Maddog4040 NCAAB 2016-17 Picks

[maddog4040]

I'm going to finally post everything in one thread. Prior to this I would post my picks in a new thread.

For official tracking purposes, I have included the picks I've made so far (only 6 and were posted on this forum in separate threads).

For those who have not followed me before - I will continue to post until the regular season ends. I started providing these NCAAB picks last season (2015-16). Last season results were as follows: OVER - COMBINED TOTALS 34 Wins / 23 Losses / 1 Ties / 58 Total Picks 59.65% Win Percentage

No opportunities for OVER Combined Totals today.

Below is also a summary of my record for 2016-17 NCAAB. I did not begin at the beginning of this season, as the algorithm I built is driven by stats. In order to rely on these stats, a minimum number of games needs to be played so these stats can be relied upon. Feel free to message me any questions.

DATE AWAY HOME Total Line PICK WIN/LOSS?
Wednesday, January 11, 2017 Minnesota U Michigan State 139.00 OVER LOSS
Wednesday, January 11, 2017 Dayton Massachusetts 142.50 OVER LOSS
Saturday, January 14, 2017 Valparaiso Cleveland State 134.00 OVER WIN
Saturday, January 14, 2017 Texas State South Alabama 132.00 OVER WIN
Saturday, January 14, 2017 Oregon State Oregon 131.5 OVER LOSS
Saturday, January 14, 2017 Furman Wofford 141.5 OVER LOSS


Overall Record - 2016-17 NCAAB Wins Losses Ties Win % Total Picks

OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 2 4 0 33.33% 6



WEEK 1/9/17 - 1/15/17 - 2016-17 NCAAB RESULTS Wins Losses Ties Win % Total Picks

OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 2 4 0 33.33% 6

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):

Monday, January 16, 2017 Cleveland State Oakland 138.5
Monday, January 16, 2017 Kansas Iowa State 154

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s): Tuesday, January 17, 2017 Miami Ohio Northern Illinois 137


OVERALL RECORD - 2016-17 NCAAB

Wins Losses Ties Win % Total Picks

OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 3 5 0 37.50% 8

[maddog4040]

Over Combined Total Pick: Wednesday, January 18, 2017 Missouri Alabama 131.5

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Thursday, January 19, 2017	Connecticut	SMU	122.0
Thursday, January 19, 2017	UAB	Florida Atlantic	132.5
Thursday, January 19, 2017	San Diego	Loyola Marymount	136.5
Thursday, January 19, 2017	Tennessee Tech	Tennessee State	133.0

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Friday, January 20, 2017 Cleveland State Wisc Milwaukee 127

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):


Saturday, January 21, 2017 Towson Delaware 129.5
Saturday, January 21, 2017 Iowa State Oklahoma U 150.5
Saturday, January 21, 2017 James Madison College of Charleston 112.5
Saturday, January 21, 2017 South Alabama Arkansas Little Rock 138.0
Saturday, January 21, 2017 Northern Iowa Southern Illinois 128.5
Saturday, January 21, 2017 Old Dominion Charlotte U 134.0
Saturday, January 21, 2017 UC Davis Hawaii 134.5
Saturday, January 21, 2017 Niagara St. Peter's 133.5

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Sunday, January 22, 2017 Illinois Chicago Valparaiso 145.0

[maddog4040]

Latest results:

OVERALL RECORD - 2016-17 NCAAB
Wins Losses Ties Win % Total Picks
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 11 13 0 45.83% 24

WEEK 1/16/17 - 1/22/17 2016-17 NCAAB RESULTS
Wins Losses Ties Win % Total Picks
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS: 9 9 0 50.00% 18

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Monday, January 23, 2017	UL Monroe	Texas State	124.0
Monday, January 23, 2017	American U	Holy Cross	116.0

[maddog4040]

Today my algorithm picked two games, HOWEVER each game has one key (defined as an injury or illness to the first or second leading scorer) player questionable. Past results have proven the chances of the OVER picks winning are materially lowered (if key players don't play).

The two games I'll continue to monitor for update are as follows:

Tuesday, January 24, 2017 Rutgers Maryland 130.5
***Star player and top scorer, Melo Trimble is questionable with an illness (didn't practice Monday). He is also one of the best players in the nation and his absence would be missed. The line on paper looks very low and no surprise my algorithm picked up on the potential value (but I think Melo not playing has been incorporated into the line). Again, out of precaution, no OVER pick will be made yet.

Tuesday, January 24, 2017 Kent State Northern Illinois 139.5
****Second leading scorer, Jaylin Walker is questionable and missed the last game while he nurses a foot injury. Again, out of precaution, no OVER pick will be made yet.

PLEASE feel free to pass along any updates on the status of these two players , as I'm a one man show lol.

[maddog4040]

pulled the trigger just now on Maryland Rutgers OVER 129...Maryland's top scorer Melo Trimble is expected to play.

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):


Wednesday, January 25, 2017 Tennessee State SIU Edwardsville 137.0
Wednesday, January 25, 2017 Belmont Eastern Illinois 144.5

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Thursday, January 26, 2017 Cal Poly SLO Cal Irvine 133.5

[maddog4040]

No picks today (1/27/17).

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Saturday, January 28, 2017 Texas State Coastal Carolina 132.0
Saturday, January 28, 2017 James Madison Delaware 119.0
Saturday, January 28, 2017 South Carolina Missouri 130.0
Saturday, January 28, 2017 Tennessee Chattanooga East Tennessee State 141.5

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s): Sunday, January 29, 2017	Wisc Milwaukee	Oakland	138.5
Sunday, January 29, 2017	Northern Kentucky	Valparaiso	143.5

[maddog4040]

No picks today (1/30/17).

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):
Thursday, February 2, 2017	Michigan State	Nebraska	135.0
Thursday, February 2, 2017	Florida International	Old Dominion	122.5
Thursday, February 2, 2017	Valparaiso	Wisc Milwaukee	131.0
Thursday, February 2, 2017	Arizona	Oregon State	128.5
Thursday, February 2, 2017	Eastern Illinois	Tennessee State	136.5
Thursday, February 2, 2017	Portland State	Idaho	145.0

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s): Saturday, February 4, 2017 South Dakota North Dakota State 141.5

[maddog4040]

ONE MORE COMBINED OVER PICK - Saturday, February 4, 2017 Radford Liberty 120.5

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):	Units to Play (1 to 6)
Wednesday, February 8, 2017	1	St. Peter's	Quinnipiac	137.0
Wednesday, February 8, 2017	5	Idaho	Northern Colorado	134.0

[maddog4040]

Going to start assigning the number of units to play for each pick. Prior to this all plays were played with the same number of units.

[SBRMAN23]

Nice work do you keep a tally of overall record keeping

[maddog4040]

yeah. i've been in posting pick mode only but will provide an update.

thanks for the reminder lol

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):	Units to Play (1 to 6)
	3	Marist	St. Peter's	127.0
	2	Dayton	Saint Louis	126.0

[maddog4040]

ONE MORE OVER COMBINED - 6 UNIT PLAYHigh Point Liberty 126.5

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):	Units to Play (1 to 6)
	1	Fordham	Rhode Island	131.0

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s): Units to Play (1 to 6)
4 Central Florida East Carolina 124.0

[maddog4040]

1 unit over playHoly Cross American U 109.5

[maddog4040]

ONE MORE 1 unit playColgate Loyola Maryland 130.5

[maddog4040]

both are over picks.

[maddog4040]

OVERALL RECORD - 2016-17 NCAAB
	Wins	Losses	Ties	Win % (based on Picks)	Total Picks	Units Won	Win % (based on Units Won)
OVER - COMBINED TOTALS:	22	31	0	41.51%	53	27	39.71%

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):	Units to Play (1 to 6)
	1	Northern Iowa	Indiana State	124.0

[maddog4040]

OVER Combined Totals Pick(s):	Units to Play (1 to 6)
	1	Loyola Maryland	Holy Cross	115.5