Mich St. line moving against public

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  • awhitejackson
    SBR MVP
    • 11-15-07
    • 2265

    #1
    Mich St. line moving against public
    I really like Temples chances as a dog tommorow to cover +7.5...Problem is line started a full point under at +6.5 and even though 70% of public bets are on Temple line has moved towards publics money (sorry thread name says different and I dont know how to change it)....Now I dont know what to do.. I hate when I feel like I've got a sure thing and then points move in funky directions....Any Ideas?????
  • Quebb Diesel
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-08
    • 3045

    #2
    yeah i dunno...i was looking at this game similar to a msu iu game...i like how msu matches up to temple but i dont think i have enough balls to take msu -7...
    Comment
    • MrFresh
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-27-08
      • 269

      #3
      I just hope Mich St wins cuz i got ML on them.
      Comment
      • OLGC_Slayer
        SBR MVP
        • 02-28-08
        • 2186

        #4
        I'm on Temple+7 in this one. I think it stays real tight and Michigan wins by 3-5. Temple is one of those sweetheart dogs this year so I'm a little concerned about that line bouncing everywhere too, but I capped Michigan-3 so I'm taking the points.
        Comment
        • awhitejackson
          SBR MVP
          • 11-15-07
          • 2265

          #5
          Sorry I meant moving with public money in thread name ....tooo much pregame festivities....
          Comment
          • Quebb Diesel
            SBR MVP
            • 01-26-08
            • 3045

            #6
            GL OLGC...i just hate going against neitzel in the big dance...izzo always seems to have him firing on all cylinders in the tourney...
            Comment
            • awhitejackson
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-07
              • 2265

              #7
              Originally posted by Quebb Diesel
              GL OLGC...i just hate going against neitzel in the big dance...izzo always seems to have him firing on all cylinders in the tourney...
              I think this is what the sharps are thinking...I bet they are pounding MSU. Maybe be reason for line move
              Comment
              • BuddyBear
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-10-05
                • 7233

                #8
                Well, i've heard opinions all week on this matchup and the "sharps" and "sqaures" are on Temple alike. I am passing on this game. The only way i could play this is Temple but I can't pull the trigger against Izzo in the tournament. Plus MSU is the only team I root for in sports really....
                Comment
                • Quebb Diesel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-26-08
                  • 3045

                  #9
                  im thinking morgan gives christmas problems all day long...i wish this line was around -5 to -6 and id take msu!!! 7 1/2 is bending me too much
                  Comment
                  • OLGC_Slayer
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-28-08
                    • 2186

                    #10
                    I still think Michigan State wins. I am just betting it stays close. If Temple is up at the half I may even play MSU cover in the 2nd half.
                    Comment
                    • Quebb Diesel
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-26-08
                      • 3045

                      #11
                      yeah im backing off this game...too tough to call for me...
                      Comment
                      • andyman009
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-21-08
                        • 662

                        #12
                        why not bet the over?
                        Comment
                        • Quebb Diesel
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-26-08
                          • 3045

                          #13
                          i hate taking big 10 overs...they are few and far between!
                          Comment
                          • WestsidePete
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-19-07
                            • 8049

                            #14
                            not only do I think Temple covers I think they win this game
                            Comment
                            • diogee
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-11-08
                              • 19477

                              #15
                              I have Temple moving on in my bracket as well.
                              Comment
                              • BigOrangeTitans
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-23-07
                                • 4504

                                #16
                                Public money trends are only +50% when the public is on the favorite. When the fave is a public fade, it is not an important trend. Especially in march. Only worry about the "public" when it comes to undervalued dogs and the public pounds the fave.
                                Comment
                                • awhitejackson
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-15-07
                                  • 2265

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
                                  Public money trends are only +50% when the public is on the favorite. When the fave is a public fade, it is not an important trend. Especially in march. Only worry about the "public" when it comes to undervalued dogs and the public pounds the fave.
                                  I had to read that like 3 times....Out late...Good info though Thanks
                                  Comment
                                  • BigOrangeTitans
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-23-07
                                    • 4504

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by awhitejackson
                                    I had to read that like 3 times....Out late...Good info though Thanks
                                    Basically, this isnt a trend to second guess your capping with. It is less than 50%. Now if the public was on mich st and the line dropped, you would avoid MSU. Only time you need to look at it...
                                    Comment
                                    • OLGC_Slayer
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-28-08
                                      • 2186

                                      #19
                                      Who do you like here BOT?
                                      Comment
                                      • awhitejackson
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-15-07
                                        • 2265

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
                                        Basically, this isnt a trend to second guess your capping with. It is less than 50%. Now if the public was on mich st and the line dropped, you would avoid MSU. Only time you need to look at it...
                                        Thanks again...Came full circle in this Thread...I'm back on Temple....Glad to see this line movement isnt a big deal in this situation...
                                        Comment
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