First lines I've seen on Pinnacle

[toastedbread01]

Maine - Richmond -7
Tennessee Martin - Memphis -35

https://pinnaclesports.com/League/Basketball/NCAA/1/Lines.aspx

[BrianLaverty]

Was it really that important that you had to make THREE threads about it?

[toastedbread01]

When I went to edit my original it made new posts.

Sorry, but I did not hit the post button three times.

[bigboydan]

Glad to see I'm not the only one here that is thrilled that college hoops starts tomorrow.

The sick part is that I don't like either game enough to bet it.

[toastedbread01]

My early lean is Martin +38-40 if I can get that closer to game time.

[Crayzee]

okay- i think i've noticed (without actual written down documented proof) over many years

that the good teams have absolutely ripped the shit teams a new a-hole
in the ridiculous early season-pre conference matchups

i think that memphis /martin is one such case in point

35-1/2 pts might look pretty good till you see a final score something like 104 to 48 roll in

[toastedbread01]

You may be right...

I looked up Memphis box scores and I see a trend of better first halfs vs. the weak teams. This is probably common in may of these games. The line went up to -36 and down to -35. I'm considering Memphis -19 first half.

[Crayzee]

last time they played was in 2004-memphis by 20

[Crayzee]

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/teamsched?teamId=2635&seasonYear=2007

they played well mostly against higher caliber teams last year

maybe +35-1/2 is a good bet

[toastedbread01]

Your looking at the wrong team :-)

Its Martin, not Tech.

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/teamsched?teamId=2630&seasonYear=2007

[Crayzee]

i was at first-it comes up that way you have to go to the box on the right and change teams
not as impressive but still mostly within the 35-1/2 pt spread
i remember last year memphis took no prisoners mostly against good teams
not sure if they will be as motivated against martin

[rm18]

Memphis covers spreads of 18+ about 15% it seems like over the last 5 years, every game seems fixed, no exception here

[toastedbread01]

So far I'm on Maine-Richmond u60.5 first half and u129 for game.

[Crayzee]

i just went back and checked all memphis games against sub par-opponents since 2004

they went 3-27 against the 35-1/2 point spread

they won every game outright