Monday Night Football: Eagles vs Packers Picks & Betting Splits

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 4999

    #1
    Monday Night Football: Eagles vs Packers Picks & Betting Splits
    Week 10 of Monday Night Football features a clash of NFL contenders with Green Bay hosting Philadelphia at 8:15 PM ET on ABC/ESPN.

    SBR's Gary Pearson shares his best bets in his Eagles vs Packers prediction:

    Over/Under pick: Under 45.5 (-106 via Caesars)

    Game prediction: Eagles +1.5 (-110 via FanDuel)

    "The old rest versus rust argument springs to the forefront, with the Eagles ruling out only one player, center Cam Jurgens, after coming off a bye week.

    The Packers, meanwhile, lost their most productive receiver, tight end Tucker Kraft, to a season-ending ACL injury in last week's loss to the Carolina Panthers. The team will miss his yards after the catch (YAC) and chunk plays desperately. He had 344 YAC, with second-place Romeo Doubs amassing just 92.

    Rookie wide receiver Matthew Golden, with 86, has the third-most. However, Golden is listed as questionable after injuring his shoulder against the Panthers. Even if he plays, Kraft's absence should make life easier for Vic Fangio and the Eagles' defense.

    I'm dubious about whether the Packers' place kicker, Brandon McManus, can make field goals at critical junctures. With a high probability of a close game, McManus' 68.8% field goal accuracy doesn't instill much confidence.

    The Eagles were playing much better in the two games leading up to the bye, so it will be interesting to see whether the additional rest negatively impacts the collective sharpness and rhythm.

    I'm willing to give the defending champs - who were 3-0 against the spread last season as a road betting underdog - the benefit of the doubt, especially after Green Bay's poor Week 9 showing.​"

    Best prop bet: Romeo Doubs Over 51.5 receiving yards (-114 via DraftKings) ​

    "With their most explosive offensive option sidelined for the remainder of the season, Doubs will need to step up. And I expect Jordan Love to go to him more often. Doubs hit the Over on this receiving yards total in four of the previous five games, including a 91-yard performance last week against the Panthers.

    The Eagles rank in the lower third of effectiveness against wide receivers, 11th worst, allowing 157.3 yards per game. There is a significant discrepancy in totals offered by betting sites, with DraftKings providing the lowest total (51.5 yards).​"


    Eagles vs. Packers odds

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    Eagles vs. Packers betting trends

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    Eagles vs. Packers weather


    It's going to be a chilly night in Green Bay for Monday Night Football, with the temperature expected to be around 25 degrees. Winds will gust up to 16 mph, and cloud cover is expected throughout the game. There is currently no chance of precipitation.
  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 4999

    #2
    SBR's Mike Spector has his best Eagles vs Packers player prop bets ready to go:

    Jalen Hurts Under 195.5 passing yards (-112 via DraftKings)

    "Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is coming off a season-high 150 rushing yards in the team’s last game. While this matchup against the Packers is much more difficult, it would not be shocking to see Philadelphia try to establish the run again.

    Philadelphia’s offense has faced the second-most pressure (37%) and fourth-fewest zone snaps (144). Meanwhile, the Packers' defense generates pressure at the fourth-highest rate (37%) and plays the fourth-most zone snaps (224). That should be enough to confuse Jalen Hurts and significantly lower his ceiling for passing yards."


    Luke Musgrave Under 31.5 receiving yards (-112 via DraftKings)

    "Green Bay losing tight end Tucker Kraft to a season-ending injury could prove to be a major blow to the offense. Kraft accounted for 23.6% of the team’s receiving yards and also led the team with 11 red-zone targets.

    While the Packers enter the week with the seventh-highest target share to tight ends, do not expect Luke Musgrave to take on Kraft’s role seamlessly. The Eagles allow the third-fewest yards to tight ends."


    Jordan Love Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130 via BetMGM) ​

    "Packers quarterback Jordan Love has one or fewer passing touchdowns in three of the last four games and faces an Eagles defense that is tied for the second-fewest passing touchdowns allowed (eight).

    It also does not help that running back Josh Jacobs has the fourth-most touches in the NFL, and the Eagles have allowed touchdowns on just 46% of red-zone drives. In addition, Green Bay has not topped seven first-half points in any of its last three games.​"
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    • SBR Andy
      Administrator
      • 02-09-22
      • 4999

      #3
      SBR's Esten McLaren shares his MNF anytime touchdown scorer predictions:

      Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles (+105 via DraftKings)

      "I dislike the tush push Brotherly Shove as much as anyone outside of Philadelphia (and Buffalo). But this is still the most confident of my NFL picks for Monday Night Football.

      I'm expecting a run-heavy game plan for both teams given the low temperatures forecasted for game time. That's also reflected in the Over/Under for tonight's showdown.

      Opposing quarterbacks have recorded a league low 17 carries against the Packers through eight games. But Hurts is still the best bet to vulture some goal-line touchdowns, as Philadelphia will be looking to protect the ball amid tonight's conditions. I offer a long-shot anytime touchdown scorer prediction for the Eagles below, so I'm comfortable with these +105 odds for Hurts to score."


      Christian Watson, WR, Packers (+300 via FanDuel)

      "Christian Watson will play his third contest of the season tonight, and he experienced a significant jump in snap count from Game 1 (36) to 2 (43).

      Watson caught six of eight targets through his first two games, and he's proving to be the deep-ball threat the team was missing amid some rookie struggles for Matthew Golden. It further helps our cause with this TD pick that Golden (shoulder) is questionable tonight, and that tight end Tucker Kraft was ruled out for the season following an injury last week.

      The fourth-year receiver is also one of the more experienced pass-catchers in this matchup, and he's best equipped for the low temperatures at Lambeau.​"


      Tank Bigsby, RB, Eagles (+1800 via FanDuel) ​

      "I'm certainly not expecting the Eagles to run all over the Packers like they did against the New York Giants two weeks ago. However, I'm anticipating Tank Bigsby - an early-season trade acquisition - to have earned a larger role down the stretch after taking nine carries for 104 yards prior to the Eagles' bye week.

      The former third-round pick scored seven touchdowns during his sophomore NFL season, but he's been held without a score in 15 games since. That's helping to inflate these odds, and now we're looking for a repeat of the big-play ability he flashed in Week 8.​"


      Eagles vs. Packers anytime touchdown scorer parlay

      ​️Total odds: +14432 | $10 bet pays $1,443.22 profit

      "I'm going to FanDuel for my Monday Night Football anytime touchdown scorer parlay. A winning $10 bet on all three of Jalen Hurts, Christian Watson, and Tank Bigsby to score would return a profit of $1,443.22 with total odds of +14432."


      Eagles vs. Packers anytime TD scorer odds for MNF

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      • SBR Andy
        Administrator
        • 02-09-22
        • 4999

        #4
        Updated Packers-Eagles betting data at BetMGM

        Most bet player props ️
        1. DeVonta Smith Over 53.5 Receiving yards
        2. Christian Watson Over 39.5 Receiving yards
        3. Josh Jacobs Over 16.5 Receiving yards
        4. Romeo Doubs Under 54.5 Receiving yards
        5. Saquon Barkley Over 2.5 Receptions made

        Most bet anytime TD ️
        1. Jalen Hurts +115
        2. Saquon Barkley +105
        3. Josh Jacobs -150
        4. Dallas Goedert +200
        5. A.J. Brown +165

        Most bet 1st TD ️
        1. Saquon Barkley (PHI) +700
        2. Jalen Hurts (PHI) +825
        3. Dallas Goedert (Phi) +1300
        4. Josh Jacobs (GB) +400
        5. Romeo Doubs (GB) +1100

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        • SBR Andy
          Administrator
          • 02-09-22
          • 4999

          #5
          Monday Night Football betting insights from DraftKings:

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          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 66120

            #6
            Eagles all night.
            (That's my story and I'm sticking to it)
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