Too Good To Be True

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  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #1
    Too Good To Be True
    We all know the expression....."if it's too good to be true it probably is"

    That said, yesterday I start tracking a correlation of two events on the site DRATINGS. Their "projected total points" along with their "bet value" over/under analysis. Yesterday, when those two matched up on the under, and you played the under first half and under for the game, they went 11-1.

    I was going to track some more before I shared this, but the results were so overwhelming I felt I need to start posting these plays so we can all track them together.

    Plays get added throughout the day so I will try to update whenever possible, but I do have limited time. Also, due to time constraints I will not be posing the lines. Get the best line you can and I will use the current line when I post.

    These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

    819/820 Duq/GW
    823/824 Mon/Siena
    825/826 IN St./MZ
    839/840 OSU/MN
    841/842 SIU/Drake


    Remember, we are posting only for tracking purposes. I have no idea if these will continue to cover over time.

    Also, we may be adding more throughout the day.

    DD
    Last edited by doubledime; 01-04-21, 09:07 AM. Reason: spelling
  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #2
    155/156 Bing/Hart Is not a play. I deleted it from my post.
    Comment
    • spippen
      SBR MVP
      • 03-17-09
      • 3874

      #3
      Ok interesting . Good luck!
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #4
        Yesterday:

        5-5

        YTD:

        5-5
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #5
          Monday:

          See Post #1 for explanation.

          So far........

          These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

          865 Monmouth/Siena

          Good luck
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #6
            Yesterday:

            2-0

            YTD:

            7-5
            Comment
            • doubledime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-22-09
              • 9751

              #7
              Tuesday:

              See Post #1 for explanation.

              So far.....

              These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

              633 Rutgers/Mich St.

              Good luck
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #8
                Originally posted by doubledime
                Tuesday:

                See Post #1 for explanation.

                So far.....

                These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                633 Rutgers/Mich St.

                Good luck
                Adding:

                611 Davidson/Duquesne

                Good luck
                Last edited by doubledime; 01-05-21, 06:21 PM. Reason: spelling
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #9
                  Originally posted by doubledime
                  Tuesday:

                  See Post #1 for explanation.

                  So far.....

                  These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                  633 Rutgers/Mich St.

                  Good luck
                  Adding:

                  625 Iowa St./TX

                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #10
                    Originally posted by doubledime
                    Tuesday:

                    See Post #1 for explanation.

                    So far.....

                    These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                    633 Rutgers/Mich St.

                    Good luck
                    Adding:

                    639 Kansas/TCU

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #11
                      Yesterday:

                      5-3

                      YTD:

                      12-8
                      Comment
                      • killawookie
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-25-09
                        • 3457

                        #12
                        What do you foresee this as being successful? I mean successful in the form of accurately finding a profitable trend long term, not just small sample sizes. So far It looks random, picking home teams to cover or teams with more senior starters can net the same streaky results that all average out in the end. I'm all for testing theories but this one doesn't seem to correlate. I've seen nights before where 80% of home teams cover or Betting 100 on dog MLs between +130-+400 look profitable, but it's again, small sample sizes. You do this long enough you see freak nights where ONE thing looks like a gold mine. Just food for thought.
                        Comment
                        • doubledime
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-22-09
                          • 9751

                          #13
                          Wednesday:

                          See Post #1 for explanation.

                          So far.....

                          These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                          651 St. Joe/St. Bonny
                          659 U Mass/GW
                          687 St. John/Xav
                          693 SH/Creighton


                          That's it for now.

                          Good Luck
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #14
                            Originally posted by doubledime
                            Wednesday:

                            See Post #1 for explanation.

                            So far.....

                            These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                            651 St. Joe/St. Bonny
                            659 U Mass/GW
                            687 St. John/Xav
                            693 SH/Creighton


                            That's it for now.

                            Good Luck
                            Adding:

                            679 Geo/LSU
                            687 BC/Duke
                            691 MN/Mich


                            Good luck
                            Comment
                            • aveeno
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-27-20
                              • 284

                              #15
                              Excellent so far today. Thanks for spending the time and putting this information out there. The 2nd half/total of the St Bonny game ended up being a huge middle for me which I nailed by 1 point. Very similar situation in this St. Johns Xavier game. Thanks again.
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #16
                                Originally posted by aveeno
                                Excellent so far today. Thanks for spending the time and putting this information out there. The 2nd half/total of the St Bonny game ended up being a huge middle for me which I nailed by 1 point. Very similar situation in this St. Johns Xavier game. Thanks again.
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #17
                                  Yesterday:

                                  8-4

                                  YTD:

                                  20-12
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #18
                                    Thursday:

                                    See Post #1 for explanation.

                                    So far.....

                                    These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                    747 ID/S. Utah
                                    763 UCLA/AZ

                                    That's it for now.

                                    Good Luck
                                    Comment
                                    • doubledime
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-22-09
                                      • 9751

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by doubledime
                                      Thursday:

                                      See Post #1 for explanation.

                                      So far.....

                                      These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                      747 ID/S. Utah
                                      763 UCLA/AZ

                                      That's it for now.

                                      Good Luck
                                      adding:

                                      729 Iowa/Mary
                                      765 OR/Col
                                      022 Cent Con/Bryant


                                      Good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #20
                                        Yesterday:

                                        5-5

                                        YTD:

                                        25-17
                                        Comment
                                        • magsmeplease
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-12-13
                                          • 343

                                          #21
                                          Seems very intriguing! I'm watching closely
                                          Comment
                                          • aveeno
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-27-20
                                            • 284

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by magsmeplease
                                            Seems very intriguing! I'm watching closely
                                            Me too. Been profitable so far.

                                            Thanks for the info DD
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #23
                                              FYI:

                                              A little twist came up yesterday. Both the ID St. /Utah game and the UCLA/AZ St. games were plays when we posted them but later on DRATINGS took them down due to the metrics they look at. That seems to happen every day. Those two games went 1-3. Therefore, we will post the games a little later today to try and make sure that does not happen again.

                                              DD
                                              Last edited by doubledime; 01-08-21, 01:48 PM. Reason: grammer
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #24
                                                Friay:

                                                See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                So far.....

                                                These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                859 Purdue/Mich St.
                                                051 Stetson/N Alb

                                                These are the 7:00 games. Back with the later games.

                                                Good Luck
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by doubledime
                                                  Friay:

                                                  See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                  So far.....

                                                  These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                  859 Purdue/Mich St.
                                                  051 Stetson/N Alb

                                                  These are the 7:00 games. Back with the later games.

                                                  Good Luck
                                                  Adding:

                                                  873 Long Beach St./CS Fullerton
                                                  875 Cal Baptist/Utah Valley


                                                  Good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #26
                                                    Yesterday:

                                                    3-5

                                                    YTD:

                                                    28-22
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #27
                                                      Saturday:

                                                      Remember we are just racking these. There will probably be a lot of plays today so be carefull.

                                                      See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                      So far.....

                                                      These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                      611 Rich/GM
                                                      615 OSU/Rut
                                                      125 GW/Winthrop

                                                      That's it for now.

                                                      Good Luck
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by doubledime
                                                        Saturday:

                                                        Remember we are just racking these. There will probably be a lot of plays today so be carefull.

                                                        See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                        So far.....

                                                        These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                        611 Rich/GM
                                                        615 OSU/Rut
                                                        125 GW/Winthrop

                                                        That's it for now.

                                                        Good Luck
                                                        Adding:

                                                        652 ID/S. Utah
                                                        655 VA/BC
                                                        663 Marist/Monmouth


                                                        Good luck
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cowbama
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-14-15
                                                          • 142

                                                          #29
                                                          Appreciate you posting. It seems like if you just play the first half you fair a little better. Have you kept track of 1st half compared to game what the record is. I myself just been playing first half because I don’t want all those bets plus it’s just a trial period. But yesterday 2-2 compared to 3-5 and day before 3-2 compared to 5-5. I know there was a game I lost first half and the game went under. Something to think about. Thanks again
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by doubledime
                                                            Saturday:

                                                            Remember we are just racking these. There will probably be a lot of plays today so be carefull.

                                                            See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                            So far.....

                                                            These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                            611 Rich/GM
                                                            615 OSU/Rut
                                                            125 GW/Winthrop

                                                            That's it for now.

                                                            Good Luck
                                                            Adding 671 Baylor/TCU

                                                            Going in 10 minutes. Just got posted

                                                            DD
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by doubledime
                                                              Saturday:

                                                              Remember we are just racking these. There will probably be a lot of plays today so be carefull.

                                                              See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                              So far.....

                                                              These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                              611 Rich/GM
                                                              615 OSU/Rut
                                                              125 GW/Winthrop

                                                              That's it for now.

                                                              Good Luck
                                                              Adding:

                                                              677 GA/Ark
                                                              109 Alb NY/St. Joe


                                                              Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by doubledime
                                                                Friay:

                                                                See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                                So far.....

                                                                These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                                859 Purdue/Mich St.
                                                                051 Stetson/N Alb

                                                                These are the 7:00 games. Back with the later games.

                                                                Good Luck
                                                                Adding;

                                                                These are going right now but we just got them. We'll post since we are tracking. Normall I would never release something this late.

                                                                709 IL Chicago/IPFW
                                                                799 Woffard.NC Green


                                                                DD
                                                                Comment
                                                                • doubledime
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                                  • 9751

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by doubledime
                                                                  Saturday:

                                                                  Remember we are just racking these. There will probably be a lot of plays today so be carefull.

                                                                  See Post #1 for explanation.

                                                                  So far.....

                                                                  These are are all first half unders and game unders. (each game = 2 plays)

                                                                  611 Rich/GM
                                                                  615 OSU/Rut
                                                                  125 GW/Winthrop

                                                                  That's it for now.

                                                                  Good Luck
                                                                  Adding:

                                                                  123 Stetson/N Alb
                                                                  769 Gonz/Portland

                                                                  Good luck
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Adding:

                                                                    775 Western IL/SD St.
                                                                    785 UCLA/AZ


                                                                    That's it for Saturday

                                                                    Good luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by cowbama
                                                                      Appreciate you posting. It seems like if you just play the first half you fair a little better. Have you kept track of 1st half compared to game what the record is. I myself just been playing first half because I don’t want all those bets plus it’s just a trial period. But yesterday 2-2 compared to 3-5 and day before 3-2 compared to 5-5. I know there was a game I lost first half and the game went under. Something to think about. Thanks again
                                                                      You are correct, the first half unders are performing better. I have always believed that if you play an under in a college BB game, you must play the first half under. Why? No over time, no intentional fouling, teams hold the ball for the final shot. These are just a few of the reasons I like first half unders.. Today we may have one or two winning first halves only to lose the game under.
                                                                      Comment
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