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  • jeffchitown
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-16
    • 1859

    #1
    Chi town basketball
    So I decided I’ll do an official thread. I would say my picks lately have been bad. I’ll do my best to keep record of win loss etc but honestly I have a book for that.

    So these picks could be bad. I’ll try to give a level of confidence for each pick because I’m a degenerate and tend to chase or if not much action I will force bets lol!

    Each game I will rank confidence level 1 to 5. 1 means I’m throwing blind darts and no clue and 5 being man this has to be a guaranteed winner.

    Picks following in a reply after this.
  • jeffchitown
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-16
    • 1859

    #2
    South Florida -8.5 $55 confidence level 3.0

    Marquette-16.5 $77 confidence level 3.5

    Drexel -9 $55 confidence level 2.7
    Comment
    • jeffchitown
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-16
      • 1859

      #3
      5 game parlay clearly confidence level is a 1.4 lol!

      Atlanta falcons over 49,
      Boston Celtics -1.5(+1),
      Atlanta hawks PCK,
      Marquette -15 (+1.5),
      UT Arlington +14(+1)

      $10 to win $168
      Comment
      • HeeluvaGuy
        SBR MVP
        • 02-15-14
        • 3449

        #4
        "confidence level 2.7" One of the best things I've read on this forum.

        BOL jeff!
        Comment
        • jeffchitown
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-16
          • 1859

          #5
          Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
          "confidence level 2.7" One of the best things I've read on this forum.

          BOL jeff!
          Hahaha
          Comment
          • HeeluvaGuy
            SBR MVP
            • 02-15-14
            • 3449

            #6
            I love the precision, but you really should push it out a few more decimal points.
            Comment
            • jeffchitown
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-16
              • 1859

              #7
              Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
              I love the precision, but you really should push it out a few more decimal points.
              Lol a 2.698989898989892
              Comment
              • jeffchitown
                SBR MVP
                • 01-21-16
                • 1859

                #8
                It’s f’n science 🔬
                Comment
                • jeffchitown
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-16
                  • 1859

                  #9
                  Okay guys now for the dart of the day... literally I will pick one game blind. I’m going to close my eyes and pick a game on my phone haha. This will be a confidence level 1 $22 dollar bet. Here we go!!!


                  Over 145 in Drexel game
                  Comment
                  • jeffchitown
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-16
                    • 1859

                    #10
                    Marquette 2h -8 $33 confidence level 3
                    Comment
                    • jeffchitown
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-16
                      • 1859

                      #11
                      X my fingers Marquette get hot during the last 10 minutes I’ve seen them do it many games
                      Comment
                      • jeffchitown
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-16
                        • 1859

                        #12
                        Ending the day with Santa Clara +115 ML $150 to win $172. Confidence Level 3.

                        I don't think valpo is that good and I like how santa clara did against northern arizona and portland state university at home. Portland State is pretty darn good team yeah they lost but it was close. I'll take my chances on them. My guess is valpo drops a doozy here on the road exhausted from finals last week and losing bad at northwestern. Last thing they need is to have to travel across the country. We shall see should be a interesting game to say the least.
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #13
                          Nice thread gl
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            This thread cracks me up. Get'em Jeff! I have 3.45 confidence you will do well!
                            Comment
                            • jeffchitown
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-21-16
                              • 1859

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              This thread cracks me up. Get'em Jeff! I have 3.45 confidence you will do well!
                              Lol thx!!

                              Oh do we have some picks today!

                              Ohio State vs Citadel over 176 $110 confidence level 2.8

                              Xavier -21.5 $110 confidence level 3.4

                              Interesting fact is Xavier is playing Marshall both x-men characters.
                              Comment
                              • jeffchitown
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-21-16
                                • 1859

                                #16
                                So the following picks are tails of the 2daBank if you want a confidence level you have to ask him. Tell him I sent you hahahaaha

                                Syracuse -10.5 $77
                                Total under 127 Georgia Tech $94
                                Belmont +6.5 $77
                                Auburn -4 $87 (he had -3 but i couldn't get that)
                                Aubrn 1h -2 $87

                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  Don't send anyone my way for confidence, I have none!! Lol..

                                  in all seriousness I basically flat bet everything, occasionally I like few little more and put in some kind of parlay or something. Spreads around 7 or less I'll round robin favs mls to kinda back up in event they don't cover, I don't recommend parlays but that strategy helps me quite a bit on nights my squad fails to cover (like wake last night), tends to pay for losing the ats play more often than I lose both.
                                  Comment
                                  • jeffchitown
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-21-16
                                    • 1859

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                    Don't send anyone my way for confidence, I have none!! Lol..

                                    in all seriousness I basically flat bet everything, occasionally I like few little more and put in some kind of parlay or something. Spreads around 7 or less I'll round robin favs mls to kinda back up in event they don't cover, I don't recommend parlays but that strategy helps me quite a bit on nights my squad fails to cover (like wake last night), tends to pay for losing the ats play more often than I lose both.
                                    LOL! Well same boat I'll have days where I feel like I can't pick a loser and then days where I can't pick a winner. I do want to test this confidence thing. I'll start compiling my win ratios over time. I then will learn more about myself. It could turn out the bets I'm less confident in win more. It should be interesting once I get a lot more data. I will not include your bets I added as part of that clearly. I still have not seen any bet this week I'm like that is a 4 out of 5 confidence level. Usually by now I have seen something that I'm crazy about.
                                    Comment
                                    • jeffchitown
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-16
                                      • 1859

                                      #19
                                      Adding
                                      Texas am -11.5 $110 confidence level 3.8
                                      Arizona state -37 $110 confidence level 3
                                      Comment
                                      • jeffchitown
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-21-16
                                        • 1859

                                        #20
                                        Well just realized I have $862 in pending bets eek haha
                                        Comment
                                        • HeeluvaGuy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-15-14
                                          • 3449

                                          #21
                                          BOL tonight!
                                          Comment
                                          • jeffchitown
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-21-16
                                            • 1859

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                            BOL tonight!
                                            Thanks I may need some alcohol tonight!
                                            Comment
                                            • jeffchitown
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-21-16
                                              • 1859

                                              #23
                                              I bought a ton of arts supplies going to practice my painting. If I get half decent look in the future for one of my picks to be painted on a canvas and posted 😂
                                              Comment
                                              • jeffchitown
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-21-16
                                                • 1859

                                                #24
                                                I may regret not hedging my Xavier bet at half. I considered taking Marshall +6 2h but decided to let my bet ride.

                                                Taking 2h over in Ohio state though over 88.5 $58
                                                Comment
                                                • jeffchitown
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-21-16
                                                  • 1859

                                                  #25
                                                  Lol hope someone had been making money fading my bets Jesus! Getting murdered here thank god for 2dabank haha. His Belmont pick looking good same with 1h auburn won. Just need auburn 2h. Syracuse looking unlikely but hey he did really good on the others. I won my 2nd half over in Ohio state cut my loses in half for that game. Xavier got rocked 2h it was like a whole new team on the court. I had a bad feeling when they were up 20 in the first half and right at the end of the first half Xavier player is injured. Felt like a bad omen for the game but I went against my but and rode my bet.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jeffchitown
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-21-16
                                                    • 1859

                                                    #26
                                                    Add
                                                    Iowa -16.5 $55 confidence level 2.2
                                                    Uc Davis +16.5 $77 confidence level 2.7
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jeffchitown
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-16
                                                      • 1859

                                                      #27
                                                      Adding
                                                      saint Mary’s -9.5 $77 confidence level 3.3
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jeffchitown
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-21-16
                                                        • 1859

                                                        #28
                                                        well that was a lucky ending streak of three in a row after a lot of losers. I also parlayed princeton +15.5 and over 138.5 but didn't post it here.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jeffchitown
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-16
                                                          • 1859

                                                          #29
                                                          Saint John's -8 $77 confidence level 3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jeffchitown
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-21-16
                                                            • 1859

                                                            #30
                                                            Add
                                                            Houston -4.5 $77 confidence level 3.9
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jeffchitown
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-16
                                                              • 1859

                                                              #31
                                                              Add
                                                              SE Missouri State +5 $77 Confidence Level 2.5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jeffchitown
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-21-16
                                                                • 1859

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jeffchitown
                                                                Add
                                                                Houston -4.5 $77 confidence level 3.9
                                                                Adding $33 more to this but -5 also added
                                                                $55 1h Houston -2.5.

                                                                And added $33 more to St. John’s -7.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jeffchitown
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-21-16
                                                                  • 1859

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Add $33 1h St. John’s -4 confidence level 2.9
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jeffchitown
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-21-16
                                                                    • 1859

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Add parlay
                                                                    St. John’s -5.5 and over 145 $100 to win $177 confidence level 2.7
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I was pretty close to pulling trigger on over as well but ended up passing. Gl
                                                                      Comment
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