With the NFL season fast approaching, SBR's Gary Pearson offers his best NFL player props bets to make ahead of Week 1:
CeeDee Lamb Over 1,150.5 receiving yards (-115 Caesars)
"Dak Prescott is back and raring to go for the 2025 season. His presence has unparalleled importance on Lamb's overall output after the star wideout endured a down season without Prescott's gunslinging ways.
While I'm certain Lamb's contract holdout negatively impacted last season's start, Prescott's extended absence prevented him from finding a fifth gear. Lamb still managed 1,194 receiving yards despite having only three performances of at least 100 yards.
George Pickens' arrival in Big D has some believing Lamb's output will decrease.
While Pickens will receive his fair share of targets, the former Pittsburgh Steelers wideout should also benefit Lamb's numbers, as it will prevent teams from continuously doubling the Cowboys' star.
Lamb hit the Over in the last three seasons, easily surpassing the required total in 2022 and 2023, amassing 1,359 and 1,749 yards, respectively. Additionally, the Cowboys will be forced to air it out due to their lackluster ground attack.
You can squeeze some extra value out of DraftKings, which offers -110 odds; however, the total increases by 50 yards. Let's ride Lamb as part of our best NFL player prop bets together this year."
Caleb Williams Over 3,550.5 passing yards (-120 BetMGM)
"This is my favorite among my best NFL player prop bets, as Williams should be better protected in the pocket this season.
After being sacked a league-high 68 times last year, Williams now has arguably one of the best offensive lines watching his back after the team acquired Joe Thuney, Jonah Jackson, and Drew Dalman.
Last year, the No. 1 draft pick managed 3,541 yards despite being hit faster and more often than the worst player in a high school dodgeball game.
Can he muster an additional 10 yards with more time to spare than an unemployed teenager? I'm confident he can, especially under an offensive play-calling wizard like Coach of the Year odds favorite Ben Johnson.
If you go 50 yards more, you'll find a sliver more value at Caesars, which offers -115 for a total of 3600.5. But I reckon the juice isn't worth the squeeze."
Mike Evans Over 950.5 receiving yards (-114 DraftKings)
"Evans has played 11 NFL seasons, and he hasn't failed to eclipse 1,000 receiving yards in any of them. He left it late last season, getting the required yards with just 30 seconds remaining in Week 17.
At some point, the 31-year-old's production will decrease. That's as inevitable as the New York Giants missing the playoffs.
While it's bound to happen, I don't think this will be the year. Evans is one of the primary targets of a prolific passing offense led by Baker Mayfield, who had the third-most passing yards (4,500) last season.
Evans continuously bashed through the 1,000-receiving-yard barrier despite playing a full season just twice in the last six years.
So, yes, please.
I'll take my chances on the soon-to-be 32-year-old. Of our best sports betting apps, DraftKings offers the best value. You can get a bit more value at BetMGM (-102) if you opt for Over 1000.5 yards, but I'm giving myself a potential age deterioration buffer."
What player prop bets are you making this year? Share your picks below!
CeeDee Lamb Over 1,150.5 receiving yards (-115 Caesars)
"Dak Prescott is back and raring to go for the 2025 season. His presence has unparalleled importance on Lamb's overall output after the star wideout endured a down season without Prescott's gunslinging ways.
While I'm certain Lamb's contract holdout negatively impacted last season's start, Prescott's extended absence prevented him from finding a fifth gear. Lamb still managed 1,194 receiving yards despite having only three performances of at least 100 yards.
George Pickens' arrival in Big D has some believing Lamb's output will decrease.
While Pickens will receive his fair share of targets, the former Pittsburgh Steelers wideout should also benefit Lamb's numbers, as it will prevent teams from continuously doubling the Cowboys' star.
Lamb hit the Over in the last three seasons, easily surpassing the required total in 2022 and 2023, amassing 1,359 and 1,749 yards, respectively. Additionally, the Cowboys will be forced to air it out due to their lackluster ground attack.
You can squeeze some extra value out of DraftKings, which offers -110 odds; however, the total increases by 50 yards. Let's ride Lamb as part of our best NFL player prop bets together this year."
Caleb Williams Over 3,550.5 passing yards (-120 BetMGM)
"This is my favorite among my best NFL player prop bets, as Williams should be better protected in the pocket this season.
After being sacked a league-high 68 times last year, Williams now has arguably one of the best offensive lines watching his back after the team acquired Joe Thuney, Jonah Jackson, and Drew Dalman.
Last year, the No. 1 draft pick managed 3,541 yards despite being hit faster and more often than the worst player in a high school dodgeball game.
Can he muster an additional 10 yards with more time to spare than an unemployed teenager? I'm confident he can, especially under an offensive play-calling wizard like Coach of the Year odds favorite Ben Johnson.
If you go 50 yards more, you'll find a sliver more value at Caesars, which offers -115 for a total of 3600.5. But I reckon the juice isn't worth the squeeze."
Mike Evans Over 950.5 receiving yards (-114 DraftKings)
"Evans has played 11 NFL seasons, and he hasn't failed to eclipse 1,000 receiving yards in any of them. He left it late last season, getting the required yards with just 30 seconds remaining in Week 17.
At some point, the 31-year-old's production will decrease. That's as inevitable as the New York Giants missing the playoffs.
While it's bound to happen, I don't think this will be the year. Evans is one of the primary targets of a prolific passing offense led by Baker Mayfield, who had the third-most passing yards (4,500) last season.
Evans continuously bashed through the 1,000-receiving-yard barrier despite playing a full season just twice in the last six years.
So, yes, please.
I'll take my chances on the soon-to-be 32-year-old. Of our best sports betting apps, DraftKings offers the best value. You can get a bit more value at BetMGM (-102) if you opt for Over 1000.5 yards, but I'm giving myself a potential age deterioration buffer."
What player prop bets are you making this year? Share your picks below!
