Games that make you say...

[kingdom]

lots of line movement against better teams on paper tonight. would love to know what triggered the line move in usc game. it came hard and fast. those are games i would love to take advantage of.

[kingdom]

gl toler

[kingdom]

ucla very hard to figure and sporadic this year. they opened -1 at home to asu and moved to -2. asu has won 4 of last 5 in conference which is good as last 3 years they have lost 14 of 19 after a conference win. ucla is now 3-6 in their last 9 including b2b road losses. ucla is 16-3 su last 20 years against asu at home. if motivated after the losses you would think they can get the win and cover tonight.

[kingdom]

Cal is possibly the worst team in the big 5 conferences. 1-12 su/ 3-10 ats as a dog. colorado 1-6 ats on road opened as a -7 fav and has dropped to 5. this may be cal's best chance to win a conference game.

[kingdom]

not replying with quote to update scores. gonna have to try another browser.

[kingdom]

georgia st./texas st. both off to great starts in conference. both teams are 5-1 in conference and have won 6 of last 7. georgia st. is 7-0 at home;2-4 ats. tx st. is 8-2 road; 6-3 ats. georgia st. is 1-4 ats last 5 as a fav with 4 of the games being within 5 pts. tx st. is 11-5 ats on the season. with gsu playing games very close and tx st. being a strong road team should be a really tight matchup. gsu opened as 3 pt fav and has moved to -3.5 and 4 at some books.

Tx. st. covers and wins easily su 81-68

[kingdom]

mich st./iowa are 2 red hot teams. msu is a covering machine 15-3 ats as a fav, 8-0 ats in conf., and 11-1 ats last 12. iowa has won 5 in a row su/ats since purdue loss. mich st dominated first meeting this year 90-68 covering the 11 pt spread with ease. they are -5.5 road favs. iowa is 11-1 at home with only loss being to wisconsin. msu is dominant with a 17 pt winning differential. it could be a tough cover tonight as iowa plays really well at home. i can see it going either way as i think iowa keeps it in single digits, but not sure if under 6

msu was dominant winning 82-67. again they are a covering machine. riding their coattails in the big 10 should be a money maker.

[kingdom]

La Monroe opened as a 6pt fav against troy and is down to 4.5...troy is 2-5 ats last 7, but are 5-1 as a dog on the season. monroe has won 6 in a row ats with their last 3 games decided by 6 points total. these two teams keep it close as well with three games decided by 6 or less with troy winning two of the 3. line movement looks favorable for troy and another close game in the making.

monroe held on to the cover winning 75-69. will be paying attention to them as they win close but have been getting the ats win 7 in a row.

[kingdom]

S. Alabama is 5-1ats in conference and have won 5 of last 6 ats. but they have lost 4 in a row and go to lafayette as a 9.5 pt dog. lafayette has beat s. ala by 26, 19, and 16 in last 3 matchups. s. ala 3rd leading scorer is questionable with a concussion. lafayette should have their way with them again and cover the -9.5

lafayette got the win but the couldn't get the cover as it ends 88-84. that makes s. alabama 6-1 ats in conference while losing 5 in a row su.

[kingdom]

wku opened as a 1 pt fav against s. miss and has moved to -2. wku is 4-7 on road but 7-4 ats. s.miss is 6-1 at home and 1-3 ats. s. miss plays solid defense and are having a decent season. but they have lost last 4 ats against wku and last two by 17 and 16 pts. both teams have played close games against decent teams pre conference. wku last 3 losses are by 5 pts combined. this game should be close as well. interesting to see if s. miss can break the streak or does wku get em again.

wku wins 66-63 barely getting the cover but continuing their ats streak against s. miss at 5 now.

[kingdom]

rice coming home off 3 su road losses in a row. last 2 losses by 1 pt. they get mtsu who is 0-10 on the road. line was 5 and dropped to rice -4.5. i think rice goes out and seals a victory after playing last 2 hard as a dog.

rice started behind early, but cruised in the 2h to win 79-68 and get the easy cover. i think this was a great situational play which is something i am looking for.

[kingdom]

uab 1-5 as a dog. n. texas 1-6 ats at home. something gotta give. n. tex is a 6.5 point fave at home where they win, but don't put teams away. 4 of last 5 home games been decided by 4 or less. if trend continues uab may get the cover. 6.5 may be just enough against a team like n. texas that often plays it close.

uab covers and wins su in a close one 52-49. n. texas doesn't get the job done at home again

[kingdom]

Charlotte is having a rough season at 5-13, but have won 6 in a row ats. utsa has won 6 of last 8 ats, but have lost their last 2 su/ats. teams split last year on each others court. i'm leaning charlotte to put up a good fight and keep their ats streak going.

charlotte got their head blown off. thing i was looking at was utsa playing at home after two straight losses and a bad team coming in. they took complete advantage winning 88-43 breaking charlotte's 6 game ats streak.

[kingdom]

Detroit has been playing hard so far going 7-2 ats in last 9. Ill-chi has been struggling going 2-4 su/ats their last 6. but chi has beat detroit last 4 su in series and moved from -4.5 to -5.5 fav at home. detroit is 7-3 ats on road. another matchup of team playing well going against a team struggling that usually beats them.

Ill-chi jumped all over detroit early and had no problems covering winning 79-67 and beating detroit last 5 su

[kingdom]

Marshall is 3-0 ats in last 3 matchups as they scored 90, 93, and 78 against l. tech. tech does better when they keep teams below 70. they are -4 tonight against marshall and total is 157. if marshall plays at their pace and game goes over they should cover as well.

teams tied at 72 in regulation. all tech in ot as they win 89-80. despite high score after ot, i believe tech did keep the game at their pace holding them to 72 in regulation.

[kingdom]

Utah playing at Stanford in a game the home team has dominated in the series. Stanford is 5-0 su last 5 at home against utah. utah is 2-6 as a dog this year and stan 5-2 as a fav. if things hold to form stanford should get the win and cover.

Utah took an early lead and came back in 2h to finally get a win at stanford breaking the losing streak.

[kingdom]

Washington is a 3 pt dog at Oregon. uw has won 7 in a row su and 5 in a row ats. Oregon isn't very dominant at home this year going 6-5. but washington has lost last 3 against oregon including to losses by 20+. washington is 5-0 su/ats in conference, but have to finally beat oregon to keep streak alive.

uw looking like they are gonna have a solid pac 12 run as they go to 6-0 su/ats beating oregon as a dog 61-56

[kingdom]

Arizona has won 7 of last 8 and are 5-1 in conference. Usc is good at home going 9-2 su/7-4 ats. Arizona has won last 4 su/ats and havn't had a problem beating sc. usc is coming off a home beatdown of ucla and will try and break zona's hold on them.

update: arizona just moved to +1.5 20 minutes before game time.

update: usc now -2 right before game time after being +1 an hour ago.

this game was one of more interesting of the night pregame as line started moving 20 minutes before game start. eventually moving 3 pts in usc's favor as they dominated start to finish. i would love to know what sets off a signal for money to be moved and switch the line in that circumstance. maybe even something noticed pregame at the arena. i read a book where a guy talked about sometimes guys notice things pregame and make calls to hammer the game. i assume in la there would be a good bit of money bet on this game on a wednesday night.

[kingdom]

ucsb is 14-3, 10-4 ats, 4-1 as a dog. yet they opened at -1 and are now +1.5 against fullerton, who is 6-12 and 5-11 ats. ucsb swept two matchups last year covering both games. they have won 8 of last 9 while fullerton has lost 7 of last 10. the clearly better team has moved to a dog. i wouldnt touch this game as ucsb seems to be too good a team to bet against. but again, i am curious how this results.

different books had this line moving back and forth in different direction. everything indicated fullerton cover as they did blowing out ucsb 81-60. this is a game you definitely want to be on the right side of. everything about the line was strange but the result is what was indicated.

[kingdom]

St. Mary's opened as -3 and dropped to -1 against byu, a team they normally dominate going 6-1 ats/su against the last 3 years. two of the wins were at byu by double digits where byu is normally strong going 36-8 at home last 3 years including 9-1 this year. smc is 5-1 last 6 ats while byu is on a 2-7 ats run. also smc is 12-4 ats as a fav while byu is 0-5 as a dog. also 3-11 ats in games where the line is 150-159 total which makes line moves all the more intriguing. byu is 5-15 ats as a dog the last 3 years. maybe its a mark on calendar game. for some reason the line is moving against smc, the obviously better team.

line movement spot on here again as byu took care of smc with little problem winning 71-66.

[kingdom]

ucla very hard to figure and sporadic this year. they opened -1 at home to asu and moved to -2. asu has won 4 of last 5 in conference which is good as last 3 years they have lost 14 of 19 after a conference win. ucla is now 3-6 in their last 9 including b2b road losses. ucla is 16-3 su last 20 years against asu at home. if motivated after the losses you would think they can get the win and cover tonight.

asu more talented than recent years and have a nice run going as they beat ucla on road last night as a dog 84-73

[kingdom]

Cal is possibly the worst team in the big 5 conferences. 1-12 su/ 3-10 ats as a dog. colorado 1-6 ats on road opened as a -7 fav and has dropped to 5. this may be cal's best chance to win a conference game.

cal is awful and most likely worst team in power 5. they got beat easily by colorado 68-59

[kingdom]

michigan having a very dominant season opening 18-1 and 7-1 ats in conference. they opened -3.5 at IU and have moved to -4.5. Indiana is in the midst of a struggle having lost 5 straight conf games and 1-5 ats in their last 6. michigan is very dominant but 8-9 ats as a fav. but they are 5-1 ats on the road. Michigan has won last 4 against indiana by double digits.

[kingdom]

Buffalo has been playing great going 17-2 and usually rolls people. but kent st. is having a good season also at 15-4 and are 5-1 ats as a dog. buff is 9-4 ats as a fav. buff has lost last 3 ats as fav and kent st is 4-1 ats last 5. kent st. is 16-4 at home against buff last 20 including winning last year as an 8 pt dog. line opened at buff -9 and is now -8.

[kingdom]

Creighton and Butler are two teams trying to gain ground in conference. creighton shoots the lights out at over 50% and 43% from three. but they don't defend very well giving up 86ppg in conference. Butler won the earlier matchup at home 84-69. Creighton has won the last 5 matchups at home including the last 2 by 11ppg. Creighton has lost 4 of last 5 giving up almost 90ppg. butler has gone 2-3 including two 1 pt losses on the road before losing at home to 'nova. Butler has won 2 of the last 5 matchups by keeping creighton under 70. Creighton has won the 3 when they score over 70. gonna be hard to keep creighton to that number at home. i doubt butler can match creighton's pace at home.

[kingdom]

Iona and rider are mixing it up in a game that should be a shootout. the total is sitting at 172. Iona is good at home and are averaging 91ppg in conference. Rider is giving up 83 ppg on road this season and are 7-3 over. Iona is 12-4 over on the season, 5-1 over in conference, and 34-16 over in conference the last 50. Rider shouldn't have a problem playing with pace as they have scored 104 at niagara, 82 @canisius, and 83 @fairfield in their last 3 road games.

[kingdom]

quinn is a 4-2 ats road squad. marist is 6-3 ats as a fav. quinn last 3 games decided by 2, 3, 2 with last two being losses. expect another tight one here as lined opened marist -3.5 and is now -2.5. quinn plays lots of tight games. stuck on the fence with this one, but would take team with pts if i had to take one.

[kingdom]

Ole miss/iowa st. ole miss went from -1 fav to +1.5 dog. do they lose 2 in a row?

[kingdom]

michigan having a very dominant season opening 18-1 and 7-1 ats in conference. they opened -3.5 at IU and have moved to -4.5. Indiana is in the midst of a struggle having lost 5 straight conf games and 1-5 ats in their last 6. michigan is very dominant but 8-9 ats as a fav. but they are 5-1 ats on the road. Michigan has won last 4 against indiana by double digits.

mich ran through indy 89-66 continuing streak against them.

[kingdom]

Buffalo has been playing great going 17-2 and usually rolls people. but kent st. is having a good season also at 15-4 and are 5-1 ats as a dog. buff is 9-4 ats as a fav. buff has lost last 3 ats as fav and kent st is 4-1 ats last 5. kent st. is 16-4 at home against buff last 20 including winning last year as an 8 pt dog. line opened at buff -9 and is now -8.

kent st fouled their way out of a cover losing 88-79

[kingdom]

Creighton and Butler are two teams trying to gain ground in conference. creighton shoots the lights out at over 50% and 43% from three. but they don't defend very well giving up 86ppg in conference. Butler won the earlier matchup at home 84-69. Creighton has won the last 5 matchups at home including the last 2 by 11ppg. Creighton has lost 4 of last 5 giving up almost 90ppg. butler has gone 2-3 including two 1 pt losses on the road before losing at home to 'nova. Butler has won 2 of the last 5 matchups by keeping creighton under 70. Creighton has won the 3 when they score over 70. gonna be hard to keep creighton to that number at home. i doubt butler can match creighton's pace at home.

Butler tried to slow the game down but in the end Creighton too much winning 75-61

[kingdom]

Iona and rider are mixing it up in a game that should be a shootout. the total is sitting at 172. Iona is good at home and are averaging 91ppg in conference. Rider is giving up 83 ppg on road this season and are 7-3 over. Iona is 12-4 over on the season, 5-1 over in conference, and 34-16 over in conference the last 50. Rider shouldn't have a problem playing with pace as they have scored 104 at niagara, 82 @canisius, and 83 @fairfield in their last 3 road games.

Totals you never know. neither team gets out they 70's in a 77-71 Iona win

[kingdom]

quinn is a 4-2 ats road squad. marist is 6-3 ats as a fav. quinn last 3 games decided by 2, 3, 2 with last two being losses. expect another tight one here as lined opened marist -3.5 and is now -2.5. quinn plays lots of tight games. stuck on the fence with this one, but would take team with pts if i had to take one.

game was a cakewalk for quinni as they covered and won su 92-78

[kingdom]

texas is 3-10 ats as a fav and are -4.5 vs. uga. both teams struggling as texas has lost 4/5 and dawgs have lost 4 in a row. uga is 6-3 ats at home. gotta figure uga fights hard for the win and keeps it closer than the number at home.

[kingdom]

Clemson has won last 3/4 su against nc st but are struggling this year. 1-5 in conference. 0-5 su/ats as a dog. 3-10 ats against winning teams. st. is scoring 79ppg in conference to Clemson 61 ppg. gonna be a hard task for clemson to slow down game and match scoring as they shoot terribly from 3 at 31%.