Gonzaga Opened -6.5 over USC

LT Profits · 03-26-17, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by beefcake

Give me a dam break!
Pom has em 13 points better..This line gonna shoot up guys. teams 1-2 in defensive efficiency though! Very solid under play!!

Pom has Gonzaga -9

NDFan17 · 03-26-17, 04:24 PM

Gonzaga incredible pressure. USC under no pressure. Gimme the points. Look how statistics has worked for people like LT Profits this season... think hes down 60-70% bankroll assuming 1%/unit.

jjgold · 03-26-17, 04:24 PM

Lol

Pom

NDFan17 · 03-26-17, 04:25 PM

LT Profits if you had invested those same 1 units in the stock market, you'd be up 30-40 points with no sweat...

ThaTopMoron · 03-26-17, 04:36 PM

USC lost in round of 32

LT Profits · 03-26-17, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by NDFan17

LT Profits if you had invested those same 1 units in the stock market, you'd be up 30-40 points with no sweat...

Doing well in tournaments though, specifically 11-3 in NCAA Tourney.

NDFan17 · 03-26-17, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Doing well in tournaments though, specifically 11-3 in NCAA Tourney.

Congrats, I hope you keep it up. I'm a finance guy and I just kinda wish you would invest your money in stocks instead of daily sports. You seem to understand systems and statistical analysis, you could make so much more, in markets and not be playing into a longrun -EV situation.

LT Profits · 03-26-17, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by NDFan17

Congrats, I hope you keep it up. I'm a finance guy and I just kinda wish you would invest your money in stocks instead of daily sports. You seem to understand systems and statistical analysis, you could make so much more, in markets and not be playing into a longrun -EV situation.

I am not poor and I enjoy the betting challenge. I am retired from writing so enjoying my time more now.

NDFan17 · 03-26-17, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I am not poor and I enjoy the betting challenge. I am retired from writing so enjoying my time more now.

Kudos to you then dude, enjoy retirement. Sports definitely more fun in that aspect than stocks.

FlyinAir · 03-26-17, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

USC lost in round of 32

South Carolina U is who they are referring too

mikemca · 03-26-17, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by beefcake

Give me a dam break!
Pom has em 13 points better..This line gonna shoot up guys. teams 1-2 in defensive efficiency though! Very solid under play!!

Line was very short of what it should have been Florida vs South Carolina per kenpom, same thing when they played Baylor.. look how they turned out. I would think it's because they're playing much better than their offensive rating would suggest so vegas adjusted

Think you missed the wedding on a light Zag line when they played X. South Carolina is a total head scratcher because if shots are falling their D can play with anyone.

t-wizzle · 03-26-17, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Lol

Pom

stackz125 · 03-26-17, 08:21 PM

I think zags takes this game rather easily

gauchojake · 03-26-17, 09:36 PM

pom pom

El Nino · 03-26-17, 09:49 PM

Depends if Zags make their 3's. Hard to come out shooting hot in a 70,000 person football stadium. Florida makes two 3's in the second half and Carolina is gone. Poland > Estonia inside. Zags need to move the ball. Nobody has been able to against South Carolina.

dlowilly · 03-26-17, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I am not poor and I enjoy the betting challenge. I am retired from writing so enjoying my time more now.

What kind of writing did you do?

LT Profits · 03-27-17, 06:53 AM

Originally posted by dlowilly

What kind of writing did you do?

Wrote on front page of SBR since shortly after site inception. I was a writer here for a while before becoming forum member.

jjgold · 03-27-17, 07:00 AM

Originally posted by NDFan17

LT Profits if you had invested those same 1 units in the stock market, you'd be up 30-40 points with no sweat...

not if you trade a lot..maybe long term

buying/selling you will get chewed alive

More - EV than sports

MiDNiTe · 03-27-17, 07:09 AM

dont care what pom says or whatever model says zags win easily gamecocks peaking at right time thornwell been a beast and this high presure game, taking gamecocks +pts easy decision, their defence is just as good and if their shots fall zags lose, hard to see zags cover when big chance they can lose

jjgold · 03-27-17, 07:44 AM

SC is the play

Pom means nothing because if it did it would not cost $20 a year

and everyone would be rich

The dumb people here amaze me

MiDNiTe · 03-27-17, 08:04 AM

yup agreed both defence good will most likely be high presure low scoring game, like most sports you have to peak at right time and in finals ducks and gamecocks peaking right time, still unsure about oregon and nc though

Martinr · 03-27-17, 10:39 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

SC is the play

Pom means nothing because if it did it would not cost $20 a year

and everyone would be rich

The dumb people here amaze me

Tremendous post.
Its insightfulness like this that sets SBR apart.

MaddyMax · 03-27-17, 10:44 PM

Ken Pom was dead wrong about Gonzaga all season long. Books didn't respect gonzaga and instead they set the lines close to ken pom lines and books got murdered during the season.

Martinr · 03-27-17, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by MaddyMax

Ken Pom was dead wrong about Gonzaga all season long. Books didn't respect gonzaga and instead they set the lines close to ken pom lines and books got murdered during the season.

I'd say the Pomeroy ratings were respecting Gonzaga more than most. The Zags were #1 last time I looked.
Linemakers have been setting openers according to some kind of ratings forever. What else can they use?
They don't mind getting "murdered" by one team. It's good business for them. They'll get it back on others.
The vig and poor discipline gets 99.9% of us.

Gonzaga -6.5 (this feels like a letdown for the Gamecocks). I started taking Gonzaga seriously when LT mentioned they were legit a few months ago. It kinda stuck with me.
Ducks +6.5 (I think it might get there)