sat aug 10.... 7-2 to the under
ytd 12-2 to the unders
Comment
DickMcBulge
SBR Rookie
06-29-24
11
#3
Unders 13-3 now after the dallas/ rams game.
Interesting that the line moves on sides of 2 or more points from the opening line to
the closing line using wagertalk.com odds site and the westgates closing lines were a
dismal 2-9 ats .
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#4
Originally posted by DickMcBulge
Unders 13-3 now after the dallas/ rams game.
Interesting that the line moves on sides of 2 or more points from the opening line to
the closing line using wagertalk.com odds site and the westgates closing lines were a
dismal 2-9 ats .
could only be moving based on wagers per side IMO. pre-season action so unpredictable,,, that being said, still some unders coming next week,,, as per previous yrs. week 3&4 of preseason should see those totals even up tho.
G/L Big D
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#5
week #2
14 unders 2 overs
27 to the under and 5 to the over after 2 weeks.
Comment
Dlo5
SBR High Roller
09-23-13
132
#6
Thank you for the info T100. I wish I would have seen this thread last week Could have made a nice profit
Comment
DickMcBulge
SBR Rookie
06-29-24
11
#7
along with the UNDERS on a huge run, the line moves continue
to fail now going 6-19 ats for the preseason from the opening line
using wagertalk.com and the closing number from the westgate.
Some of week two's major fails were:
5 1/2 point moves to New England, Arizona, Kansas City, Carolina= lose outright
4 1/2 point moves to the Chargers another su loss and the Ravens with a one point victory.
4 point move to the NYG and another outright flop.
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#8
Originally posted by Dlo5
Thank you for the info T100. I wish I would have seen this thread last week Could have made a nice profit
still can turn a profit, just gotta guess right ,,,but also now we need to pay attention to starters time on the field. I expect the totals to creep up with starters pullin more shifts,,, but,expect the totals to be just slightly inflated by the books knowing this info is public. IMO unders will still be the play week #3, but I will steer clear of betting an under on the higher scoring teams in wks #1 &2.
goodluck men!!
Head coach Shane Steichen will give his first-team offense and defense one final game to tune things up before Sept. 8's regular season opener against the Houston Texans.
CINCINNATI – For the second consecutive year, the Colts will play their starters in a Thursday night preseason finale. And for the second consecutive year, the Colts' opponent – in 2023, the Philadelphia Eagles; in 2024, the Cincinnati Bengals – will rest their starters.
Nothing says your offense is ready for the regular season like a Joe Burrow back-shoulder throw oozing with timing and trust.
Bengals head coach Zac Taylor had no initial report on Murphy after practice, where he said the starters won't play in Thursday's preseason finale (8 p.m.-Prime Video) against the Colts at Paycor Stadium.
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#11
under tide could be receding for the final week... both games over on thurs.
AND... guess I missed the memo on the change from 4 pre-season gms to 3 for the nfl.
Comment
Optional
Administrator
06-10-10
62018
#12
for 2025
.
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#13
Originally posted by Optional
for 2025
will track them and post as often as possible.
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#14
looks like dawgs might be the better option this pre-season
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
37814
#15
Originally posted by T100
looks like dawgs might be the better option this pre-season
This is a good thread. NFL Pre-Season USED TO be a big handicapping event.
Guys would study it intently and get an edge. I'd say that two things changed:
1) The flow of information is so fast. Hard to get down b4 a number moves based on information.
2) I think the coaches have come to realize that Pre-season is garbage. The # of games has been slashed. A coach can look like the dumbest guy on the planet if he gets a Starter injured in a Pre-season game.
GL on the plays! And thx for the info.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
ChuckyTheGoat
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-04-11
37814
#16
T100:
1) How much LOWER are the 2025 posted totals (on average) compared to 2024?
2) Props again on a thread w/ great insights.
Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#17
Do not over think it and do not go down with the ship.
If anything, abandon the "Under trend" from yrs gone by as (IMO) we are witness to change in real time.
With the "shortened" pre-season, I think we are witnessing how future pre-seasons will play out and that is to concentrate on Offense!
Overs are now at 4-0-0 AND (correct me if I`m wrong) Dawgs are also at 4-0-0. dawgs went 3-0 last night.
My best guess would be Week #1 pre will see an offensive type of game,,, week#2?? That`s where I would tread lightly, coaches will want to see what the defense looks like,,,, then onto week#3.... jump back onto that over the total mindset as they prep for week #1 reg season.
gonna add that the lone under so far this pre-season was a game shortened by 12 minutes
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#21
pre-season week #1 totals 13-3-0
u/dawgs ats 11-5
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#22
Soooo, lets see just what week #2 gives us. My "predictions" from the previous post on the shortened pre-season were that coaching staff will look to defensive strategies for the 2nd gm. lets see if that holds true......
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#23
Interesting reversal of an Under trend that dominated pre-season gms for yrs.... I see very little reason to even consider an Under wager at this point.
Comment
T100
SBR Sharp
07-26-09
333
#24
43.5 is the total on tonight's gm,,,, I would say the man has caught up to the line adjustment