The first of 2 Monday Night Football games features a pair of winless AFC East Teams when Miami hosts New York at 7:15 PM ET on ESPN. SBR's Gary Pearson breaks down the action in his Jets vs Dolphins prediction:
Dolphins -2.5 (-115 Caesars)
"There isn't a smack-you-in-the-face advantage for either winless team on prime time. However, the Miami Dolphins enjoyed an additional three days off after losing to the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football.
And despite most people's condemnation of Tua Tagovailoa's play, the Dolphins QB had his team within a score of leveling the game late in Buffalo against the Super Bowl odds betting favorite.
While Tagovailoa's interception, which scuppered his team's chances of completing the comeback, was inexcusable, at least he had them in that position in one of the most challenging buildings to play.
Justin Fields, who will start after clearing concussion protocol, was dreadful against the Bills at home in Week 2, finishing with a 30.7 offensive rating (PFF) and 3-for-11 for 27 passing yards before leaving the game in the fourth quarter.
Yes, the Jets almost pulled a Houdini act in Tampa Bay without Fields, but they have their special teams to thank for having any chance whatsoever.
Both teams are brutal in most statistical categories, but the Dolphins are surprisingly tied for the second-best rush EPA per play. And while Miami's defense is the second-worst in terms of DVOA and the worst in EPA per play, it made significant strides in Buffalo against arguably the league's best offense.
If the progression continues on both sides of the ball, I like Miami at home to cover the spread."
De'Von Achane Over 5.5 receptions (-105 BetMGM)
"Achane hit the Over on this total in the last two games, finishing with eight and seven, respectively. Tagovailoa turned to his running back more often in checkdown situations in the previous two weeks, and the offense looked better for it.
While Achane struggled to accumulate yards against Buffalo (29), he was utilized frequently in quick dropback scenarios, something that will likely continue while Tagovailoa works on restoring confidence."
Jets vs Dolphins Best Odds:
Who comes out on top in this early toilet bowl game?
Dolphins -2.5 (-115 Caesars)
"There isn't a smack-you-in-the-face advantage for either winless team on prime time. However, the Miami Dolphins enjoyed an additional three days off after losing to the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football.
And despite most people's condemnation of Tua Tagovailoa's play, the Dolphins QB had his team within a score of leveling the game late in Buffalo against the Super Bowl odds betting favorite.
While Tagovailoa's interception, which scuppered his team's chances of completing the comeback, was inexcusable, at least he had them in that position in one of the most challenging buildings to play.
Justin Fields, who will start after clearing concussion protocol, was dreadful against the Bills at home in Week 2, finishing with a 30.7 offensive rating (PFF) and 3-for-11 for 27 passing yards before leaving the game in the fourth quarter.
Yes, the Jets almost pulled a Houdini act in Tampa Bay without Fields, but they have their special teams to thank for having any chance whatsoever.
Both teams are brutal in most statistical categories, but the Dolphins are surprisingly tied for the second-best rush EPA per play. And while Miami's defense is the second-worst in terms of DVOA and the worst in EPA per play, it made significant strides in Buffalo against arguably the league's best offense.
If the progression continues on both sides of the ball, I like Miami at home to cover the spread."
De'Von Achane Over 5.5 receptions (-105 BetMGM)
"Achane hit the Over on this total in the last two games, finishing with eight and seven, respectively. Tagovailoa turned to his running back more often in checkdown situations in the previous two weeks, and the offense looked better for it.
While Achane struggled to accumulate yards against Buffalo (29), he was utilized frequently in quick dropback scenarios, something that will likely continue while Tagovailoa works on restoring confidence."
Jets vs Dolphins Best Odds:
Who comes out on top in this early toilet bowl game?