Best Bets: Thursday January 31st, 2008

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  • Illusion
    Restricted User
    • 08-09-05
    • 25166

    #1
    Best Bets: Thursday January 31st, 2008
    Share your best bets for Thursday.

    Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!
  • FADEME
    SBR Hustler
    • 12-28-07
    • 69

    #2
    Narizona -1 = Nariz beat them by 16 in their previous meeting but that was on their home court; still think though they're the better team; their best player Landry isnt a 3 pt shooter and i dont think colorado shoots the three that much; 3 pt shooters have the extra adv at home IMO

    Jacksonville st -2 - taking the home team; east illin (0-10 on the road) ill take my chances with jackson st
    Comment
    • rjt721
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-06-07
      • 7929

      #3
      Washington +1.5
      Minnesota -1.5 (square play, I know)
      Comment
      • rrvrs
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-31-08
        • 8

        #4
        California +11
        Only lost 1 game by more than 9. to ucla
        Comment
        • Dbldown11
          SBR MVP
          • 08-17-06
          • 3605

          #5
          hey illusion just curious are you gonna post wednsdays results tonight or tomorrow? And thanks by the way for keep track of this on a nightly basis if i havnt said so before
          Comment
          • freeVICK
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-21-08
            • 7114

            #6
            second that, your the man illusion. greatly appreciate it
            Comment
            • awhitejackson
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-07
              • 2265

              #7
              No lies, ( I lost 17 units last week and it almost washed me out) But i am 12-0 Tuesday and Wednesday which has quickly made up half of my losses...So as fate would have it Ill lose all tommorow...Going to throw big though...Anyways Im posting..

              Stanford...-1.5.. 1 unit
              USC...-3.. 1 unit
              Cal...+9.5.. .75 unit
              B.C...+18... 1 unit
              Austin P...-3 1 unit
              Minn...-3.. 1 unit
              N.D....-8.5... 1 unit
              CSU Nor...-8.. 1.5 unit
              Wisc...-4... .75 unit

              ....GL
              Comment
              • Illusion
                Restricted User
                • 08-09-05
                • 25166

                #8
                Wednesday 01/30/08 Results:

                jagmaster: 7-1 +7.90
                Dbldown11: 8-2 +7.40
                ed4rwings: 6-1 +6.20
                MoneySportsGuy: 6-0 +6.00
                rjt721: 6-0 +6.00
                rake922: 1-0 +5.00
                tin8shusd: 6-2 +4.90
                McRich: 6-1 +4.85
                EaglesPhan36: 3-1 +4.85
                PLUSLINES: 4-0-1 +4.00
                Tres: 3-1 +3.80
                SchlepRock: 2-1 +3.80
                Quebb Diesel: 4-1 +2.90
                Beachbum64: 4-2 +2.60
                Illusion: 3-2 +2.40
                LINE-crush-ER: 3-2 +2.40
                chinodeft26: 4-2 +1.70
                Wrigley: 1-0 +1.00
                onlòóker: 2-4 +0.37
                jerseydave77: 1-1 -0.10
                brock: 1-1 -0.10
                chipski: 1-1-1 -0.10
                BigMoney: 2-2 -0.20
                LT Profits: 2-2 -0.20
                clcoyle93: 1-1 -0.30
                danno331: 0-1 -1.10
                Junkyard Dog: 0-1 -1.10
                Checkerboard: 0-1 -1.10
                EastsidaProduct: 4-4 -1.20
                $Bnizi: 1-2 -1.20
                Lucky13: 1-2 -1.20
                Doc_Holladay: 1-2 -2.40
                Beachbum64: 0-1 -4.40
                Tigers1230: 3-2 -5.00
                Mr Nuts: 0-1 -5.50

                *Parlays and teasers not reflected in grading*

                If you spot a grading error please send me a private message.
                Comment
                • regularguy
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-12-07
                  • 781

                  #9
                  1* New Mexico State -3

                  1* Arizona State +13.5

                  1* Minnesota -2.5

                  (But, rjt, it's a square play that the line is moving against. Already a full point. That doesn't bother me so badly. I personally get more worried when the books are moving the line in a manner that encourages a square play. That suggests to me that the big money is going one way and the mob of bettors is going the other, or it may suggest that the book is willing to bet against the majority of bettors (one or the other might be happening with Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and maybe also with Stanford, today). And, anyway, I'm a pretty simple guy and this is a play I just happen to like. Michigan blows.)
                  Comment
                  • BigMoney
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-15-07
                    • 149

                    #10
                    My Thoughts

                    Murray St+3 1/2 beatem by 12 last game and on 8 game win streak and shoots the ball better...

                    Temple-1

                    slight lean towards ND-7
                    Comment
                    • freeVICK
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-21-08
                      • 7114

                      #11
                      Originally posted by regularguy
                      Arizona State +13.5

                      Minnesota -2.5

                      (But, rjt, it's a square play that the line is moving against. Already a full point. That doesn't bother me so badly. I personally get more worried when the books seem to be encouraging a square play (that might be happening with Detroit U., and maybe also with Stanford, today. And, anyway, it's a play I like, which matters the most of all. Michigan blows.)
                      what is a square play
                      Comment
                      • tevari
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-02-07
                        • 4959

                        #12
                        fordham ML @ even money
                        Comment
                        • Doc_Holladay
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 10-13-07
                          • 84

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hawaii04
                          what is a square play
                          There are 2 kind of plays Square and Sharp

                          A square is like me just your average joe and a sharp is like a pro gambler that has some insight or proven track record of making plays. If a sharp make a big play he will move the line by say one. If I make a big play I will move the line maybe a half. Usually the majority of the public are squares.

                          That is how a friend of mine explained it to me.
                          Comment
                          • WestsidePete
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-19-07
                            • 8049

                            #14
                            South Alabama -2
                            Comment
                            • Augustus
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-05-06
                              • 2787

                              #15
                              Notre Dame -8½, 5 units
                              UL Lafayette -7½, 5 units
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #16
                                Northern Arizona -2
                                California +10
                                N.M. State/Hawaii UNDER 147
                                Comment
                                • regularguy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-12-07
                                  • 781

                                  #17
                                  Essentially, I see a "square" play as one that is attracting the overwhelming majority of bettors -- but perhaps not the most money.

                                  Here's how someone by the name of squeekycleen more eloquently put it on another site though:

                                  Square plays are obvious plays that "can't lose". They are the plays that your butt buddy at the watercooler is touting. They are the plays stupid drunk guys fawn over at the bars. They are the plays you come up with after watching ESPN and GameDay for your inside info. When someone says "Dude, the Lakers are only laying 2 to the Pistons, holy shit dude, they have Kobe, this is a ****ing LOCKKKKKKK", you can rest assured they are a Joe Public square hunting down square plays. Square plays, in the long run, are hazardous to your health. When the majority of action heads to one side (in terms of number of wagers, not total dollar value wagered), you have the makings of a square play. If gambling was so easy that when everybody who picked something won, we would all be millionaires. I try to search out square plays and fade them. This takes some practice, and you have to know how to look for them, but it is not very hard.

                                  I usually spend a little time every day at thespread.com (the betting charts).

                                  Please note though, that it's been a pretty bad hoops season for me, so please take this all with a grain of salt.

                                  And, illusion, sorry to muck up your thread with all this chatter.
                                  Comment
                                  • Doc_Holladay
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 10-13-07
                                    • 84

                                    #18
                                    2 early picks hopefully more to follow

                                    Going against my Tarheels

                                    BC +18.5 2 units
                                    Murray ST +3 2 units
                                    Comment
                                    • jerseydave77
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-09-08
                                      • 206

                                      #19
                                      Both for a Unit
                                      Minnesota -2.5
                                      N. Arizona -2

                                      Looking at taking New Mexico St -3 in the midnight game. NM St is finally at full strength and coming off a solid win. I'll post my final decision on this game later but would enjoy opinions.

                                      Good Luck Tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • Lucky13
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-22-08
                                        • 159

                                        #20
                                        Dogs

                                        I'm liking
                                        BC+19.5
                                        NC St +18
                                        ASU +14

                                        and thanks for nothing West Virginia
                                        Comment
                                        • Dbldown11
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-17-06
                                          • 3605

                                          #21
                                          youve got me listed on yesterdays results twice illusion once as 8-2 and once as 0-1... I belive 8-2 is correct. Thanks Illusion
                                          Comment
                                          • awhitejackson
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-15-07
                                            • 2265

                                            #22
                                            Minnesota is not at all a square play, even with the line moved a full point from what was quoted...Its Michigan guys, Michigan..
                                            Comment
                                            • Tres
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 09-24-07
                                              • 78

                                              #23
                                              all for 2x

                                              Wis Milwaukee -2.5
                                              S Alabama -2.5
                                              Dook -18.5
                                              Comment
                                              • Gundog
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-15-07
                                                • 833

                                                #24
                                                My only play for tonight is Minnesota - 2.5 @ Michigan.
                                                If my Math is correct and my Ranking System is correct Minnesota on paper should win this game + 4 or more.
                                                We will see on the floor this evening.
                                                My pick is Minnesota - 2.5
                                                The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

                                                Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



                                                Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

                                                To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
                                                Comment
                                                • Dbldown11
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-17-06
                                                  • 3605

                                                  #25
                                                  Notre Dame -8.5 *1
                                                  Wisconsin Milwaukee -2.5 *3
                                                  Tennesse Chattanooga -5 *2
                                                  Arkansas LR +13 *1
                                                  Cleveland St. +3.5 *2
                                                  Fordham PK *1
                                                  Austin Peay -3 *3
                                                  Northern Arizona -2 *2
                                                  Idaho St. +9 *1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MOMONEY
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-31-08
                                                    • 226

                                                    #26
                                                    This is my first post on this site. I've enjoyed everyone's picks and how they come to their decisions. I have an easy one tonight and I'll tell you why. I'm an ACC fan, went to NC State. I follow ACC closely. BC catchin 18.5 points tonight is incredible. I know UNC has the ability to beat them by 18.5 but the odds are they will not. UNC is struggling as of late and teams are learning how to stay in the game with them. They lack good defense, and love to run and gun. BC will stay within this spread. I hope you all take advantage of it.

                                                    BC +18.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Wisconsin -4
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chipski
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-16-07
                                                        • 1745

                                                        #28
                                                        Nc.St +18
                                                        Ucla -13
                                                        Stanford -1
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Beachbum64
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 01-17-08
                                                          • 60

                                                          #29
                                                          *2 N Dame - 8
                                                          *1 Jack St. -2
                                                          *1 Duke - 18
                                                          *4 Denver - 4
                                                          *5 Cal North - 8 That's ALL FOR NOW

                                                          *1 N Ariz -2
                                                          *1 Wisc Mill - 2 1/2
                                                          *10 N mex St. -3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chinodeft26
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 01-17-08
                                                            • 97

                                                            #30
                                                            all 1 units

                                                            sou ala -2.5
                                                            murray st +3
                                                            n ariz -2

                                                            leaning on jax st -2 but both teams absolutely suck so i dont know
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tin8shusd
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-16-07
                                                              • 315

                                                              #31
                                                              here goes...all one unit plays including the teaser, good luck.

                                                              wisconsin -4
                                                              notre dame -8.5
                                                              murray st. +3
                                                              n.m. st./hawaii under 148 (-105)
                                                              northern az -2.5

                                                              teaser (risk 5/win 6)
                                                              n.c. st. +28
                                                              b.c. +28
                                                              usc +6.5
                                                              ucla -3.5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wrigley
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-28-07
                                                                • 7268

                                                                #32
                                                                Minnesota -1.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • maritime
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 10-26-05
                                                                  • 474

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Washington Huskies +2 -115
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Quebb Diesel
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-26-08
                                                                    • 3045

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Here is my 8 team parlay for the day

                                                                    Minnesota -3 1/2
                                                                    South Alabama -3
                                                                    Denver -4
                                                                    Cal State Northridge -8 1/2
                                                                    Stanford -2
                                                                    Wisconsin Milwaukee -3

                                                                    Notre Dame -460
                                                                    Mavericks -1 1/2

                                                                    A night for the favorites...i hope so at least!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • diogee
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-11-08
                                                                      • 19477

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Minn -2 4 units
                                                                      New Mexico St 4 units
                                                                      N Ariz -1.5 3 units
                                                                      Southern Bama -3 3 units
                                                                      W Kentucky over 130.5 3 units
                                                                      Comment
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