Good plays in the OVC tonight?

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  • Hemlock21
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-14-06
    • 315

    #1
    Good plays in the OVC tonight?
    I really like these plays tonight.

    Austin Peay -9.5
    Samford -3
    *4 units each*
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Hemlock,

    I actually like Tennessee Martin +3 at home. Samford has simply not been a good road team, going 4-8 SU and just 2-8-2 ATS while losing those games by an average of -10.0 points. They are also not a great rebounding team, so I see Martin dominating the boards here.

    Good Luck to You
    Comment
    • Hemlock21
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-14-06
      • 315

      #3
      Originally posted by LT Profits
      Hemlock,

      I actually like Tennessee Martin +3 at home. Samford has simply not been a good road team, going 4-8 SU and just 2-8-2 ATS while losing those games by an average of -10.0 points. They are also not a great rebounding team, so I see Martin dominating the boards here.

      Good Luck to You
      I agree with you about Samford being a bad road team, but they are 5-0 in thier last five meetings against the Skyhawks. The rebounds won't be factor because the Skyhawks can't defend the 3 pointer very well and plus the rebound margin is minimal anyway. Bombs away
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Well, Samford still has to MAKE the 3's. Not saying that they won't, but they are a modest 29.7% from 3-land on the road. Also Samford is -8.7 in rebounding margin on the road while UTM is +7.4 at home, so wouldn't call that minimal.

        Good Luck Though
        Comment
        • Hemlock21
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-14-06
          • 315

          #5
          I guess what I'm trying to say is that rebounding won't be a significant factor in this game. Skyhawks are a terrible team for many reasons and after tonight it will be 6 loses in a row to Samford.

          Hopefully I'm right.
          Comment
          • bigboydan
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-10-05
            • 55420

            #6
            I would have to agree with LT on that Tenn Martin/Samford game. I feel there is quite a bit of value with Tenn Martin in this one.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Nice 2-0 sweep Hemlock. Congrats!

              Comment
              • Hemlock21
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-14-06
                • 315

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Nice 2-0 sweep Hemlock. Congrats!

                Thanks LT

                It was close but I'll take it for 8 units....
                Comment
                • onlooker
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 36572

                  #9
                  Good job LT.

                  I had the Samford money line (-150) last night.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Onlooker,

                    You should be crediting Hemlock, not me. I lost with Tenn-Mart.
                    Comment
                    • onlooker
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 36572

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Onlooker,

                      You should be crediting Hemlock, not me. I lost with Tenn-Mart.
                      Your right. Last name I read was yours so it came out in the post.

                      Good job Hemlock.
                      Comment
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