Sunbelt Conference Tournament (Thoughts Wanted)

diogee · 03-05-08, 04:22 AM

I personally will never bet Denver on the road. They have been blown out of the water several times and have already lost to N.O. by 16 on the road as 8.5 point dogs and also by 6 at home when they were 2 point favorites. Denver averages 52 ppg on the road and allows 64 ppg on the road. They allow nearly 50% shooting on the road while shooting just 43.6% themselves. Denver is also terrible cleaning up the boards and get out-rebounded in almost every game as well as being out-rebounded by 10 rebounds between the 2 prior meetings between these 2.

WestsidePete · 03-05-08, 04:30 AM

no way Denver on the road here...2-15 this year on the road with a number of double digit loses...earlier this year New Orleans was a fav at -8.5 at home and beat Denver by 16

FADEME · 03-05-08, 04:33 AM

it would seem on paper that FL Intl +185 would be a good bet...Fl Intl beat them at home and away already and yet their 5 point dogs...seems like they have their number...they definitely have the size adv over them... i think its a decent gamble on the ML although with these weak teams from weak conferences anything can happen..this is the main reason why i stay away from betting college bball on fridays too unpredictable

WestsidePete · 03-05-08, 04:39 AM

Originally posted by FADEME

it would seem on paper that FL Intl +185 would be a good bet...Fl Intl beat them at home and away already and yet their 5 point dogs...seems like they have their number...they definitely have the size adv over them... i think its a decent gamble on the ML although with these weak teams from weak conferences anything can happen..this is the main reason why i stay away from betting college bball on fridays too unpredictable

I agree...Friday's were damn stressful and unpredictable...

buztah · 03-05-08, 09:06 AM

This Fl Int and Fla Atl game reminds me of E.Mich and Toledo's line from yesterday. E.Mich beat the piss out of Toledo at home and away and suddenly were geting 3 points to play Toledo. It was a trap. Toledo covered big time. I think this is a similar trap. I would have to play on Fla Atl if I played but I see better risk/reward out there.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-05-08, 11:00 AM

Best wagers IMO

ARKANSAS STATE +11.5 & ML +575 [Upset?]
TROY/UL-LAFAYETTE UNDER 145.5

WestsidePete · 03-05-08, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Best wagers IMO

ARKANSAS STATE +11.5 & ML +575 [Upset?]
TROY/UL-LAFAYETTE UNDER 145.5

wasn't Ark St picked to do much better this year?? good selection...

EaglesPhan36 · 03-05-08, 01:12 PM

They won the conference last year I believe and had 3 starters back. They were basically a .500 team this year until a big 9 game losing streak down the stretch. I think the plus pts should be a pretty good bet and they only lost by 5 to UNT a few days ago, so what the hell - why not go for the big price!