**I just did a c/p from the other forum where I posted after having the error message.
UPSET ALERT WATCH!
A little background...
The contest has 30K+ players this year. Percentages are the players (aka Joe Public) picks.
Play on ROAD DOG less than 10%
Play against ROAD FAV more than 90%
Years ago, I read...
Vegas doesn't care about matchups. Vegas is not in the business of predicting the final score. They're in the business of predicting what the PUBLIC THINKS THE FINAL SCORE WILL BE.
So I started tracking this contest to see if that statement was true. The players are from across the country, who I suppose, are just your average Joe Public who loves football. I know of one bookie on another board who used to post his lopsided bets for the members. They would then bet the opposite team and most of the time won. These discussion boards, in my opinion, represent the "gambling Joe Public". Over the years, combining the two, I came to conclusion that the statement is true. Vegas is not stupid.
RECAP
Week 2 - none
Week 3
97% GB lost at Clev+7' (10-13) Upset!
92% Atl lost at Car+5' (0-30) Upset!
2% Mia+13 at Buff lost but won ATS (21-31)
3% NYJ +7 at TB lost but won ATS (27-29)
Week 4
95% LAC lost at NYG+6' (18-21) Upset!
91% Wash lost at Atl+1 (27-34) Upset!
1% No+15' at Buff lost but won ATS (19-31)
Week 5
3% NE+8 won at Buff (23-20) Upset!
4% Tenn+7' won at Ariz (22-21) Upset!
Week 6
4% Ariz+6 at Indy lost but won ATS (27-31)
6% Clev+5 lost at Pitt S/U and ATS (9-23)
7% Cinn+14' lost at GB but won ATS (18-27)
97% Phil lost at NYG+7' (17-34) Upset!
96% Den won at NYJ+7 (London) but lost ATS (13-11)
95% Buff lost at Atl +3' (14-24) Upset!
91% LAC won at Mia +4 but lost ATS (29-27)
Week 7
4% LVR+12 at KC.......lost S/U & ATS 0-31
6% NO+5' at Chic.......lost S/U & ATS 14-26
7% Hou+3' at Sea......MNF
97% NE at Tenn+7.....lost S/U & ATS 13-31
93% Pitt at Cinn+5'....won ML 33-31
91% GB at Ariz+6'......lost S/U but won ATS 23-27
Week 8
1% Tenn at Indy - lost S/U and ATS
2% Mia at Atl Upset! 34-10
3% NYJ at Cinn Upset! 39-38
4% Wash at KC - MNF
5% Clev at NE - lost S/U and ATS
7% NYG at Phil - lost S/U and ATS
97% TBay at NO - lost S/U and ATS
91% Buff at Car - lost S/U and ATS
91% SF at Hou - SF opened -1' /Closed -Hou-2' won 26-15
Week 9 Results
2% NO+13' at LAR lost S/U and ATS.....10-34
4% Minn+9' at Detroit won ML ....27-24 Upset!
4% Atl+5' at NE lost S/U but won ATS....23-24
4% Car+13' at GB won ML....16-13 Upset!
97% LAC at Tenn+10 lost S/U but won ATS....20-27
======================
Plays
Week 10
1% LVR at Denver
2% Ariz at Sea
2% NO at Caro
3% Atl at Indy
8% NYG at Chic
98% Buff at Mia
97% Det at Wash
**Note: I use the line when I enter the contest to grade the plays.
GL2A
UPSET ALERT WATCH!
A little background...
The contest has 30K+ players this year. Percentages are the players (aka Joe Public) picks.
Play on ROAD DOG less than 10%
Play against ROAD FAV more than 90%
Years ago, I read...
Vegas doesn't care about matchups. Vegas is not in the business of predicting the final score. They're in the business of predicting what the PUBLIC THINKS THE FINAL SCORE WILL BE.
So I started tracking this contest to see if that statement was true. The players are from across the country, who I suppose, are just your average Joe Public who loves football. I know of one bookie on another board who used to post his lopsided bets for the members. They would then bet the opposite team and most of the time won. These discussion boards, in my opinion, represent the "gambling Joe Public". Over the years, combining the two, I came to conclusion that the statement is true. Vegas is not stupid.
RECAP
Week 2 - none
Week 3
97% GB lost at Clev+7' (10-13) Upset!
92% Atl lost at Car+5' (0-30) Upset!
2% Mia+13 at Buff lost but won ATS (21-31)
3% NYJ +7 at TB lost but won ATS (27-29)
Week 4
95% LAC lost at NYG+6' (18-21) Upset!
91% Wash lost at Atl+1 (27-34) Upset!
1% No+15' at Buff lost but won ATS (19-31)
Week 5
3% NE+8 won at Buff (23-20) Upset!
4% Tenn+7' won at Ariz (22-21) Upset!
Week 6
4% Ariz+6 at Indy lost but won ATS (27-31)
6% Clev+5 lost at Pitt S/U and ATS (9-23)
7% Cinn+14' lost at GB but won ATS (18-27)
97% Phil lost at NYG+7' (17-34) Upset!
96% Den won at NYJ+7 (London) but lost ATS (13-11)
95% Buff lost at Atl +3' (14-24) Upset!
91% LAC won at Mia +4 but lost ATS (29-27)
Week 7
4% LVR+12 at KC.......lost S/U & ATS 0-31
6% NO+5' at Chic.......lost S/U & ATS 14-26
7% Hou+3' at Sea......MNF
97% NE at Tenn+7.....lost S/U & ATS 13-31
93% Pitt at Cinn+5'....won ML 33-31
91% GB at Ariz+6'......lost S/U but won ATS 23-27
Week 8
1% Tenn at Indy - lost S/U and ATS
2% Mia at Atl Upset! 34-10
3% NYJ at Cinn Upset! 39-38
4% Wash at KC - MNF
5% Clev at NE - lost S/U and ATS
7% NYG at Phil - lost S/U and ATS
97% TBay at NO - lost S/U and ATS
91% Buff at Car - lost S/U and ATS
91% SF at Hou - SF opened -1' /Closed -Hou-2' won 26-15
Week 9 Results
2% NO+13' at LAR lost S/U and ATS.....10-34
4% Minn+9' at Detroit won ML ....27-24 Upset!
4% Atl+5' at NE lost S/U but won ATS....23-24
4% Car+13' at GB won ML....16-13 Upset!
97% LAC at Tenn+10 lost S/U but won ATS....20-27
======================
Plays
Week 10
1% LVR at Denver
2% Ariz at Sea
2% NO at Caro
3% Atl at Indy
8% NYG at Chic
98% Buff at Mia
97% Det at Wash
**Note: I use the line when I enter the contest to grade the plays.
GL2A
