Wednesday ML Parlay & Discussion thread. Analysis,Leans & picks. Best thread on SBR..

[imgv94]

Alright guys.. Let's have a BIG day on Wednesday



What you got?

[Louisvillekid1]

ATS leans . . .

Duke -5
Syracuse -2
Vanderbilt -4.5
Tulane -3.5
Tennesse -3
Baylor -2

ML Leans . . .

Villanova
UAB
Houston
Oklahoma St.

[imgv94]

BYU: 46 game winning streak playing road weary Wyoming

Wisconsin: 103-7 @ Home last few seasons playing weak ass PSU

Indiana: Still bitter over MSU blowout. Minnesota is overrated IMO.

Oklahoma St: 5 game winning streak. Underrated team that I'd been lucky enough to of had a good read on all season. 13-2 @ home last time they played @ Oklahoma, Sooners barely won beat them actually should of lost.. Crowd will be nasty. Cowboys are the better team

Home court is nasty @ Okie St.


GL

[WestsidePete]

ML teams
Miami
Villanova
Indiana
UAB
New Orleans (college)

Straight Plays
Okla St -5.5
Syracuse -2
Tenn -3
Baylor -2

Not sure
Duke -5 ?? are these guys worth a play??

[imgv94]

BTW here are a few other teams who are solid for tomorrow..

Miami
Houston
UAB
Notre Dame

GL everyone in this thread

[rjt721]

UMass

[Louisvillekid1]

ML Parlay +103
Indiana
Houston
UAB

Baylor -2
Oklahoma St. -2.5 1st half
Vanderbilt -2 1st half

[Quebb Diesel]

Uuuuummmmmaaaaassssssssss

ive brought this up a couple times already in the past couple weeks...LA SALLE IS 11-0-1 ATS ON THE ROAD!!! will they cap off the year w/ an undefeated road ATS record?!

[$Bnizi]

considering...

Miami
UMass
Notre Dame
Houston
Villanova
N Texas
Wisc
BYU
LA Lafayette

[$Bnizi]

Jazz

[rjt721]

LA SALLE IS 11-0-1 ATS ON THE ROAD!!! will they cap off the year w/ an undefeated road ATS record?!

Maybe, but a SU win is an entirely different matter. These are really two similar teams - both featuring very good guard play, but both lack much of an interior presence. La Salle can certainly score, and they're capable of trading buckets with UMASS for a bit, but La Salle's biggest deficiency is the lack of a true ballhandler, something Travis Ford will expose by pressing for 40 min., which should result in easy hoops for the Minutemen. UMASS is obviously very tough at home, and their 3 home losses have come against teams with strong front court players (Nivins @ St. Joe's, Duncan and Brown @ Xavier, and Dunston @ Fordham). La Salle doesn't have an inside scorer to take advantage of UMASS' weakness inside. Both teams play a similar style, but UMASS' trio of Forbes, Harris and Lowe is better. Combine that with the incentive - a W tomorrow followed by a W at GW in the final regular season game should be enough to get UMASS an at-large bid, and I'd be very surprised if they didn't win this game tomorrow night.

FWIW, the game is already sold out, which is saying something considering this is a pro sports state (not to mention no one in their right mind would want to go to Amherst unless it's for something worthwhile).

[WestsidePete]

Jazz

14 pts though....a lot..

[diogee]

ML:
Miami
Indiana
Vandy
Houston
Missouri ??
UAB
Nova
N Texas

ATS Leans:
La Salle +9.5
Vandy -4.5
Baylor -2.5
Okla St -5.5

[WestsidePete]

rjt721,

Are you taking umass tomorrow??

[Quebb Diesel]

Maybe, but a SU win is an entirely different matter. These are really two similar teams - both featuring very good guard play, but both lack much of an interior presence. La Salle can certainly score, and they're capable of trading buckets with UMASS for a bit, but La Salle's biggest deficiency is the lack of a true ballhandler, something Travis Ford will expose by pressing for 40 min., which should result in easy hoops for the Minutemen. UMASS is obviously very tough at home, and their 3 home losses have come against teams with strong front court players (Nivins @ St. Joe's, Duncan and Brown @ Xavier, and Dunston @ Fordham). La Salle doesn't have an inside scorer to take advantage of UMASS' weakness inside. Both teams play a similar style, but UMASS' trio of Forbes, Harris and Lowe is better. Combine that with the incentive - a W tomorrow followed by a W at GW in the final regular season game should be enough to get UMASS an at-large bid, and I'd be very surprised if they didn't win this game tomorrow night.

FWIW, the game is already sold out, which is saying something considering this is a pro sports state (not to mention no one in their right mind would want to go to Amherst unless it's for something worthwhile).

i feel ya...i see umass winning this at home...i just had to throw that la salle stat out there b/c its pretty crazy!

[WestsidePete]

don't forget New Orleans (18-12) -8.5 vs Denver (11-18)

At 2-15 Denver is a pure garbage delight when playing away from home....they also have lost 6 in a row overall...New Orleans already beat them at home by 16 with a -8.5 spread and on the road beat them by 6 when Denver was a 2 pt fav...New Orleans outrebounded and out shot them in both games...New Orleans at home vs Denver are 3-0 past 3 years..5-1 overall past 3 years and 5-1 ATS past 3 years and 10-0 at home past ten years overall...

[rjt721]

rjt721,

Are you taking umass tomorrow??

No, I'm not. The only thing I've played is BC/Miami U 147.5.

Was just offering my input on that game, as I think it's a bad match up for La Salle. UMASS wins this game more than 84.6% of the time in my estimation, so -550 is not a bad price given the circumstances.

Good luck.

[diogee]

Good stuff WSP...somehow I didn't even look over that game.

[Wassymac]

Came up with many more plays than normal...here's the card

All 2*
Vandy -4.5
Florida +3
LSU -2
Duquense +7
Minny/Indy O 143
Baylor -2
Seton Hall +2.5

[WestsidePete]

New Orleans will be my best play...switched from kent st to texas today and shouldn't have....at -8.5 I really like New Orleans and especially at at home in the first conference tournament game...

[iladelcat]

ML teams
Miami
Villanova
Indiana
UAB
New Orleans (college)

Straight Plays
Okla St -5.5
Syracuse -2
Tenn -3
Baylor -2

Not sure
Duke -5 ?? are these guys worth a play??

I would steer away from Duke...duke is suspect on the road in conference play...plus sean singletary is a stud "guard" duke has problems with quick guards

[WestsidePete]

wow...here's a sleeper play Temple -7

Shawn James is doubtful...the leading scorer and rebounder for Duquesne

Duquesne center Shawn James has torn cartilage in his right shoulder, and his status is uncertain for the rest of the season.

James was injured while attempting a dunk with about 10 minutes remaining during a 89-82 loss at Charlotte on Sunday. He sat out the rest of the game after making two free throws. The labrum tear was found during an MRI exam on Tuesday.

James is averaging a team-leading 13.2 points, 7.2 rebounds and 4.1 blocks, fifth-best in the nation. Duquesne (16-11, 6-8) closes its conference schedule Saturday at home against Saint Louis.

"We're hoping Shawn can play again, even if it's limited minutes," coach Ron Everhart said. "He's an important player for us, but what's important is making sure Shawn is healthy."

James had a labrum tear in the same shoulder earlier in his career -- he played at Northeastern from 2004-06 -- but it was not surgically repaired.

He will see a shoulder specialist Wednesday, and it is expected he will need an operation on the latest tear once the season ends. If the specialist determines he can keep playing without doing additional damage to the shoulder, James will begin rehabilitation and attempt to play the rest of the season.

James, a 6-foot-10 junior from Brooklyn, did not accompany Duquesne on its trip to Philadelphia for Wednesday night's game against Temple.

The Dukes will play at least one game in the Atlantic 10 tournament in Atlantic City next week if they qualify. They are currently tied for 10th, and the top 12 qualify.

"We've got to go to Temple and play hard, get after them defensively, hit some shots and get some confidence back," Everhart said. "We know we can do it. We've just got to go and do it."

[diogee]

True WSP. Could easily be a blowout win.

[JColli32]

Already got the ML for the first three games I leaned towards...its a sign....locked it in

Parlay
Duke ML -236
Indiania -440
Nova -480

200 to win 222

[diogee]

GL Jcoll I will have Indiana and Nova in one of mine...Duke has screwed me a couple of times on the road so I might leave them out.

[JColli32]

duke is not losing to a mediocore virginia team on the way into the tourny

[JColli32]

but yes thank you im sure we're gonna get some strong plays on here tomorrow gl to u diogee as i have been in a bit of a slump lately

[diogee]

I have been in a 4 day slump myself...time to turn it around. Let's cash some winners.

[BigBollocks]

I'm debating on pulling the trigger on the MS State ML, but believe we'll see the line go higher Wednesday. I know Vandy's undefeated at home, but if it reaches somewhere in the +250 range I'll be forced to pull the trigger.

[stingyrivers]

yup.... this falls under my it's too good to be true catagory, which are 3-0 since saturday.....

Duke
Tenn

at +124

somebody talk me down might take the leap on this one....

imgv, you got your 4 unit play for tonight?? was the ND, BYU Wiscy lines to high to do it?? eagerly awaiting your plays bro

[diogee]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-basketball-handicapping/61952-imgv-rare-3-unit-play-cbb-wed-ytd-162-114-19-30-units-last-7-days-19-3-12-91-a.html

He posted a 3 unit play there stingy...I might take a shot on Duke and Tenn as well...good odds on 2 pretty good teams.

[stingyrivers]

thanks diogee.... looks like a very profitable night out there with this card..... another clean sweep like the last few nights would make us all happy, let's do this.....

btw, already have my eyes on a too good to be true ML Parlay for thurs....

lookin like its gonna be Uconn/UCLA, i am expecting that to payout at fairly close to even money, let's keep this rolling

[diogee]

Good luck stingy...Make the books pay tonight.

[buztah]

Bama Birmingham
Tenn
Duke
Indiana

+260

[YoungMoney23]

I might take a shot at Duke/Tenn - although Duke has really screwed me big time a few times on the road. Rockets ML (NBA) looks awfully solid to put somewhere in a parlay at -600, just to get a better payout. They are red hot and at home vs. a sub-par Pacers team. Good luck everybody!