Fred The Hammers CBB Hoops Thread

[Fred The Hammer]

Haven't done much with cbb in the last few years, but I've been on a nice football run and moving some funds towards hoops this year! We'll see what happens. I'm big on KenPom and love to crunch numbers.

We'll keep it in $50-$200 increments just to keep it simple


Oklahoma/Texas San-Antonio Over 154 $125-$114

Both teams run-n-gun. It was 97-85 OU in 2017 when they last met in Norman

Nevada ML (-210) / Utah $150-$71

Nevada has some key guys coming back and I think Steve Alford is better as a big fish in a small pond

Indiana -21 / W Carolina $88-$80

Honestly I haven't given 2 shits about IU basketball in a few years now even though I'm a Hoosier. I do know Archie Miller is on the hot seat and KPom has them 38th for some reason? I do think losing one-n-done Romeo Langford is addition by subtraction & they should play more unselfishly

Florida Gulf Coast +9 / St. Louis $88-$80

St. Louis is shit and FGC is kind of a sneaky good program. They went up to Mich St a few years ago and lost close up there.

IPFW +11.5 (-103 5dimes) / UNLV $88-$85

IPFW plays fast and can shoot the 3. UNLV is just a middle of the road squad and doesn't shoot it that well

Daily Double Longshot Special $30-$174

Valpo (+135) & St Joseph (+190) ML parlay. Why not? Its opening night and nobody is exactly sure who has what. Both are at home.

Should be a great year!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Indiana in a rout

1-0 $80

St Joe & Valpo winning, but may be upset that I backed out of VT ML...that was like +240 or something

[Fred The Hammer]

OU over lost by 2.....154 prob too high to count on with an opener. Looked good with 5-6 min left, but OU must've slowed it down with a big lead

Daily Double Longshot Parlay hit
Fla Gulf Coast got blasted....lets see?

3-2 $41

[Fred The Hammer]

3-4 $197


Shit finish. That OU game hurt. Looked good with 6 min left, but OU took their foot off the gas. Nevada also had their big man go down early and couldn't rebound or protect the rim. Oh well...coming back tonite!

South Carolina -20 / N Alabama $165-$150

Went with Va Tech on my 5D betting contest due to KenPom rankings. They were rated way above Clemson. I backed out on betting them though due to a key guy being out. Going back to the KenPom well again though. SC is #70 while N Alabama is wayyyyy down there at 283 with the #300 offense. Frank Martin's teams can play D. N Alab should really struggle to score in this one.

South Carolina 83-56

Wisc GB +23.5 / Purdue $55-$50

Just a hunch here. WGB returns 4 guys while Purdue lost 50% of their scoring.

Purdue 82-66




their foot off the gas

[Fred The Hammer]

5-4 $3


2-0 by a total of 3.5 pts tonite. KenPom wasn't lying though when he came up with #300 for N Alabamas offense. They shot 24% and 2-21 from 3. SC only made 2 threes themselves....pretty ugly, but it cashed!

[matt711]

Bol this year Fred

[Fred The Hammer]

Bol this year Fred

TY Sir. I have a young guy working with me that I met at the local sportsbook here in Indy. This kid knows almost every roster in both college & nba. Picking his brain as well as the Dan Dakich show here in Indy. Dakich coached cbb and played for Bob Knight in the 80s. He's also on ESPN. He can pick apart college teams as well.

Light card today, but a couple of plays I like:

UAB ML (-300) / Troy $165-$55

Missed when it was -6 so taking the ML instead. UAB is #123 on KP vs Troy at #282. Troy lost 4 starters from last year.

Winthrop / Hartford Under 154 $110-$100

They moved the 3 pt line back a few feet in cbb. That makes a difference. Hartford is 296th in offense. I just don't see them getting to this total. I almost played Purdue/Green Bay Under 154 yesterday. It was Under from the opening tip. Lets cash these Unders while everyone else adjusts

[Fred The Hammer]

Cha-Ching

7-4 $158

No more big ML plays though til we know more about these teams.

Sienna/Xavier Under 146.5 $84-$80
St Francis PA/Richmond Under 147.5 $88-$80

These games should be played at a slower pace and thats alot of points for bad offenses with SF(pa) and Sienna


Good Luck!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

8-5 $150

Indiana -19.5 / Portland State $165-$150

Archie Miller can't play around. The heat is on. Port St is 277 on KP. They suck

[Louisvillekid1]

Good work Freddy

[Fred The Hammer]

8-6 $15


Running so good with cfb that I haven't looked at cbb that much to be honest. Time to get this party started!!

Indiana Team Total Over 82 (5D) $165-$150

Auburn @ S Alabama Over 145 $88-$80

2 team parlay $40-$106


Indiana put up 98 and 85 against the first 2 cupcakes at home. 82 shouldn't be a problem? N Alabama is #76 in pace so they don't slow it down. Other play is Auburn and the other directional Alabama over 145. S Alab is #116 in offense and we know Auburn likes to play fast and is #23 in offense.

Good Luck....expecting 2-0

[JBS42]

Nice call on Ind TT OV!

[Fred The Hammer]

9-7 $7


Big night last night, but was out on my phone and didn't have the chance to post. Cuse Under was easy. Big play on IPFW and Miami OH Over and that got there. Also got St Joe Live +3.5 when they were already up 10 or 12? Nice score

Vandy @ Richmond Over 141.5 (-115) $201-$175

Couldn't find the stat I found the other day, but Richmond has been trending heavily Over at home for atleast a couple of seasons now. They just won 100-98 (90-90 regulation) and Vandy is also at 77 ppg. Neither is good on defense. Biggest play so far!!!

Winthrop +12.5 / E Tenn State 2 team parlay w/Richmond Over $35-$90

Winthrop just beat St. Mary. They could have a letdown, but they also should have alot of confidence. KP has E Tenn #67. I doubt it?

[Fred The Hammer]

11-7 $272

Warming up now baby!!!

I have one play plus I'm throwing in my sportsbook buddies plays. He played cbb and has been on fire!!

My play:

Notre Dame Over 83.5 team total $132-$120

Marshall is #14 in pace and plays no defense. They just lost to Toledo 96-70. If you don't have a team total then play Over 149. If one hits then the other should hit.

App State ML -165 $66-40
WV -2 $66-60
Jacksonville +7 $66-60
Mt Saint Marys ML +180 $66-119


Good Luck Boys!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

My biggest cbb play last night was an easy winner Indiana Over 84 (Won 100-62)

On Richmond Over 159 right now

Tonite have a good one:

Wake/Charlotte Over 140 $110-$100

Wake scores better then they defend and plays at the #52 pace. That should be enough to get over this fairly low number

[Fred The Hammer]

13-11 $18


Best card of the year tonite imo!! I've had more time to really work on it. Its time to make some $$$

Charleston Southern/Michigan State Over 142 $189-$175

CS just lost to Toledo 90-61. Terrible on defense and play fairly quick with the #108th pace. Sparty is going to have some fun! MSU 92-57

Evansville -2 / SMU $108-$100

SMU has played some cupcakes and are 0-3 ATS. The Purple Aces have that confidence from knocking off Kentucky and are riding high at home. They also beat a pretty solid Ball State squad. Evansville 74-68

Wofford / Missouri Under 135.5 $135-$125

Missouri is great defensively and Wofford plays slow. Nice combo for Under

Hawaii +16 / Illinois $86-$80

Not sold on Illinois. Nichols State took them to OT earlier and KP has Hawaii at #180 vs Nichols #245. Would hit this one harder except Hawaii played at home on Sat and thats a looooong way to fly. Still though....they're young kids and should be good to go.


3 teamer. Sparty Over 142, Evansville -2, and Missouri Under 135.5 $45-$268

Lets Go!!!

[JRoZe410]

Enjoy the detailed write ups man. GL tonight!

[Louisvillekid1]

Great thread as always

BOL

[Fred The Hammer]

Neither Sparty or Charleston could make a damn 3 and lost by 2 points. Evansville lost as well, but atleast Hawaii hung on after being down 17 late. The Under won as well. Could've been a great night, but thats gambling

[Fred The Hammer]

enjoy the detailed write ups man. Gl tonight!

ty ty!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Made $350 on Vandy Over last night and Nova today, but every time I post all my plays it all turns to shit for some reason?

I will give out todays and see what happens. I hate to lose people $$.

2 units St. Joe 1st half +7.5 (-120). Florida isn't that great in my book

2 units Toledo +7.5 / Notre Dame. Toledo is pretty decent (#76 KenPom) and ND is down imo. I'm throwing Toledo +300 in a longshot parlay too

1 unit Texas Tech/Tenn St Over 141. Tech plays def....we all know that, but they run a little and put up 100+ on their last cupcake.

Lets Go!!!

[McCarthyFam]

on St. Joe's with you. Good luck!

[jtoler]

good luck fred

[McCarthyFam]

couldn't hit the broadside of a barn that first half. shot under 20%. started off like 0-10 from downtown. onto the next

[Fred The Hammer]

Hitting games and getting lucky. Had the Over this morning with NM State/Col St. 60-60 was wayyyyy under 134, but OT saved me!! Also on Dayton and they demolished Georgia. Digging a little deeper on these picks!!

Va Tech team total Over 62 (-115) 2 units

Looking at NM/Auburn Over 157, Nevada, and the La Tech/Indiana game, but lets cash this one first!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Sparty is not a top 5 team. Most overrated team I've seen so far. I think Dayton beats them by 8 if they met on a neutral court right now. Of course its still November

[Fred The Hammer]

Winner!! Took Richmond +1.5 live. Already have them +6 small in a parlay. They're too quick for Wisconsin

[Fred The Hammer]

2 units Indiana Over 76.5 (-115)

I don't think IU is that great, but La Tech hasn't played anyone either. Indiana will be too big for them and probably get alot of free throws at home.

[Fred The Hammer]

2 units Indiana Over 76.5 (-115)

I don't think IU is that great, but La Tech hasn't played anyone either. Indiana will be too big for them and probably get alot of free throws at home.

Called it a winner 8 min in!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

New Mexico/Auburn Over 157 for 2 units

NM beat NM State 78-77 and NMS plays slow and doesn't have shooters like Auburn. I think NM competes, but something like Auburn 85-78