Line Movement starting to drop 1.5 and lower

[BigOrangeTitans]

Betjam and Bookmaker down to -1.5 with pinny and greek soon to follow (reduced juice at -2 -105). I see this thing getting down -1 or better by tip. If you like KU or KU ml, i would take it now...

Memphis backers should probably wait.

[SBR Lou]

I couldn't wait any longer, I've made my bed already with Memphis and going to lay in it.

[ChuteBoxe]

So, big money is on Kansas? I'm showing 68% of public money is on Memphis.

[BigOrangeTitans]

So, big money is on Kansas? I'm showing 68% of public money is on Memphis.

Big money is on Memphis, dont forget the line had a 2 point movement in less than 10000 bets. 3 point movement total. Openers are usually drilled up by sharps and large wagers. Lots of late public money is driving this line back down.

This line in no way shape or form is moving weird. This is a very typical line movement for such a large game. If the line was memphis +3, then you would worry.

[BigOrangeTitans]

1.5 at pinny/5dimes now.

[dannyt76]

Man it's still Memphis -2.5 at my book.

[BigOrangeTitans]

1.5 at matchbook now.

[Wheell]

As best I can tell this is a game that has the real sharps on Memphis and the math guys on Kansas. Also, the sharps are on the over and the math guys are on the under. I know who I am backing. Memphis and the over.

[Tigers1230]

I think the under is going to plummet. It was just at 148.5 and is now dropping. I can see it maybe getting back to 146.

[BigOrangeTitans]

1.5 Looks like the best thing pre-tip besides matchbook has memphis ML at -119.

[rake922]

whatever team covers the 1st half spread... WILL NOT cover the 2nd half spread as well

[polishkielbasa10]

Suprise Suprise!!!bodog Still -2.5, What A F-ing Joke

[BigOrangeTitans]

Suprise Suprise!!!bodog Still -2.5, What A F-ing Joke

They have too much invested from people hammering em with memphis. They wont movethat line.

[hi-rez]

whatever team covers the 1st half spread... WILL NOT cover the 2nd half spread as well

???

Kansas covered the first half, second half, game against UNC.

What prompts you to write this?

[BrUno0]

Lines -2 again, was 1.5, i'm showing 68% on memphis, BOT, is this not that trend play you were talking about? Either way, i still like memphis

[BigOrangeTitans]

Lines -2 again, was 1.5, i'm showing 68% on memphis, BOT, is this not that trend play you were talking about? Either way, i still like memphis

Only a trend play if its 68% and the line went like memphis +1 or +1.5

When a line moves three points against the public, its called "true" linemovement.

[BrUno0]

Only a trend play if its 68% and the line went like memphis +1 or +1.5

When a line moves three points against the public, its called "true" linemovement.

I see, but in your thread you state even when the line moved .5-1 pt, in publics favor, you had some %'s i forget what they were, but they were quite high.


Meh, line just moved again, what the amount of points that you wanna see moved for that trend to consider betting it? say 68% and the line moved 1-2 pts in public fav, that'd be pretty strong eh? .5 factor in to the trend much, or no?

[BigOrangeTitans]

I see, but in your thread you state even when the line moved .5-1 pt, in publics favor, you had some %'s i forget what they were, but they were quite high.


Meh, line just moved again, what the amount of points that you wanna see moved for that trend to consider betting it?

bruno,
If you read the publics favor part, you'll see that means the line came out at Memphis +1. If it goes to .5 or +1.5 or +2.0 or more makin memphis a BIGGER dog, then it fits.

[hi-rez]

Looks like it's closing at -2. I got it at -1.5 and bought a hook