Against my better... not bettor... judgement... I am posting my NCAAB picks tonight..

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  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1405

    #1
    Against my better... not bettor... judgement... I am posting my NCAAB picks tonight..
    and if you want me to continue I will. All I ask is reasonable feedback. Look at a game that you think my system is far off from and tell me why you think that and maybe I can program it in. You want to rip a day or weekends performance to shreds as some have done... I'm good. My college football not just worked... it turned heads. I want to do the same with college basketball.

    I produce an expected score for each team including an obvious total. I use every programming skill I have and math skill I have to produce those expected. Then I compare them to Vegas and say which way to bet. I upgrade my algorithms and process constantly. I make mistakes... I tweak the program... on the fly.

    But I am honest or try to be. I had people telling me I that I should sell my picks 10 years ago. I didn't because they didn't work consistently. I think... I am about to make a run...

    6:00 PM RUTGERS 68 WAKE FOREST 70 138 -3 140.0 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM MIAMI OHIO 59 OHIO ST 82 141 -22.5 143.0 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM DUQUESNE 85 MARSHALL 72 157 5 156.5 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM MASSACHUSETTS 76 TOWSON ST 58 134 2.5 133.5 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM BROWN 71 RHODE ISLAND 76 147 -3.5 142.0 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM MEMPHIS 69 VA COMMONWEALTH 64 134 2 142.0 Too Close Under
    7:00 PM VALPARAISO 75 C MICHIGAN 67 142 -3.5 141.5 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM PENN ST 64 MARYLAND 66 129 -7 138.0 Too Close Under
  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1405

    #2
    7:00 PM PENN ST 64 MARYLAND 66 129 -7 138.0 Too Close Under
    7:00 PM CAMPBELL 60 DAVIDSON 71 131 -14 130.0 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM YOUNGSTOWN ST 72 OHIO U 81 153 -8.5 155.5 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM ST BONAVENTURE 78 NIAGARA 65 142 8.5 134.0 Too Close Over
    7:00 PM FAIRFIELD 67 YALE 83 150 -17 142.5 Too Close Over
    7:00 PM OLD DOMINION 77 WM & MARY 69 147 4 143.0 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM ROBERT MORRIS 64 CANISIUS 82 146 -6 141.0 Home Minus Too Close
    7:00 PM HOFSTRA 84 IONA 73 156 3 150.0 Too Close Too Close
    7:00 PM BALL ST 79 DETROIT 64 143 -1 135.0 Too Close Over
    7:00 PM TOLEDO 77 OAKLAND 78 155 -1 151.5 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM SAINT LOUIS 67 DRAKE 82 149 -15.5 151.0 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO 80 VANDERBILT 63 143 2.5 138.5 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM RICE 50 HOUSTON 88 138 -27 140.0 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM N KENTUCKY 66 ILLINOIS ST 67 134 -2.5 134.0 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM TEXAS 71 MARQUETTE 72 144 -8 150.0 Too Close Under
    8:00 PM S CAROLINA 69 CLEMSON 78 147 -8.5 139.5 Too Close Over
    8:00 PM NEBRASKA-OMAHA 63 TEXAS TECH 76 139 -20 143.0 Too Close Under
    8:00 PM N ARIZONA 67 ABILENE CHRISTIAN 71 138 -8.5 139.0 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM IUPU-FT WAYNE 81 S INDIANA 68 149 7 148.0 Too Close Too Close
    8:00 PM WI-MILWAUKEE 67 ST THOMAS (MN) 76 143 -5 142.0 Too Close Too Close
    Comment
    • usma1992
      SBR MVP
      • 08-02-11
      • 1405

      #3
      8:00 PM WI-GREEN BAY 65 SIU EDWARDSVL 70 135 -6 128.5 Too Close Too Close
      8:00 PM RICHMOND 79 N IOWA 73 153 -2.5 142.5 Too Close Over
      9:00 PM UC-SANTA BARBARA 66 NEW MEXICO 87 152 -13.5 156.5 Too Close Under
      9:00 PM UNLV 68 DAYTON 76 144 -7.5 134.0 Too Close Over
      9:00 PM SAN DIEGO 58 UTAH ST 79 136 -19 142.0 Too Close Under
      9:00 PM CAL DAVIS 59 NEVADA 79 138 -14 146.5 Too Close Under
      9:00 PM NEBRASKA 73 MINNESOTA 69 141 2 147.0 Too Close Under
      9:00 PM PITTSBURGH 75 W VIRGINIA 61 136 3.5 138.0 Too Close Too Close
      9:00 PM DEPAUL 62 TEXAS A&M 82 144 -19.5 146.5 Too Close Too Close
      9:00 PM DENVER 66 COLORADO ST 85 152 -21 160.0 Too Close Under
      10:00 PM UC-RIVERSIDE 62 WASHINGTON ST 80 142 -13.5 135.0 Too Close Too Close
      10:00 PM SMU 70 ARIZONA ST 64 134 -2 141.5 Too Close Under
      10:00 PM UTAH TECH 61 CAL BAPTIST 75 136 -9 136.5 Too Close Too Close
      10:00 PM CS-FULLERTON 70 PEPPERDINE 76 146 -4 143.5 Too Close Too Close
      6:00 PM MD-BALT COUNTY 86 MORGAN ST 73 159 4 164.0 Too Close Under
      6:30 PM LOYOLA-MD 72 LASALLE 83 155 -11 144.0 Too Close Over
      6:30 PM STONEHILL 68 STONY BROOK 84 152 -10 145.0 Home Minus Over
      Comment
      • usma1992
        SBR MVP
        • 08-02-11
        • 1405

        #4
        7:00 PM JACKSONVILLE 65 UCF 80 145 -14.5 139.5 Too Close Too Close
        7:00 PM AMERICAN 65 ST JOSEPHS 84 149 -15 141.5 Too Close Over
        7:00 PM MAINE 68 BOSTON U 67 135 2 131.0 Too Close Too Close
        7:00 PM FLORIDA A&M 65 PRESBYTERIAN 82 147 -9 136.5 Home Minus Over
        7:00 PM NEW JERSEY TECH 55 FORDHAM 80 135 -18.5 143.0 Too Close Under
        7:00 PM BRYANT 87 SIENA 59 146 8 139.5 Too Close Too Close
        7:00 PM SACRED HEART 67 ST JOHNS 89 156 -22 157.5 Too Close Too Close
        7:00 PM MD-EAST SHORE 59 NC STATE 89 149 -27 147.5 Too Close Too Close
        7:00 PM WOFFORD 68 GARDNER WEBB 78 147 -7.5 147.0 Too Close Too Close
        7:00 PM VERMONT 82 NORTHEASTERN 64 146 3 137.5 Too Close Over
        7:00 PM NEW HAMPSHIRE 79 DARTMOUTH 60 139 -1 148.0 Too Close Under
        7:00 PM LONG ISLAND 58 MIAMI 86 144 -29 155.0 Too Close Under
        7:00 PM WAGNER 73 COPPIN ST 56 129 5.5 123.5 Too Close Too Close
        8:00 PM LIPSCOMB 83 BELMONT 82 165 -5 161.0 Too Close Too Close
        8:00 PM UTRGV 65 TEXAS A&M CC 82 146 -4 154.5 Home Minus Under
        Comment
        • usma1992
          SBR MVP
          • 08-02-11
          • 1405

          #5
          Use the information... or don't... I know it a lot of games. But my philosophy is different than most. If I can spread my risk and still get 56-60%... why wouldn't I do that. Yes, I am completely going against Vegas wisdom. The wisdom is find the games you like... and pound them. My approach is completely opposite. If you are in for the long haul, my believe is less risk ... less reward... crushes it. I will make it better and better. I promise you.

          Dave
          Last edited by usma1992; 12-06-23, 08:25 PM.
          Comment
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