Gonzaga, covering machine:

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  • SsgKen
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-23-18
    • 452

    #1
    Gonzaga, covering machine:
    Gonzaga,
    11-4-0 ATS
    -26½-110

    Game Start 01/05/2019 @ 08:00 PM

    I have been riding this machine for a while. I think the 'books try to balance the bets but it is not enough.
  • SsgKen
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-23-18
    • 452

    #2
    Score: Santa Clara(48) - Gonzaga(91) and an easy 450 points at the sportsbook.
    Comment
    • Winning oasis
      SBR MVP
      • 06-14-11
      • 1241

      #3
      Nice call Ken.
      Comment
      • SsgKen
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-23-18
        • 452

        #4
        Thanks. Next game is Jan 10. I put it in my calendar to remind me.
        Comment
        • SsgKen
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-23-18
          • 452

          #5
          Another game to add points here and money in the account

          CBB STRAIGHT BET
          [666] GONZAGA -25.0-110
          700.00 / 636.36
          I got that at -24.5 this morning at bookmaker.
          Comment
          • House
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-04-11
            • 7088

            #6
            Im on -14 first half
            Comment
            • SsgKen
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-23-18
              • 452

              #7
              Originally posted by House
              Im on -14 first half
              I like that a lot. The only way Zaga doesn't cover is they rest in 4Q.
              Comment
              • SsgKen
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-23-18
                • 452

                #8
                I just finished the bet. Lay more points but that should not matter in 1H.

                1H Gonzaga -14-110
                Game Start 01/10/2019 @ 10:00 PM
                Comment
                • QuantumLeap
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-22-08
                  • 6878

                  #9
                  Here are the results from their last 5 games:
                  Date vs. Score
                  01/05/19 SCU W 91-48
                  12/31/18 CSB W 89-54
                  12/28/18 NORAL W 96-51
                  12/21/18 DEN W 101-40
                  12/18/18 UTA W 89-55
                  Comment
                  • magsmeplease
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-12-13
                    • 343

                    #10
                    Pacific under 30 for 1st half too!
                    Comment
                    • thecutter
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-28-14
                      • 991

                      #11
                      Not tonight . Hanging too many pts
                      Comment
                      • frankieunits2685
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-19-17
                        • 3575

                        #12
                        I wanna take zags , just so many points to cover..
                        Comment
                        • QuantumLeap
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-22-08
                          • 6878

                          #13
                          Winner by 31!
                          Comment
                          • SsgKen
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-23-18
                            • 452

                            #14
                            Originally posted by magsmeplease
                            Pacific under 30 for 1st half too!
                            winners on all
                            PAC 15 21 36
                            GONZ 34 33 6
                            Let me be clear now if I have not said this lately. I do not even know all of the rules. I just follow trends as a numbers guy. I'm a football fan.

                            I will start looking at props like under/over first half but hey, I had 100% of my betting bank on the line last night. I couldn't make another bet without a deposit.

                            Playing again on 1/12, Saturday.
                            Comment
                            • magsmeplease
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-12-13
                              • 343

                              #15
                              Originally posted by SsgKen
                              winners on all
                              PAC 15 21 36
                              GONZ 34 33 6
                              Let me be clear now if I have not said this lately. I do not even know all of the rules. I just follow trends as a numbers guy. I'm a football fan.

                              I will start looking at props like under/over first half but hey, I had 100% of my betting bank on the line last night. I couldn't make another bet without a deposit.

                              Playing again on 1/12, Saturday.
                              Gonzaga basically has bankrolled all my other losses the past couple years.

                              There is a trap game in there occasionally, this saturday could be one of them. (Not that the will lose, but may not cover)
                              Comment
                              • DOM_Toretto
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-28-13
                                • 9035

                                #16
                                Gonzaga one of my fav teams this year. Only time I’ve bet against them is Tennessee.

                                Also been cashing in on Detroit, MSU, Oklahoma, Murray State


                                One team that has been crushing it ATS that I constantly think about backing but haven’t pulled the trigger is Ole Miss, who’s 13-1 ATS this season.
                                Comment
                                • SsgKen
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-23-18
                                  • 452

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                  ...Gonzaga one of my fav teams this year.One team that has been crushing it ATS that I constantly think about backing but haven’t pulled the trigger is Ole Miss, who’s 13-1 ATS this season....
                                  Thank you. I see NCAAW Gonzaga are up there too at 15-1 but is betting allowed in NCAAW?. I was all-in on the -26 games as those were the locks. Tonight I may add to the 50 and over/unders. I do follow Auburn -13.5 -110 but I usually take the points vs Georgia. I live near Auburn
                                  Risk: $55.00 - Win: $50.00


                                  Gonzaga -9-110
                                  Game Start 01/12/2019 @ 09:00 PM




                                  If you follow them. Ole Miss +5.5 if I have it right.

                                  Why beating Ole Miss is almost a must for Mississippi State Bulldogs

                                  Comment
                                  • magsmeplease
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-12-13
                                    • 343

                                    #18
                                    This will be Gonzaga's hardest conference game all season. I thought the line would be around 8, Their talent should see them through and they should still win by 10+ though.
                                    Comment
                                    • SsgKen
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 06-23-18
                                      • 452

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by magsmeplease
                                      This will be Gonzaga's hardest conference game all season. I thought the line would be around 8, Their talent should see them through and they should still win by 10+ though.
                                      There is a betting system of:
                                      The system is taking an unranked team at home vs a ranked team. As long as the spread is under 10. Bet more if the un-ranked team is favored.


                                      Using this YTD 12-8, 66.66% correct system San Fran +9.5 is the bet. But 66 is not like the MLB trend of fading a certain pitcher that was 88% last year. I am sticking with Zaga until proven wrong. No bet-it-all in the in-house points bets through.
                                      Comment
                                      • magsmeplease
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-12-13
                                        • 343

                                        #20
                                        I reduced the juice and had Gonzaga at -10... that last second ally-oop dunk game me the win! Whew!
                                        Comment
                                        • danwinkler
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 05-22-18
                                          • 461

                                          #21
                                          game was basically tied in the final few minutes then they pulled away. this team's depth is too good.
                                          Comment
                                          • QuantumLeap
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-22-08
                                            • 6878

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by danwinkler
                                            game was basically tied in the final few minutes then they pulled away. this team's depth is too good.
                                            I can't believe they covered in this situation!
                                            Comment
                                            • SsgKen
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-23-18
                                              • 452

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by SsgKen
                                              There is a betting system of:
                                              The system is taking an unranked team at home vs a ranked team. As long as the spread is under 10. Bet more if the un-ranked team is favored. . Now, f the betting system was 120-90, that would put more meat on the bones but at this rate it could end up being a losing system.
                                              The author said:
                                              After a 1-6 day system is now...
                                              All plays 13-14
                                              Home favs 4-3
                                              I did not bet nearly enough on Zona. I must trust the trend.

                                              this team's depth is too good.
                                              their NCAAW are now 16-1.

                                              This must be a basketball magnet school like if you're tops in high school football, but not smart, try for Alabama. Remember I am a beginner in NCAAM.


                                              CBB - [757] Gonzaga -9-110WIN
                                              Score: Gonzaga(96) - San Francis


                                              Using this YTD 12-8, 66.66% correct system San Fran +9.5 is the bet. But 66 is not like the MLB trend of fading a certain pitcher that was 88% last year. I am sticking with Zaga until proven wrong. No bet-it-all in the in-house points bets through.
                                              Last edited by SsgKen; 01-14-19, 05:01 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • SsgKen
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 06-23-18
                                                • 452

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by magsmeplease
                                                I reduced the juice and had Gonzaga at -10... that last second alley-oop dunk gave me the win! Whew!
                                                Well played! I am not skilled enough to do that.
                                                QUESTION: What book do you use that allows selling points?
                                                I have written in several places that anyone, in 2015 noticed "The NFL Browns are crappy, I'm betting against them next year." Betting the ML would have been a 16-0 year. Of course, some bets might have been -800 but a big vig win is better than a +102 bet with 2 points sold that loses by 1.

                                                This selling points works well early in the football season. It works well early in NCAAM but at 2/3 of the games played, the bookies have enough metrics then where many of the line are right on the number. The last NFL games could have been middled.
                                                Comment
                                                • magsmeplease
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-12-13
                                                  • 343

                                                  #25
                                                  I play on Pinnacle. I don't tend to do it very often but the option is available if wanted.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SsgKen
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-23-18
                                                    • 452

                                                    #26
                                                    I checked bookmaker. the line on Mich State is -7 -112

                                                    or -6 -136 or -8 +104 some on the 0.5 too

                                                    thanks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • QuantumLeap
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-22-08
                                                      • 6878

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by magsmeplease
                                                      I play on Pinnacle. I don't tend to do it very often but the option is available if wanted.
                                                      I do it on every single bet that allows it in every single sport. Second half lines don't allow me to sell points at the Pinnacle clone I play at.

                                                      My reasoning is that the books aren't going to give you an advantage when you buy points. They are going to sell them to you at a disadvantage. Therefore the opposite must also be true. That is, selling points will profit you in the long run.

                                                      I'm playing lines typically at +103 to +107. Yes, every once in awhile I'll get bit and lose a bet I would have pushed or won had I not sold points but the disparity between 1 point in some games can be the difference between -110 and +103, or more than 10% That adds up after awhile.

                                                      I would estimate that I lose a bet once in every 20 bets or so when I sell points. That's just a guestimate. I should go back and do a thorough accounting since it makes a difference.
                                                      Last edited by QuantumLeap; 01-13-19, 08:34 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SsgKen
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 06-23-18
                                                        • 452

                                                        #28
                                                        Thank you.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SsgKen
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-23-18
                                                          • 452

                                                          #29
                                                          I am taking;
                                                          Florida State -5-115
                                                          Game Start 01/14/2019 @ 06:00 PM


                                                          that system is falling apart. Worse than a coin-flip. I am fading it with FSU and I like #1 Duke to cover.





                                                          and



                                                          Duke -16½-110




                                                          Comment
                                                          • SsgKen
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-23-18
                                                            • 452

                                                            #30
                                                            Two losers. I am fading it with FSU and I like #1 Duke to cover. My mistake of not taking local Auburn will not be repeated.

                                                            Taking Auburn -5-110 for 2 units. vs Georgia. Tigers should continue on
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SsgKen
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 06-23-18
                                                              • 452

                                                              #31
                                                              Auburn -7 slaughters Texas A&M 85-66 for a nice 2 unit win. Now, back to the covering machine.

                                                              Gonzaga -23½-110 5 units
                                                              Game Start 01/17/2019 @ 08:00 PM

                                                              Comment
                                                              • QuantumLeap
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-22-08
                                                                • 6878

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by SsgKen
                                                                Auburn -7 slaughters Texas A&M 85-66 for a nice 2 unit win. Now, back to the covering machine.

                                                                Gonzaga -23½-110 5 units
                                                                Game Start 01/17/2019 @ 08:00 PM

                                                                Thanks for the reminder.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SsgKen
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-23-18
                                                                  • 452

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Ole Miss is playing Saturday. They were 15-1 ATS at one time. I need more info.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • magsmeplease
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-12-13
                                                                    • 343

                                                                    #34
                                                                    -13.5 1st half seems like it should be a decent bet as well.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SsgKen
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-23-18
                                                                      • 452

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by magsmeplease
                                                                      -13.5 1st half seems like it should be a decent bet as well.
                                                                      The half 22-36 covers -13.5 by a half. Kinda close but if Gonzaga fails to win by 24, a better bet. At the half, we shall see,
                                                                      Comment
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