Baylor line is moving??

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  • awhitejackson
    SBR MVP
    • 11-15-07
    • 2265

    #1
    Baylor line is moving??
    Baylor line that came out last night at -4 surprised many on this site and it seemed to be a common favorite.. I mean
    1. Baylor is the more talented/athletic team...
    2. Baylor needs this win for tourney.
    3. Colorado just lost one of its leading scorers to suspension.
    4. Colorado's season is basically over (see Westside pete's thread for more)....

    But now the line is moving towards us??? It is now @ -3 most sites..This makes absolutely no sense.. I'm usually not suspicious and dont get too concerned about all this trap game mumbo gumbo, but there is no way I ever thought the line would move this way...Whats the deal?
  • WestsidePete
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-19-07
    • 8049

    #2
    I don't know...it is odd...but I've added Baylor +4 in a teaser and ended up putting most of my play on the moneyline...I still feel strong about the play...Baylor hasn't laid an egg all year vs inferior teams...we'll see...I will definitely be interested in how the first half ends...
    Comment
    • andrewaxia
      Restricted User
      • 02-11-08
      • 1419

      #3
      I took Baylor in a ML along with Kansas, Pitt and Purdue - HOLDING MY BREATH!!!!
      Comment
      • MoneySportsGuy
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-07
        • 4891

        #4
        awhite,

        that is interesting wondering about that but doesnt make sense. I did notice somebody posted something last night about teams that play at Colorodo have trouble at times adjusting to the high altitude air so maybe that is factor but doesnt make sense why everybody still on Baylor and the line is shrinking.


        is there a site you can traack to see where the money is coming on on each side of matchup games?
        Comment
        • awhitejackson
          SBR MVP
          • 11-15-07
          • 2265

          #5
          Oh Im not backin off at all on this play..This just helps my chances....Its just a very weird line move...GL
          Comment
          • awhitejackson
            SBR MVP
            • 11-15-07
            • 2265

            #6
            Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
            awhite,

            is there a site you can traack to see where the money is coming on on each side of matchup games?
            I saw a Webber (JJ) video yesterday that shows a site where all the line moves and who people are on, all the books, etc...I know its a paid service but it seems like it would definately be worth it come tourey time...
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              Im on Baylor -3, and the line movement is scary but it doesn't change my prediction of the game.
              Comment
              • MoneySportsGuy
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-07
                • 4891

                #8
                awhite

                maybe after I hit a nice 15 team parlay I can pay for that haha
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  awhite,

                  You can Use http://www.sbrodds.com/ and read in between the numbers. Not worth for paying for a service 1 minute faster.
                  Comment
                  • WestsidePete
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-19-07
                    • 8049

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
                    awhite,

                    that is interesting wondering about that but doesnt make sense. I did notice somebody posted something last night about teams that play at Colorodo have trouble at times adjusting to the high altitude air so maybe that is factor but doesnt make sense why everybody still on Baylor and the line is shrinking.


                    is there a site you can traack to see where the money is coming on on each side of matchup games?

                    COL 5-8 at home..last home game vs T Tech lost by 18

                    This may be a close game but I don't see COL winning...
                    Comment
                    • MoneySportsGuy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-07
                      • 4891

                      #11
                      Louisville,

                      I got Baylor at -3 as well, need to fund an account hopefully today once that is up I can put some more on it.

                      what boook are you on?
                      Comment
                      • awhitejackson
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-15-07
                        • 2265

                        #12
                        Thanks Lville...I had no idea to look there..
                        Comment
                        • MoneySportsGuy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-07
                          • 4891

                          #13
                          yeah I see Baylor winning big, I think one prediction had Baylor 74-69 but I see Baylor putting that up, but dont see Colorodo putting up high 60's if anything low 60's for them
                          Comment
                          • MoneySportsGuy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-09-07
                            • 4891

                            #14
                            Thanks for that info Louisville, appreciate it as that will definitely help out
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              Betjam
                              Comment
                              • WestsidePete
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-19-07
                                • 8049

                                #16
                                Colorado beat Oklahoma because they shot 60%...Okla shot 40%...that's the only way Baylor can lose here... to shoot way better....only 2 teams have shot over 50% vs Baylor all year Kansas at 50.8 and Oklahoma St at 52.8...only 3 games has Baylor shot offensively under 41% and that's vs Texas A&M 36.1, Oklahomas 37.7 and Texas 39.7...
                                Comment
                                • awhitejackson
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-15-07
                                  • 2265

                                  #17
                                  Think it all looks good...Lets all make some money on this one... Im taking Baylor for 3 units...Putting 1 on WVU and 1 on Fla... Also thinking about that Ill state game ....GL
                                  Comment
                                  • WestsidePete
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-19-07
                                    • 8049

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by awhitejackson
                                    Think it all looks good...Lets all make some money on this one... Im taking Baylor for 3 units...Putting 1 on WVU and 1 on Fla... Also thinking about that Ill state game ....GL
                                    Yes...let's cash this one.....GL
                                    Comment
                                    • buztah
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-23-07
                                      • 7470

                                      #19
                                      I think you guys are psyching yourselves out of a good play. Bet Baylor wins by 8 or 9.
                                      Comment
                                      • WestsidePete
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-19-07
                                        • 8049

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by buztah
                                        I think you guys are psyching yourselves out of a good play. Bet Baylor wins by 8 or 9.
                                        no way...I have Baylor tonite...and feel good about it..GL Buztah...
                                        Comment
                                        • awhitejackson
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-15-07
                                          • 2265

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
                                          awhite

                                          maybe after I hit a nice 15 team parlay I can pay for that haha
                                          I took a friends bet on a 12 teamer for 20 bucks last week.. I tried to talk him out of it but there was no way. He knows nothing about gambling and saw the potential returns... I didnt put in the bet thinking that it was a free 20 and if there was no possible way he could win.. (I would have paid him immediately but thats not the point) He hit 10 straight...lost the last 2... Way to stressful... Never taking bets for anybody again...
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by awhitejackson
                                            I saw a Webber (JJ) video yesterday that shows a site where all the line moves and who people are on, all the books, etc...I know its a paid service but it seems like it would definately be worth it come tourey time...
                                            If JJ was talking about Sports Insights, there may be no need to pay for it.



                                            As of 4:00 ET, 84% of 2788 bets are on Baylor, so it looks like the sharps are on Colorado.
                                            Comment
                                            • awhitejackson
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-15-07
                                              • 2265

                                              #23
                                              Thank Lt...looks like quality info here...going to stick with Baylor but will get into this website and check it out in the next few days!
                                              Comment
                                              • M.Chalmers15
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-27-08
                                                • 237

                                                #24
                                                Thanks LT for the website, but is that telling you what side of the LINE they are on or what side of the MONEYLINE the public is on? I am assuming it is the public's take on the side...
                                                Comment
                                                • diogee
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-11-08
                                                  • 19477

                                                  #25
                                                  If the public is heavy on one side and the lines moves against the public it usually means that the sharps are pounding the other side assuming that there is no new news or injury status has not changed.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MoneySportsGuy
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-09-07
                                                    • 4891

                                                    #26
                                                    LT

                                                    Do you have any clue, if its true why the sharps are on Colorodo tonight?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      No I never have a clue.

                                                      Remember that sharps are not always sharp, and I have seen many of these reverse line moves end in the "squares'" favor.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                        • 52143

                                                        #28
                                                        Lt,

                                                        Do you subscribe to two minute warning or any other sites?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MoneySportsGuy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-09-07
                                                          • 4891

                                                          #29
                                                          LT

                                                          Dont even play you always have a clue. Now sometimes your clue is wrong, but that is rare


                                                          Goodluck in your picks tonight!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            LK1,

                                                            No, I just look for the free backdoors. I am cheap.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              And by the way, Sports Insights is the site with the Bets data, not Two Minute Warning. SI gives that data to 2MW for free.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Poker_Beast
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-14-06
                                                                • 6545

                                                                #32
                                                                Baylor was +2.5 for the second half. This one is looking real good!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • WestsidePete
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-19-07
                                                                  • 8049

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Baylor Yes!!! No Trap Game Here...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Poker_Beast
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-14-06
                                                                    • 6545

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Congrats all!!!!!!

                                                                    This was my lucky game.....

                                                                    Baylor -3
                                                                    Baylor +2.5 second half
                                                                    Under 74 in second half


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • awhitejackson
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                                      • 2265

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Nice to see a lot of winners on Baylor tonight!!!
                                                                      Comment
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