Fred The Hammers CBB Totals Thread

**bjb7223** · 11-11-18, 12:27 AM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

I'm 12-5 in college hoops so far!!

Slow start but an easy Over in the end with Gonzaga/Tx Southern tonite (104-67.....15 pts Over)

One thing I've noticed so far is that of the 12 Over winners....only 3 were by less then 8 points Over. Of course the lines will adjust, but that presents a nice opportunity to hit some +550 or +600 pleasers. I think you have to lay another 7 points on 5 dimes, but you win ties at +550 for a 2 teamer. I got on Georgia earlier yesterday and beat that Over by 23 points. I haven't played Pleasers very often, but its something to consider with these scores. UCLA/Long Beach went 14.5 pts Over and Lipscomb went 16 pts Over

Fred these West Coast games are crazy for overs. They play no D out west. They all think they're the Warriors.

**Wesley** · 11-11-18, 07:13 AM

Good call on the Gonzaga over, keep it up Fred

**Fabiodog** · 11-11-18, 07:41 AM

Good thing you found work but sucks for the rest of us will be following for season and thanks

**Capybara** · 11-11-18, 11:15 AM

Keep up the good work, Fred! Wish I'd been around yesterday to catch your winners.

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-11-18, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by Fabiodog

Good thing you found work but sucks for the rest of us will be following for season and thanks

Thanks man! I'm still cracking numbers! I'll throw in football totals and props too.....sort of like the Kid does.

Adding:

Pending

11/11/18 4:00pm Reduced Basketball 539 IPFW/Ohio State Over 149½ -108*

Ohio State is defense first, but IPFW is 11th in pace so I doubt they sit on the ball when IPFW misses a quick shot. I don't see it going 20 points Over like some of the others but I like it!!

Ohio State 86-68

I hate Unders, but UConn/UMKC should go Under 143.5. I'm throwing it in a parlay.

Good Luck!!!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-11-18, 07:25 PM

Easy winner on my main play. Ohio State went Over by 18.5!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-11-18, 07:32 PM

Adding:

Pending

11/12/18 6:30pm College Basketball 719 Detroit U/Butler Over 151½ -110*

Detroit is 69th in pace and 344th in defense. 344th out of 353. Butler will probably get 100 with the way the game is being played now!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-12-18, 02:01 PM

Adding:

Monmouth/St Joseph's Over 152

Monmouth is 30th in pace and giving up 86 per game thru 2 games. St. Joes is better then those 2 teams and plays at the 102nd pace. SJ should get 85 atleast.

St Joseph 88-69

Good Luck!!!

**doubledime** · 11-12-18, 02:34 PM

Well done Fred

**burtonrider726** · 11-12-18, 04:29 PM

Appreciate all the help this college season Fred! Curious, how do you view the Detroit pick on mobile?

**deary626** · 11-12-18, 07:08 PM

Butler can’t do anything against the 2 3 defense game way under

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-12-18, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by deary626

Butler can’t do anything against the 2 3 defense game way under

40-22 first half was a killer? Both teams cranked it up 2nd half but not enough. Detroit did have much better D then expected.

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-12-18, 08:50 PM

0-2....first O-fer for the season. Sorry fellas.

13-8 overall atleast! Back to the drawing board. Middle Tenn/Belmont looks like a shootout tonite. Adding those 2 teams to the watch list! Bulter looks happy to pass it around for 25 sec on offense. Taking them off the Over list moving forward.

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-13-18, 03:15 PM

Adding:

Pepperdine/N Colorado Over 157.5

Both teams hit 100+ in their warm up games and both love to run! Pepperdine is 47th in pace and N Col is 43rd. It was 84-82 N Col last year when they matched up.

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-13-18, 06:24 PM

My biggest Totals plays yet for this season:

$220.00

$200.00

Pending

11/13/18 9:00pm College Extra Basketball 1335 Mississippi Valley State/Utah State Over 151½ -110*

Utah State has hit 100 in both their games and plays at the 34th fastest pace. Miss Valley State plays pretty quickly as well at the 101st pace. MV State sucks, but improved greatly off a 69 pt beatdown by Nebraska in their opener to put up 52 on Texas Tech. TT has the #12 rated defense and plays extremely slow. With the pace tonite, I feel like MVS can atleast crack 60.

I also put a little on Utah State -24 on the parlay. They're rolling along pretty well right now and MVS doesn't have enough firepower to stay anywhere close.

Utah State 96-65

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	11/13/18 9:00pm College Extra Basketball 1335 Mississippi Valley State/Utah State Over 151½ -110*
		Pending	11/13/18 9:00pm College Extra Basketball 1336 Utah State -24 -120* vs Mississippi Valley State

Good Luck!!!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-13-18, 11:04 PM

Bang!!! The more I looked at Utah State/Miss Valley St.....the more I realized that the side was better then the total, but I'd already clicked on it. It hit, but not without some sweat at the end!

Pepperdine Over as well

3-0 tonite with a big bet/parlay. 16-8 Overall.

Life is Good

**muscleville7** · 11-13-18, 11:09 PM

Keep up the work

**Superama** · 11-13-18, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Bang!!! The more I looked at Utah State/Miss Valley St.....the more I realized that the side was better then the total, but I'd already clicked on it. It hit, but not without some sweat at the end!

Pepperdine Over as well

3-0 tonite with a big bet/parlay. 16-8 Overall.

Life is Good

Congratulations and thank you

**Fabiodog** · 11-14-18, 08:30 AM

Awesome sauce

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-14-18, 09:57 AM

Thanks fellas for the props!

Adding:

N Arizona/Nebraska Omaha Over 155.5

N Arizona averaged 171.5 in their 2 games and NebOmaha plays at the 20th fastest pace and has already had a game with 180 points

Neb Omaha 83-80

**Wesley** · 11-14-18, 02:53 PM

Great night, keep it up Fred

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-14-18, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Wesley

Great night, keep it up Fred

Thanks man!!

Neb Omaha total up to 161.5 now? Holy Shit? Obviously have to hit the overnight lines or get them early in the morning.

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-14-18, 07:58 PM

Adding a smaller play & parlay:

Stetson +25 / USC

Stetson isn't that bad and USC is missing some key guys and only picked 5th in the Pac12. I feel like the line should be 17-18.

Lets Do It!!!

**Tigers1230** · 11-14-18, 08:16 PM

What’s the parlay?

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-14-18, 08:35 PM

Open for now. I'll fill it after Stetson wins....hopefully.

Adding teaser 1st leg....prob already tipped off

Open	2 Team Teaser (ties win) Teaser tw 5½fb & 4½bk
				Pending	11/14/18 8:30pm College Basketball 742 Indiana U -1 * vs Marquette

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-14-18, 09:19 PM

IUPUI with the +1100 winner! I was looking at them +16 and also UTSA +13 tonite. I went to IUPUI so I try not to be too much of a homer, but they're pretty decent this year.

The Over with Neb Omaha looks tough, but wasn't a big play. I'm looking at one pretty hard for tomorrow and I'll have it posted before the nights over. Hopefully Stetson will come home in the meantime!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-14-18, 11:55 PM

Bad night.....18-10 overall

Love an early one tomorrow. 11:30 am I think in a tournament in Myrtle Beach.

St Joseph -3.5 over Wake Forest

St Joe's has held their 2 opponents to 63 & 64 pts. They have their best 2 players back from last year that were hurt. They're 6-1 ATS in their last 7. Wake only returns 1 guy from last years 11-20 team. They don't play good defense overall and I don't think Danny Manning is a good coach. They're 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games at neutral sites.

I'd like to catch 3.5 (-105) tomorrow morning on 5D or maybe play the reduced ML? I'm going atleast $100 as SJ has the edge over Wake in experience, defense, and coaching!

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-15-18, 10:46 AM

$150 on St Joe's overall. I have enough on ML to cover what I have on -3.5 if they win by less then 4.

**HurlSweatPants** · 11-15-18, 10:50 AM

Riding with you on this one, the LM is favorable as well, looks to be a good spot for the Joes. BOL

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-15-18, 12:27 PM

God Damn It. SJ had a 5 pt lead with about 3:30 left and their zone D seemed to be working but they kept leaving the same screener open for 3 on the pick-n-roll. You have to cover him too. Play good D for 25 seconds then they get a wide open 3 with the clock running out. Still have the better team with better guards so hopefully they'll play some defense! Frustrating though cause their big white guy was 5-5 from 3 and they're still tied?

**HurlSweatPants** · 11-15-18, 01:08 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

God Damn It. SJ had a 5 pt lead with about 3:30 left and their zone D seemed to be working but they kept leaving the same screener open for 3 on the pick-n-roll. You have to cover him too. Play good D for 25 seconds then they get a wide open 3 with the clock running out. Still have the better team with better guards so hopefully they'll play some defense! Frustrating though cause their big white guy was 5-5 from 3 and they're still tied?

2nd half surge for SJ, cheers.

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-15-18, 04:56 PM

Easy Winner in the end!!! KenPom is way way off on these 2 teams. St Joes is borderline top 25 imo with plenty of shooters and experience. Wake is borderline top 100

**Fred The Hammer** · 11-15-18, 05:51 PM

Adding:

11/15/18 7:00pm College Basketball 531 Wichita State/Davidson Over 149½ -110*

Wichita put up 83 on Providence and they're more athletic and better defensively then Davidson. The 3s will be raining down and there should be plenty of points.

Davidson 79-77

Good Luck!!!

**muscleville7** · 11-15-18, 08:03 PM

Think we gonna need some overtime