situational strengths and getting off key numbers.

Only thing keeping me afloat.

[BriGuy]

The lines are too efficient.

There is literally no edge anywhere.

Every game is a coin flip, and most come down to a play or two.

Anyone claiming to hit over 56% or so is either lying, or LT Profits.

That's why I bet college football for profit, and the NFL for fun. Made a ton yesterday and have no plans to give it back today.

[Ratpack]

it isnt that bad you just got to study the games a lot more than you do any other sport. I guess the sure games will be w/e the spread in denver plus green bay at home and over in redskin and eagle games

[The Giant]

it isnt that bad you just got to study the games a lot more than you do any other sport. I guess the sure games will be w/e the spread in denver plus green bay at home and over in redskin and eagle games

That's it? It's that easy?

Thanks.

[No coincidences]

If you killed the closer with the Giants, Browns or Jags, congrats -- you're 0-3.

[King Mayan]

Do you think I would wear a 2 dime rug and look spectacular if I did not have the ability to pick winners??

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Worst post from TheGigante I have ever seen

and this stretches over a timespan of many years and more then one forum

[Russian Rocket]

TheGiant is doing horrible while Seaweed is doing great....what's wrong with this picture?

[The Giant]

Seaweed is hitting like 23% this season.

Settle down, Rocket.

[zooom]

I have an edge with teasers

[Russian Rocket]

Seaweed is hitting like 23% this season.

Settle down, Rocket.

I'm just teasing you man

[InTheDrink]

Seaweed is hitting like 23% this season.

Settle down, Rocket.

Career high

[pavyracer]

If you didn't make any money today in the NFL you will never make any again. One of the most predictable weeks in a decade.

[GunShard]

Preseason and the first few weeks of the regular season is a guessing game.

Gamblers start to improve past Week 4.

[Louisvillekid1]

Career high

Nomimated

[ksnooksk]

If you didn't make any money today in the NFL you will never make any again. One of the most predictable weeks in a decade.

Guess I'm screwed then bc I couldn't get a read on this week to save my life.