Some interesting patterns for teams one game before their bye week.
Most impressive in this situation are road dogs coming off a SU or ATS loss. The psychological explanation is fairly simple. They're feeling bad about the last game, and want to avoid feeling even worse during the next two weeks between games; plus they have to prove themselves on the road (home teams aren't nearly as responsive in this spot). These teams have a lot on the line emotionally and will play accordingly. Expect them to win at a rate of about 65-68% ATS.
Team in this spot this week: Arizona Cardinals +4
Most impressive in this situation are road dogs coming off a SU or ATS loss. The psychological explanation is fairly simple. They're feeling bad about the last game, and want to avoid feeling even worse during the next two weeks between games; plus they have to prove themselves on the road (home teams aren't nearly as responsive in this spot). These teams have a lot on the line emotionally and will play accordingly. Expect them to win at a rate of about 65-68% ATS.
Team in this spot this week: Arizona Cardinals +4