Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=31360961'>posted</a> on 11/03/2024:
Notes after Week 09:
*Florida plays Georgia well. But the Dawgs win.
...LSU/Alab next week. LSU has a chance to finish with one Conf loss.
...Tex A&M picks up first Conf loss @South Carolina. I'm a little surprised Elko chucked Weigman instead of using a 2-QB system.
...The SEC Champ game is looking a lot like (winner of Geo/Tenn) vs (winner of Tex/TexAM).
...There are going to be some 2-loss SEC teams who look like solid At-Large candidates. But it's going to be hard to differentiate between these teams. Fewer H2H matchups.
*Clemson might be the big loser of the week. Louisville took several close losses b4 winning @Clemson.
...SMU takes out undefeated Pitt. SMU now has the in-road to the ACC Champ game.
...Looks a lot like Miami FL vs SMU.
...Does SMU have any prospect of being an 11-2 At-Large team? Their only loss is to an unbeaten BYU. But I doubt it, as they started pretty low in the pre-season polls.
*Penn St goes down again to Ohio St. But Penn St still looks likely to get to 11-1.
...Indiana steamrolls again. Amazingly, Steele predicted the Hoosiers to finsih 18th (of 18) in the conference.
...Oregon wins again. They're rolling. But I personally view the Ducks as a phony #1.
...Buckeyes host IND on 11/23. Then they finish home vs Michigan in a game that now looks one-sided.
*Texas Tech knocks off Iowa St by one-point.
...After the Iowa St loss, I'm now convinced that the Big 12 is a one-bid league.
...There's a lot of parity in the league. Not much separating the top of the league.
...BYU's power-rating is not overwhelming. Would a 12-1 BYU merit consideration as an At-Large bid? I think there are too many SEC/Big10 teams that trump BYU.
*Boise rolls, 56-24. QB had a huge game. Broncos win with Jeanty having a modest game (by his standards).
...If I had one Boise prediction, it would that the HC tries to pace Jeanty in coming weeks. His carry # has been high in recent games and he's picked up knocks.
...Boise is in excellent shape to get to 12-1 and be the Gof5 rep.
*The Army QB injury was a shocker to me.
...I do wonder if Monken decided to exercise caution. Daily is a physical runner. Is Monken trying to keep his pitch-count low?
...Army has much tougher games coming up. They need a healthy Daily. It's possible that Monken wanted to throw a bone to backup QB Coleman.
...I fully expect Daily to be playing in these games. Starts next week with a tricky game @North Texas.
Notes after Week 09:
*Florida plays Georgia well. But the Dawgs win.
...LSU/Alab next week. LSU has a chance to finish with one Conf loss.
...Tex A&M picks up first Conf loss @South Carolina. I'm a little surprised Elko chucked Weigman instead of using a 2-QB system.
...The SEC Champ game is looking a lot like (winner of Geo/Tenn) vs (winner of Tex/TexAM).
...There are going to be some 2-loss SEC teams who look like solid At-Large candidates. But it's going to be hard to differentiate between these teams. Fewer H2H matchups.
*Clemson might be the big loser of the week. Louisville took several close losses b4 winning @Clemson.
...SMU takes out undefeated Pitt. SMU now has the in-road to the ACC Champ game.
...Looks a lot like Miami FL vs SMU.
...Does SMU have any prospect of being an 11-2 At-Large team? Their only loss is to an unbeaten BYU. But I doubt it, as they started pretty low in the pre-season polls.
*Penn St goes down again to Ohio St. But Penn St still looks likely to get to 11-1.
...Indiana steamrolls again. Amazingly, Steele predicted the Hoosiers to finsih 18th (of 18) in the conference.
...Oregon wins again. They're rolling. But I personally view the Ducks as a phony #1.
...Buckeyes host IND on 11/23. Then they finish home vs Michigan in a game that now looks one-sided.
*Texas Tech knocks off Iowa St by one-point.
...After the Iowa St loss, I'm now convinced that the Big 12 is a one-bid league.
...There's a lot of parity in the league. Not much separating the top of the league.
...BYU's power-rating is not overwhelming. Would a 12-1 BYU merit consideration as an At-Large bid? I think there are too many SEC/Big10 teams that trump BYU.
*Boise rolls, 56-24. QB had a huge game. Broncos win with Jeanty having a modest game (by his standards).
...If I had one Boise prediction, it would that the HC tries to pace Jeanty in coming weeks. His carry # has been high in recent games and he's picked up knocks.
...Boise is in excellent shape to get to 12-1 and be the Gof5 rep.
*The Army QB injury was a shocker to me.
...I do wonder if Monken decided to exercise caution. Daily is a physical runner. Is Monken trying to keep his pitch-count low?
...Army has much tougher games coming up. They need a healthy Daily. It's possible that Monken wanted to throw a bone to backup QB Coleman.
...I fully expect Daily to be playing in these games. Starts next week with a tricky game @North Texas.
