1st off if you do not learn from your losses forgettabouttit
MY 1st system years ago home game b 2 b if team is favored vs NON div foe and s/u losses Fade the fawwwk out of em when DIV rival comes in started this in the 90's
anyway week to week i use 4 parts 1st off points for and against after 1st 2 weeks you will see more clear results
like this actual results week 4 bills vs miami
buffalo PF 91- PA 35= +56 DIV BY 3 +19 POINTS PER GAME
miami pf 130 pa 71 +59 div by 3 = +20 ppg
add spread in bills are now +16 miami 23 BUT maimi 3 wins was facing poor defsnses ranked in bottom of dvoa
and it was squeaky wins 1st 2 games 36-34 +3 dog @ Chagers 24-17 -2.5 @ patriots then the record win since 1966 70 - 20 over pathetic Broncos Bills dfense rank 8th with also top 10 offense Kaboom Miami exposed 48-20
in other words it's not that you won it's who you beat
Texans home vs steelrs i said trap game they are looking ahaed to Rival Ravens
teans pf 66 pa 73 -7 div by 3 = -2.33 pergame round off - 2 steelrs pf 56 pa 70 = - 5 ppg
add spread in texans + 1 steelers now -8 result texans buried them 30-6
ok thats it basic math
why cowboys lost @ cardinals 40-0 vs Giants 30- 10 VS jets -13.5 @ cards got drilled 28-16
next always injuries come into play teams missing 3 or more starters on IR are to be faded
and watch spread moves like Eagles -6 vs wash then -8.5 result eagles won by 3 in ot
then charting teams ats 5 point incerments up to +40 down to negative 40
this is key in all games Ravens -12.5 week 3 week 4 +27.5 add together to get diff between 2 points = 40 points move neg. to pos
Broncos week 3 -44 week 4 no cover spread -.05 bye bye week 5 thats 39 points improvement
this one almost 100% teams falt lined BUCS week 1 +7 week 2 +7 plus week 2 one player set record scoring 4 t'd week 3 crash home dog +4.5 negative 9.5 ats week 4 uhoooooooo + 20.5 as DOG at Rival saints week 5 bye week
sometimes good sometimes bad losing momentum from a win
and i fawwking hate that new term used in NFL games from losers INFLUENCED outcomes
In·flu·ence
noun
influence of gangsta rap cant even be played on radio influence of violent video games 11 yer old just now shot his team mates over a bag of chips
this has no effect on nfl games mlb games nba games
if you can give me some script or something saying this game is influenced i would mortage my house and my salary for rest of year that's everything i have $250,000 i'd be a millionaire in 3 weeks
dee da dee da dee da dumm that's all folks
MY 1st system years ago home game b 2 b if team is favored vs NON div foe and s/u losses Fade the fawwwk out of em when DIV rival comes in started this in the 90's
anyway week to week i use 4 parts 1st off points for and against after 1st 2 weeks you will see more clear results
like this actual results week 4 bills vs miami
buffalo PF 91- PA 35= +56 DIV BY 3 +19 POINTS PER GAME
miami pf 130 pa 71 +59 div by 3 = +20 ppg
add spread in bills are now +16 miami 23 BUT maimi 3 wins was facing poor defsnses ranked in bottom of dvoa
and it was squeaky wins 1st 2 games 36-34 +3 dog @ Chagers 24-17 -2.5 @ patriots then the record win since 1966 70 - 20 over pathetic Broncos Bills dfense rank 8th with also top 10 offense Kaboom Miami exposed 48-20
in other words it's not that you won it's who you beat
Texans home vs steelrs i said trap game they are looking ahaed to Rival Ravens
teans pf 66 pa 73 -7 div by 3 = -2.33 pergame round off - 2 steelrs pf 56 pa 70 = - 5 ppg
add spread in texans + 1 steelers now -8 result texans buried them 30-6
ok thats it basic math
why cowboys lost @ cardinals 40-0 vs Giants 30- 10 VS jets -13.5 @ cards got drilled 28-16
next always injuries come into play teams missing 3 or more starters on IR are to be faded
and watch spread moves like Eagles -6 vs wash then -8.5 result eagles won by 3 in ot
then charting teams ats 5 point incerments up to +40 down to negative 40
this is key in all games Ravens -12.5 week 3 week 4 +27.5 add together to get diff between 2 points = 40 points move neg. to pos
Broncos week 3 -44 week 4 no cover spread -.05 bye bye week 5 thats 39 points improvement
this one almost 100% teams falt lined BUCS week 1 +7 week 2 +7 plus week 2 one player set record scoring 4 t'd week 3 crash home dog +4.5 negative 9.5 ats week 4 uhoooooooo + 20.5 as DOG at Rival saints week 5 bye week
sometimes good sometimes bad losing momentum from a win
and i fawwking hate that new term used in NFL games from losers INFLUENCED outcomes
In·flu·ence
noun
- 1. the capacity to have an effect on the character, development, or behavior of someone or something, or the effect itself: "the influence of television violence"
influence of gangsta rap cant even be played on radio influence of violent video games 11 yer old just now shot his team mates over a bag of chips
this has no effect on nfl games mlb games nba games
if you can give me some script or something saying this game is influenced i would mortage my house and my salary for rest of year that's everything i have $250,000 i'd be a millionaire in 3 weeks
dee da dee da dee da dumm that's all folks