Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=25389295'>posted</a> on 03/04/2016:

Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
Well, after watching tape my confidence in Valentinos chances of winning a decision is weaker but not a whole lot. My concern has never been if nunes is good enough, its about, does she have the cardio. No tape, no conlusion. If i win early i will probably play her even more than i have no. I have only one unit at stake, and then hedge with Valentina by dec. Valentina still has a path of victory here, as anyone else has on Nunes theoretically, until the day she shows she can last longer than 2 minutes.

When that being said, she has the experience on her side, also the grappling acumen, so nunes def can grind and then win a dec, win by tko, or sub. She has a lot more ways to win.
Nailed it, the chances of it even going the distance in the first place are so minuscule, we are basically talking semantics, the grappling advantage is huge, i cant overstate this enough, shev is completely lost on the ground, then thing is though, she chooses to take fights there, which shows a low fighter iq, and that she isnt aware of her deficiency, and every round nunes has ever fought has hit the mate, so even if nunes is gassed its likely that she or shev will take it down, once on the mate, the skill disparity is so vast, that even a 25% nunes can take top position, nunes can lay in her guard for 3 rounds, and there is absolutly nothing shev can do about it, once underneath nunes, she will be there for the rest of the round, till nuness ko's her with her destructive gnp, subs her, or unless nunes chooses to let her up or is inactive and the ref stands it up. this isnt a kickboxing match, and neither is the latifi fight, this is a mma fight, nunes and latifi decide where the fights take place, if latifi wants to sit his fat rhino body on gian for 3 rounds, he can, he wants to wear him out in the first with takedowns, and ko him in the 2nd, he can, people betting on gian to grow a brain over night and fight a smart gameplan, even if he does grow a brain over night, latifi can crush that gameplan in a second, latifi has more power, better chin, better wrestling, same with nunes...you can always find a reason to talk yourself out a play, or you can hedge every fight and cut 700-1200 dollars into your profit like jibby, but ya'll here finding low percentage shit and talking yourselves off solid locks, yea gian has a punchers chance but at +170, everyone does, but is that a number you want on a punchers chance, i can understand hedging with gian ko, but hedging on shev dec, i can not stand for. shev has fought 1 women with a winning record, and that women is trash as well, she has a padded record with like 6 chicks with 0-1 records, she is a specialist at punching pads, has no power, and no ground game, and poor fighter iq, does that sound like someone that is gonna beat a top 5 fighter, does that sound like someone that should be at even money, this is basically stealing, nunes should be no lower than -700 in this fight, maybe shev beating JJ in a kickboxing match at a lower weight class, or nunes gassing against a alpha female gave us this line, the people betting on shev have no clue what they are looking at, this is a pitbull against a Pomeranian, this is a mismatch. even mcgregor has more of a chance of losing then nunes has of losing a dec, i rank them as this on strength, nunes, mcgregor, miranda, latifi in that order, but dont get me wrong, all 4 are stone cold locks, and there is no reason to hedge any of these bets, let the chips fall were they may, stop looking for little shit and talking yourselves off of bets, stop listening to every tom dic.k and harry's opinion. my opinion should be the only opinion anyone concerns themselves with, and that's just the intelligent thing to do, that could be the diffrence from losing money or winning money, as you all know my track record, anyone elses opinion, just let that shi.t roll off your shoulders.