HOW to handicap THE NFL

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  • OldBill
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-02-21
    • 6416

    #1
    HOW to handicap THE NFL
    1st off if you do not learn from your losses forgettabouttit

    MY 1st system years ago home game b 2 b if team is favored vs NON div foe and s/u losses Fade the fawwwk out of em when DIV rival comes in started this in the 90's

    anyway week to week i use 4 parts 1st off points for and against after 1st 2 weeks you will see more clear results

    like this actual results week 4 bills vs miami

    buffalo PF 91- PA 35= +56 DIV BY 3 +19 POINTS PER GAME

    miami pf 130 pa 71 +59 div by 3 = +20 ppg

    add spread in bills are now +16 miami 23 BUT maimi 3 wins was facing poor defsnses ranked in bottom of dvoa

    and it was squeaky wins 1st 2 games 36-34 +3 dog @ Chagers 24-17 -2.5 @ patriots then the record win since 1966 70 - 20 over pathetic Broncos Bills dfense rank 8th with also top 10 offense Kaboom Miami exposed 48-20

    in other words it's not that you won it's who you beat


    Texans home vs steelrs i said trap game they are looking ahaed to Rival Ravens

    teans pf 66 pa 73 -7 div by 3 = -2.33 pergame round off - 2 steelrs pf 56 pa 70 = - 5 ppg

    add spread in texans + 1 steelers now -8 result texans buried them 30-6

    ok thats it basic math

    why cowboys lost @ cardinals 40-0 vs Giants 30- 10 VS jets -13.5 @ cards got drilled 28-16

    next always injuries come into play teams missing 3 or more starters on IR are to be faded

    and watch spread moves like Eagles -6 vs wash then -8.5 result eagles won by 3 in ot

    then charting teams ats 5 point incerments up to +40 down to negative 40

    this is key in all games Ravens -12.5 week 3 week 4 +27.5 add together to get diff between 2 points = 40 points move neg. to pos

    Broncos week 3 -44 week 4 no cover spread -.05 bye bye week 5 thats 39 points improvement

    this one almost 100% teams falt lined BUCS week 1 +7 week 2 +7 plus week 2 one player set record scoring 4 t'd week 3 crash home dog +4.5 negative 9.5 ats week 4 uhoooooooo + 20.5 as DOG at Rival saints week 5 bye week

    sometimes good sometimes bad losing momentum from a win

    and i fawwking hate that new term used in NFL games from losers INFLUENCED outcomes

    In·flu·ence
    noun

    • 1. the capacity to have an effect on the character, development, or behavior of someone or something, or the effect itself: "the influence of television violence"

    influence of gangsta rap cant even be played on radio influence of violent video games 11 yer old just now shot his team mates over a bag of chips

    this has no effect on nfl games mlb games nba games

    if you can give me some script or something saying this game is influenced i would mortage my house and my salary for rest of year that's everything i have $250,000 i'd be a millionaire in 3 weeks

    dee da dee da dee da dumm that's all folks
  • Str8Mush4Life
    SBR MVP
    • 11-25-13
    • 1030

    #2
    Originally posted by OldBill
    influence of gangsta rap cant even be played on radio influence of violent video games 11 yer old just now shot his team mates over a bag of chips
    What in the holy hell are you even talking about?
    Comment
    • DwightShrute
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-17-09
      • 103222

      #3
      seriously Bill, most of us haven't a clue what you are talking about ever with your posts. Its all over the place like a dog's breakfast.

      Comment
      • Unwritten Law
        SBR MVP
        • 10-31-13
        • 2532

        #4
        LOL!
        Comment
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