SNF Week 4: Packers vs Cowboys Predictions

[SBR Andy]

Week 4 of Sunday Night Football features two storied franchises with the Packers taking on the Cowboys.

Both teams came back down to earth last week with Green Bay losing to the Browns and Dallas getting trounced by the Bears.

Who do you like to cover the spread on Sunday night?

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Mike Spector takes a look at the matchup in his early Packers vs Cowboys prediction:

Packers -5.5 (-115)

"The Packers come into this game hungry after blowing a 10-point lead with under four minutes to play against the Cleveland Browns last week. And not only was Dallas’ 17-point loss to the Chicago Bears worse, but it may be without its top playmaker in CeeDee Lamb.

The Packers are 6-0 all time at AT&T Stadium. That, and Lamb’s injury news, has me jumping on Green Bay as my early Packers vs. Cowboys best bet at anything less than a touchdown in case the wide receiver is ruled out.

Green Bay’s offense was stymied by a solid Browns defense, but it should perform much more efficiently this week.

Quarterback Jordan Love’s splits against man versus zone defense from last year are vastly different. Against man coverage, Love completed 56% of his passes for 6.9 yards per attempt and was off-target on 20% of throws. Against zone, Love’s completion percentage increased to 68% while averaging 8.7 yards per attempt and lowering his off-target percentage to 10%.

Those splits are significant since Dallas entered last week using zone on 86% of opponents’ dropbacks (the most in the NFL) while allowing 283.0 passing yards per game in that coverage."