lets pick some "locks" for tuesdays games...

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  • andyman009
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-21-08
    • 662

    #1
    lets pick some "locks" for tuesdays games...
    I made a list of a few teams that from the looks at the stats, and records, and all that other crap that people use to forecast sports, cant seem to lose (from how they look on paper against their oppositions)...lets all put our sports IQ's to the test, discuss some of these predictions...from the looks of things around the forum, a lot of us have been having a pretty sh1tty past few days (i being one of them) so lets work together here and compile a list....i will be updating the list periodically according to what people say...If you post a pic, please explain WHY you are picking that team...a lot of people here want some sort of logical reasoning before betting on a team)

    1. Texas -850 (playing nebraska at home, nuff said)

    2. Wright state -750 (wright state 12-3 at home, detroit 1-12 on the road)

    3. Kent state -260 (kent state 14-0 at home, miami(ohio) 4-9 on the road, best team they beat is ball state(5-22)

    4. Portland State -850 (portland state 10-1 at home, eastern washington is 2-11 on the road)

    5. Austin Peay -550 ( AP is 12-1 at home, only losing to a very good Akron team nearly 3 months ago, eastern kentucky 5-8 on the road, best team they beat was Tennessee Martin (which is only 7-6 at home)

    6. Orlando Magic -420 (Magic playing against a bosh-less raptors team at home. Raptors just lost to the bobcats at home)

    7. San Antonio Spurs -800 (Being from New Jersey, I know for a fact the Nets won't win this game. They have no beaten the Spurs in like 7 years)

    8. LA Lakers -225 (I can't see the Lakers losing to the Kings unless Artest knocks out Kobe. Martin-Artest-Miller can't keep up against Bryant-Gasol-Odom)

    9. Illinois-Chicago -750 (Illinois-Chicago 11-3 home record, Youngstown 2-12 on the road, with only one road win in the conference against horrid detroit)

    Incase you're curious, all that parlayed would pay 100:366


    Teams I'm 75% about...

    1. Valparaiso -250 (12-4 at home against 3-10 on the road, but Valparaiso has some stupid home losses, and wisconsin-green bay already beat them @ UWGB in OT)

    2. Murray State -260 (13-2 at home, against 6-11 on the road, home court always seems to win in the rivalry between Murray State and Tennessee Tech, but all that shows is that each team is capable of beating the other)

    3. Tennessee Martin -260 (7-6 at home against 7-8 on the road. Tennessee Martin has spanked Samford both times the teams have met this year. I can picture a lot of people jumping on the Samford ML from the looks of the records)

    My favorite dogs for tomorrow

    1. Purdue +105 (Odds are the ML option wont be available for Purdue, but Ohio state hasnt been able to beat any ranked teams all year, except for when Syracuse was ranked early in the season. Plus the best team Ohio state has beaten at home all year has been Iowa)

    2. Bowling Green +140 (Bowling Green is playing the worst team in the MAC, Buffalo. Buffalo has only two wins all year in the conference, one against a HORRIBLE road team in Eastern Michigan and @ a HORRIBLE team in Northern Illinois. Plus, Bowling Green just beat Kent State, which was just recently ranked)

    3. UTEP +160 (UTEP's road record is horrible, recently costing me money and losing against a pathetic Southern Methodist team. But something tells me they'll come out fired up against Southern Mississippi)

    4. UNLV +245 (I was surprised when I saw UNLV being such big underdogs in this game. UNLV has a better conference record then New Mexico, and beat them by 19. However they are playing on the road, in which they are 6-4 compared to New Mexico's 14-2. UNLV blew out #24 BYU by 29 points earlier in the year. New Mexico's home record is deceiving though, the best conference team they have beaten is Utah (15-12 overall, 4-6 on the road) and it took them overtime to do it.

    5. Eastern Michigan +125 (decent team playing a really bad team...)

    other picks i'd consider

    1. Ohio
    2. Mississippi
    3. Virginia Tech
    4. Morehead State
    5. Ball State

    Potential ML Parlays I'm considering...

    Spurs -800
    Kent State -260
    Austin Peay -550
    Texas -850

    Bulls -800
    Portland State -850
    Lakers -225
    Wright State -750

    Austin Peay -550
    Mississippi -140

    Virginia Tech -210
    Illinois Chicago -750
    Spurs -800
    Texas -850

    Each One Pays 1:1

    Kent State -260
    Murray State -260
    Lakers -225
    Bowling Green +140
    Spurs -800
    Texas -850
    Portland State -850
    Wright State -750
    Austin Peay -550
    Magic -420

    Pays 1:15


    UNLV +245
    Magic -420
    Portland State -850
    Murray State -260
    Illinois Chicago -750
    Wright State -750
    Spurs -800
    Austin Peay -550

    Pays 1:10

    Virginia Tech -210
    Lakers -225
    Bowling Green +140
    Magic -420
    Wright State - 750
    Texas -850
    Spurs -800
    Bowl State -280

    Pays 1:12


    Now the homerun hitter just for fun

    Bowling Green +140
    UNLV +245
    Kent State -260
    Spurs -800
    Wright State -750
    Magic -420
    Austin Peay -550
    Illinois Chicago -750
    Portland State -850
    Texas -850
    Bulls -800
    Murray State -260

    Pays 1:508 (Only thing that's really risky here are the dogs, but they are probably 2 of the best looking dogs I've seen in awhile)
  • MoneySportsGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-07
    • 4891

    #2
    Didnt look at all your anaylsis yet but I am with you on :
    Wright State
    Kent State
    Austin Peay
    Portland State
    Comment
    • andyman009
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-21-08
      • 662

      #3
      ahh yes i forgot to put illinois chicago up there...playing against a horrible youngstown state team at home..should be easy
      Comment
      • diogee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-11-08
        • 19477

        #4
        Murray St
        Austin Peay
        Ill Chicago
        Wright st
        Texas
        Kent St
        Ohio?
        VT?
        My list so far
        Comment
        • diogee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-11-08
          • 19477

          #5
          Spurs
          Magic
          Bulls?
          Comment
          • andyman009
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-21-08
            • 662

            #6
            i like the bulls but i wouldnt risk money on them...odds are they will win, but i dont think it'll come easy...no portland state diogee?
            Comment
            • stingyrivers
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-08
              • 1240

              #7
              nice thread bro, very informative with the trends, i think you got almost all winners on that list, especially the top portion, at most there is one loser there, if not a clean sweep
              Comment
              • diogee
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-11-08
                • 19477

                #8
                I play at Betjam...anything with a spread over 13 is a muck for ML parlay for me.
                Comment
                • andyman009
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-21-08
                  • 662

                  #9
                  sh1t id pick the blazers as underdogs at home anyday against the "new look" suns
                  Comment
                  • andyman009
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 662

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stingyrivers
                    nice thread bro, very informative with the trends, i think you got almost all winners on that list, especially the top portion, at most there is one loser there, if not a clean sweep
                    thank you stingymaing...lets only hope for no random injuries, or that no team doesnt show up...
                    Comment
                    • andyman009
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-21-08
                      • 662

                      #11
                      lol for sh1ts and giggles i wanted to see how much a 12 team parlay i made would pay out...


                      texas -850
                      wright state -750
                      kent state -260
                      portland state -850
                      austin peavy -550
                      orlando magic -420
                      san antonio spurs -800
                      illinois chicago - 750
                      western michigan -165
                      unlv +245
                      lakers -225
                      blazers +115


                      10 dollars wins you $5750
                      Comment
                      • diogee
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-11-08
                        • 19477

                        #12
                        That would be nice.
                        Comment
                        • WestsidePete
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-19-07
                          • 8049

                          #13
                          I didn't see this earlier...good stuff ...looks like were on the same page on a lot of these
                          Comment
                          • andyman009
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 662

                            #14
                            this should make for an interesting night...
                            Comment
                            • khaliagent
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-13-08
                              • 2117

                              #15
                              kent st - 6 ......5-0 ats against miami oh
                              Comment
                              • andyman009
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 662

                                #16
                                just my luck, my book doesnt have ML for a couple of these, they have the spurs at -1000, and bowling green and unlv lost some value...bahhh
                                Comment
                                • Quebb Diesel
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-26-08
                                  • 3045

                                  #17
                                  morehead st looks solid as a pick'em...but w/ my luck on tiny schools...theyll blow it at home...
                                  Comment
                                  • andyman009
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-21-08
                                    • 662

                                    #18
                                    i liked morehead too, but for some reason the line looks really deceptive...i mean morehead is a good home team, and tsu is a 6-9 road team...plus morehead already proved it could beat tsu at home...yet the line is even?
                                    Comment
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