ok say you have one team that basically is 0 points + or - and the only thing they are plus is the spread FADE them vs any team with winning record
NEXT scenario if both teams are negative points like say 50 or 20 both teams even is s/u record is 5-4 fade the chalk
so lets look at week 10's matchups
and 1st game tnf is what i'm talking about
falcons @ panthers falcons favored -3
Falcons PF 217 pA 225 4-5 record -8 points div by 9 - 0.888888 ok - 1 ppg
panthers 179 pf 228 pa recnt blow out loss to cincy 42-21/// 2 - 7 s/u -49 points div by 9 = -5.5 ppg
ok add spraed in falcons re now -4 panthers -2.5 s pc em panthers was -4.5 minus the -1 of falcons
hmmmmmmmm matchup edge show falcons all except yards allowed
trend cold Falcons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
hot Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
ok panthers defense is problem
heavy dose of patterson run and receiving will give falcons edge
next matchup
lol raiders -6.5 home vs Colts
Raiders are 4-5 colts 3-5 -1 which is basically same as 3-6
here ya go colts 132 PF 183 PA -51 div by 9 = -5.6 ppg ok round up -6 ppg
raiders 183 pf 201 pa -18 div by 9 = -2 so as pckem colts are -4 ppg
add spread in raiders are now -8.5 colts are +.05 raiders now -8 to the spread
bol this week and not touching game in germany
NEXT scenario if both teams are negative points like say 50 or 20 both teams even is s/u record is 5-4 fade the chalk
so lets look at week 10's matchups
and 1st game tnf is what i'm talking about
falcons @ panthers falcons favored -3
Falcons PF 217 pA 225 4-5 record -8 points div by 9 - 0.888888 ok - 1 ppg
panthers 179 pf 228 pa recnt blow out loss to cincy 42-21/// 2 - 7 s/u -49 points div by 9 = -5.5 ppg
ok add spraed in falcons re now -4 panthers -2.5 s pc em panthers was -4.5 minus the -1 of falcons
hmmmmmmmm matchup edge show falcons all except yards allowed
trend cold Falcons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
hot Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Panthers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
ok panthers defense is problem
heavy dose of patterson run and receiving will give falcons edge
next matchup
lol raiders -6.5 home vs Colts
Raiders are 4-5 colts 3-5 -1 which is basically same as 3-6
here ya go colts 132 PF 183 PA -51 div by 9 = -5.6 ppg ok round up -6 ppg
raiders 183 pf 201 pa -18 div by 9 = -2 so as pckem colts are -4 ppg
add spread in raiders are now -8.5 colts are +.05 raiders now -8 to the spread
bol this week and not touching game in germany