What am I missing in here ?

[TripleC843]

If you see it different or I am over thinking please let me know...I'm here to WIN BABY not convince anyone to go a certain way.

Indiana vs. Ohio State

Senior Day at Ohio State...Indiana is horrible on the road (1-8) but statistically speaking they are better then Ohio State in a lot of Categories...and I'm sure a Win against Ohio State on the road would help give them some kind of momentum going towards conference tournament next week. If you look closer at Indiana's Road Win Loss record they have not been blown out as much as I had thought. They just seem really immature/young. I'm not sure what their luck rating is but its got to be pretty shitty. They lost @Purdue by 11 @Iowa by 6 @Minnesota by 1 and @Wisconsin by 5 on the road...That's not bad, They also played Purdue and Northwestern at Home and BEAT NW by 1 and then lost to Purdue by 4...They also beat Penn State at Home in early February. you would think they have to have gotten better ? However, I do not know if it enough to over take Ohio State @OHIO STATE who is 13-5 SU at home and with all the Senor Day atmosphere, Which has been what seems to have tipped the scales in the close games...I am not sure how they match up position wise on court but on paper seems closer then I thought...No Injuries that I saw...I did include some of stats from TeamRankings.com Just to show you what I am talking about...Don't want to overthink this one but if I can get Indiana +3.5 or 4 May take a stab...If you see it different or I am over thinking please let me know...I'm here to WIN BABY not convince anyone to go a certain way.
Offensive Stat Comparison

Points/Game	79.9	72.7
Avg Score Margin	+7.2	+3.7
Assists/Game	14.3	13.5
Total Rebounds/Gm	39.7	37.5
Effective FG %	54.9%	52.0%
Off Rebound %	36.0%	28.4%
FTA/FGA	0.347	0.375
Turnover %	18.3%	16.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Opp Points/Game	72.7	69.0
Opp Effective FG %	47.6%	48.5%
Off Rebounds/Gm	10.9	9.0
Def Rebounds/Gm	26.0	25.8
Blocks/Game	4.6	3.8
Steals/Game	6.4	5.3
Personal Fouls/Gm	20.4	17.5

Other Games...Leans...Please let me know if you see where I am missing something...Thank you !
(My lines are from Local )

GTOWN or Nova ML Villanova---Mr. Consistency... I like Villa, Georgetown is not that great....however Georgetown has beaten Butler and the other team that beat Villanova this season... line only being 7.5... seems like the lines makers know something I don't. GT POINTS OR NOVA ML in a parlay.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN + 6.5
I like Georgia state a lot as well, but im taking the points ....these guys always play close and I did not see any injuries that would influence game.

ELON + 3 William and Mary Pretty Bad on Road this is a Neutral game Played in Charleston, SC..Elon won by 9 @home and lost by 3 at William Mary... Covered both times...Nothing should change here...They are pretty similar statistic wise...My lean is that they have played twice and away from their hoe court William and Mary is not or has not been same team.

Illinois -3.5 I just cant take RUTGERS...I cant...They are like your hot ex gf's friend.. who was not as hot as your ex... but when you and your ex broke up...You hooked up with her... after you guys broke up out of spite....and liked it...Got drunk then sent your ex the video of the events with her friend...TOO MUCH ? Tough Crowd lol... iI love watching Rutgers lose...back to game...Illinois coming off emotional home win against MSU would be my only concern for let down. Rutgers just had the brakes beat off of them by Maryland last time, So Im sure they are going to try and bring somewhat of a more focused effort...I just think Illinois is better team and I hate Rutgers. Im leaning Rutgers has mailed it in this season, but I have been wrong before.

Providence-1 Seem like better team...Covered 7 of Last 8

Arkansas State seems -2...Arkansas State is traveling to USA where Lil rock knocked off USA on their home court last time out.. Arkansas State was beaten by Troy at Troy last time they hit the floor...Ark state losses are predominantly on the road and USA has played well at home just did not look good last time I saw them play Lil Rock and if it stays under - 3 may look into it..USA just is not as good at home as William and Mary...That's why its a different side bc Ark State despite their road record is the better team and should put it together..

Troy -8 Seems legit

Clemson-13.5 ....Love points normally would be on BC...This could be blowout home win Clemson has been waiting for and needs.

Charlotte +6.5 ...Like UTEP just like to take points

Creighton-+5 points.

Memphis + 15 take points

FSU- Like them at home (17-0)...maybe a bit overvalued, but I think FSU would like to make a statement as they are playing a beatable rival at home.

Saint Louis +15 Like Richmond just a lot of points

OK State... Kansas has a lot more disappointment left in the tank...Not sure on this one...But Like OK state...

Milwaukee ?

St. Bonn-9

Air force +5

Dayton -4

Rice -1.5 (trap?) at WKY

SC- 2.5

Texas Tech +3.5

Alabama + 3.5

G-tech + 9

[mdunlap3]

Senior day very risky in my opinion, different guys/teams handle all of the feels differently. Some want to go out and win one for the boys, others become headcases and get all emotional and end up losing games they should easily win. In the past, have definitely seen huge dogs (15-20) win outright on the road on senior day. Beware lol.

LOVE the providence play though. Like betting a better team on the road if the number is decent after they have given up home court in the prior matchup to the inferior opponent. SJU doesn't really have much to play for either, PC playing for better seeding.

[TripleC843]

Thank you...Im taking Indiana If it goes up to 3.5...Maybe even at 3...or May just pass...I could not sleep and have a Kids Birthday to go to ...So looked into some games...

[DOM_Toretto]

Lot of people think indiana has kind of given up. They're saying Tom Crean has lost his team and he's on his way out. No real leaders on the court and guys make poor decisions on the court like Bryant down low. Most of the talent on the team is with Blackmon and have to consider his motivation vs. OSU leader Loving on senior day...

[The Hat]

I would say scrap the Clemson -13.5 play. That's a tough number, especially for a team not accustomed to blowing other teams out.

Seen far too many teams leading by this number and more late in the game not cover because they're playing soft defense....'playing not to foul and prolong the game....'

[TripleC843]

I would say scrap the Clemson -13.5 play. That's a tough number, especially for a team not accustomed to blowing other teams out.

Seen far too many teams leading by this number and more late in the game not cover because they're playing soft defense....'playing not to foul and prolong the game....'

Im a Clemson Grad...This a total Homer play...I can def see them dropping the ball and letting them cover...We always let people cover in Football, Just not at the end...Worked out well for us this year !!!

[The Hat]

Illinois -3.5 I just cant take RUTGERS...I cant...They are like your hot ex gf's friend.. who was not as hot as your ex... but when you and your ex broke up...You hooked up with her... after you guys broke up out of spite....and liked it...Got drunk then sent your ex the video of the events with her friend...TOO MUCH ?

LOL...nice

[TripleC843]

Florida already wrapped up the 1 ? -3.5 seems off even at Vandy ?

[CappinTerp]

Man that is a lot of games to look at,hope you win.Just 2 things to say.Senior day IMO has very little added effect on the home court. And yes Rutgers is bad.....but they do play good on the defensive side.....and did take a good Wisky team into OT.