El Niño's NHL Thread

[El Nino]

Stanley Cup Series Bets

Already locked in: Chicago Series (-118) 5.9u to win 5u

Added:

M. Handzus Series Points (-120) vs. J. Jagr Series Points (-120) 2.4u
No Double OT in Series (-280) 2.8u
Total Goals in Series Under 27 Goals (-120) 1.2u
Boston/Chicago Series Won't End in 5 Games (-357) 3.57u

[fitguy67]

Boston will be too physical. Yes kings were I know but Boston can actually score too.

Boston has 4 scoring lines. They play a lot like Detroit where anyone can score. The only difference is they are bigger and their goalie is playing ridiculous. Boston in 6.

Bruins D is better than LA's they'll clear the area in front of the net and force Chicago to the perimeter. Not saying they can't score from there but Rask won't get beat on too many screens. Expect Lucic to play a big role in this series. They won't be able to move him from in front of the net.

this has the makings of a GREAT final series...both teams have worked thru their "scared straight" mediocre period (Boston with the Loafs and Chicago with the Wings) and have been solidly in the "zone" for quite a while now

Chicago's been a great team all season...Boston's really just gelled as a team over the last two series...(the accuracy of the posts i quote above are definitely true now...but they have just really become true over the last few weeks...)

the odds should be much closer to a pick'em than they are...this makes it easy to identify the value-based bet here...but does absolutely nothing to help win it

when u watch late-stage hockey playoff games...you realize just how badly basketball compares entertainment-wise...hockey is riveting/exciting...basketball is at best merely "tense" (and that's only if you have a bet on it...otherwise it's just over-officiated annoying crap)

[El Nino]

Double OT prop buried in Game 1...unreal.

[tblues2005]

This game is a really good game tonight. If this is any indication of how this series is going to be it's going to be really good and is a truly toss up.

[fitguy67]

end-to-end heart-stopping action...nothin' like playoff-hockey SD-OT...

[El Nino]

end-to-end heart-stopping action...nothin' like playoff-hockey SD-OT...

Love it

[Deuce]

So many buried guys. Feel for them. I am tired after first period of a beer league 15 min run time. Bananas pedialite. Goal will be a fukked up play I already know it.

[El Nino]

1-2 -1u

YTD
153-146-2 +30.16u

Playoff Record
50-61 +1.14u

Drain the gas tanks on the first night. Every one of these games might be 1 goal games. Double OT prop fukked and under 27 goals isn't looking good unless the Hawks sweep.

[fitguy67]

Drain the gas tanks on the first night. Every one of these games might be 1 goal games..

Original 6 teams...original 6 quality hockey...

BUT in the 6 team league there were only TWO--not FOUR--series to get thru to win the cup...

this is brutal war of attrition...i doubt if there's anyone dressed for either team without an injury that'd keep most basketball players on the sidelines...

hockey players and rugby players, man...tough as they come...like having an MMA fight scheduled every single month...these guys are paid well but they do give it their all and are tough as nails...

you just KNOW this is gonna be a great series (no matter ow many games it lasts)...every game will be a war like this one

[Huckleberry Pig]

So many buried guys. Feel for them. I am tired after first period of a beer league 15 min run time. Bananas pedialite. Goal will be a fukked up play I already know it.

pretty spot on - two deflections into the net.

El Nino, how do you feel about your Chicago series bet? I personally thought Boston looked like the better team last night. Had several more quality chances in the OTs and had a 2-goal lead in the 3rd. Thought Chicago was extremely lucky to get a W there as their last two goals were pretty lucky. not discrediting them, there's a reason you send the puck to the net! never know what kind of bounce/deflection you're going to get, but thought Boston had more "quality" chances.

Any chance for you to hedge your Chicago series bet with a Boston series bet and lock in some profit?

[DannyLawless]

Not to sound like Boston doesn't have a lot of other weapons, but with Horton out that's a pretty big blow. That guy was huge for them and their lines were scrambled and off ever since. Not sure if he'll be back next game or not or how severe that injury is/was but I might wait for some news on that before trying to hedge. Just my two cents from a smaller fish.

[El Nino]

pretty spot on - two deflections into the net.

El Nino, how do you feel about your Chicago series bet? I personally thought Boston looked like the better team last night. Had several more quality chances in the OTs and had a 2-goal lead in the 3rd. Thought Chicago was extremely lucky to get a W there as their last two goals were pretty lucky. not discrediting them, there's a reason you send the puck to the net! never know what kind of bounce/deflection you're going to get, but thought Boston had more "quality" chances.

Any chance for you to hedge your Chicago series bet with a Boston series bet and lock in some profit?

No hedging. Everyone wants to look at it like Boston had the 2-goal lead, they looked better. I look at it like Boston blew a 2 goal lead, Rask gave up 4 goals. Chicago led in shots on goal, hits, and faceoffs for most of the game. They dominated shots on goal by double digits through the 3rd period and most of the OT's. Horton looks to be hurt and if that is the case it weakens Boston's strongest line. Chicago's D is tough and physical and the Blackhawks came out hitting. If these games are going to continue to go over the posted totals, I give the edge to the Blackhawks. Heard a stat that the Game 1 winner wins the cup 72ish% of the time. -118 is still a great # on the Blackhawks. Doesn't seem worth it for 1.5ish u profit on a series bet. Ridin' it out.

[fitguy67]

...and besides...to paraphrase NunyaBidness over in the MMA Forum...

"hedging's for pussies"...

[El Nino]

...and besides...to paraphrase NunyaBidness over in the MMA Forum...

"hedging's for pussies"...

I usually say hedging is for fukkin' gardners...same thing.

[El Nino]

6/15

Chicago Blackhawks Regulation (+105) 3u BookMaker
2nd Period has more Goals than 1st Period (-135) 2.7u BookMaker
Jonathan Toews has more pts. than Jaromir Jagr (-165) 3.3u BookMaker

[Deuce]

Crawford has lucked out in so many games this season.

[El Nino]

0-1-2 -3u

[fitguy67]

this is shping up to be one helluva series with two teams that (unlike the sharks and kings) are capable of playing well at home AND on the road

[El Nino]

6/17

Boston Bruins -130 6.5u BookMaker
Boston Bruins Regulation (+135) 3u BookMaker
David Krejci Anytime Goal in Game 3 (+335) 5Dimes
David Krejci Scores 1st Goal (+1400) 0.5u 5Dimes
Brad Marchand Scores 1st Goal (+1400) 0.5u 5Dimes


Late post...SBR was performing "upgrades" AKA rigging their casino

[Huckleberry Pig]

6/17

Boston Bruins -130 6.5u BookMaker
Boston Bruins Regulation (+135) 3u BookMaker
David Krejci Anytime Goal in Game 3 (+335) 5Dimes
David Krejci Scores 1st Goal (+1400) 0.5u 5Dimes
Brad Marchand Scores 1st Goal (+1400) 0.5u 5Dimes


Late post...SBR was performing "upgrades" AKA rigging their casino

[Huckleberry Pig]

Good luck tonight nino, looking forward to watching this one!

[boeing power]

No hossa helps niño.

gl pal

[Huckleberry Pig]

hope chara is good to go, can't believe that collision before the game

[ItsMeMrMattE]

went big on the bruins as well. after the first 2, they seem to be the better team imo. so gotta back them at home here. why do you think the line held so close to opener tho? with the amount of one sided action that seems to be coming in i would have expected this one to move a little.

[El Nino]

went big on the bruins as well. after the first 2, they seem to be the better team imo. so gotta back them at home here. why do you think the line held so close to opener tho? with the amount of one sided action that seems to be coming in i would have expected this one to move a little.

Not sure, I expected -140ish. BookMaker had -125 but I missed it.

[El Nino]

hope chara is good to go, can't believe that collision before the game

Yeah that was weird. Got table topped pretty hard. I wonder what is wrong with Hossa?

[El Nino]

No hossa helps niño.

gl pal

Definitely

[Huckleberry Pig]

Yeah that was weird. Got table topped pretty hard. I wonder what is wrong with Hossa?

got hit in warmups with a puck. You getting a chance to watch the game?

[ItsMeMrMattE]

ya (-125) x3 for me. BOS coming from the last win into home ice is a hard thing to go against. the only reasoning i could come up with for the books letting the money load one side is that they are really confident in this going 1-1. backing the dog here puts them in a great spot for line setting in the next game. if favorite ends up winning public will back BOS again, CHI wins, books make back most if not more than what they lost in the last one. setting up a high reward low risk scenario could be the goal for them here, but who knows.

[El Nino]

got hit in warmups with a puck. You getting a chance to watch the game?

Yeah, I heard them mention it...was pretty vague though. Was wondering where he got hit, the extent of the injury. I guess the pregame cameras were only paying attention to Boston.

[El Nino]

ya (-125) x3 for me. BOS coming from the last win into home ice is a hard thing to go against. the only reasoning i could come up with for the books letting the money load one side is that they are really confident in this going 1-1. backing the dog here puts them in a great spot for line setting in the next game. if favorite ends up winning public will back BOS again, CHI wins, books make back most if not more than what they lost in the last one. setting up a high reward low risk scenario could be the goal for them here, but who knows.

Yeah, I was already thinking of betting Chicago in Game 4 if the Bruins take care of business here in Game 3.

[Russian Rocket]

get that money Nino!

[El Nino]

2-3 +7.05u

YTD
155-150-4 +34.21u

Playoff Record
52-65-2 +4.91u

[Huckleberry Pig]

2-3 +7.05u

YTD
155-150-4 +34.21u

Playoff Record
52-65-2 +4.91u

NICE! always good when you have a +7unit day!

[El Nino]

NICE! always good when you have a +7unit day!

Would have been an excellent night if Marchand settled that breakaway pass and buried the first goal.