I think I have found value

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  • mahncpa
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-19-09
    • 341

    #1
    I think I have found value
    3 picks this morning:

    Northeastern -2 at Cornell, pick NE

    JMU at Charlotte -5, pick Charlotte

    UNC-W -6 at W. Michigan, pick UNCW

    I bought 1/2 point on each.

    Any thoughts?
  • TheeArchBishop
    SBR MVP
    • 11-17-11
    • 1328

    #2
    On Northeastern. Let's get em.
    Comment
    • mahncpa
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-19-09
      • 341

      #3
      Originally posted by TheeArchBishop
      On Northeastern. Let's get em.
      Do you have any other picks you are looking at?
      Comment
      • TheeArchBishop
        SBR MVP
        • 11-17-11
        • 1328

        #4
        Lots lol but haven't finalized any yet. Looking at Rutgers +15, Arkansas State, and Santa Clara.
        Comment
        • mahncpa
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-19-09
          • 341

          #5
          I like the Ark. State pick a lot. Will be following. GLTY!
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            Play Arky State in the 1H. They are 1st half monsters if you go back and look
            Comment
            • mahncpa
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-19-09
              • 341

              #7
              Originally posted by TPowell
              Play Arky State in the 1H. They are 1st half monsters if you go back and look
              I just looked at Pomeroy rankings and you are spot on. Arky State has scored well in the first half. Thanks
              for the tip.
              Comment
              • HeeluvaGuy
                SBR MVP
                • 02-15-14
                • 3449

                #8
                Originally posted by mahncpa
                I just looked at Pomeroy rankings and you are spot on. Arky State has scored well in the first half. Thanks
                for the tip.
                What kenpom ranking are you looking at for halftime numbers? Thanks
                Comment
                • mahncpa
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-19-09
                  • 341

                  #9
                  Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                  What kenpom ranking are you looking at for halftime numbers? Thanks
                  I went to Arkansas State page and looked at any of the "results/scores" of games. The boxscore gives the score
                  by quarters. In the Lehigh game, Arky St. was up 53-32. I have not figured out a way to compare the halftime
                  score to the halftime spread however. That would be helpful. I just saw that they do get out of the gate well.
                  BTW, Go Heels!! Lifelong Tar Heel fan here!!
                  Comment
                  • mahncpa
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-19-09
                    • 341

                    #10
                    BTW, again looking at Pomeroy, Arky State's opponent tongiht, Cleavland State, gets out of the gate slow. Even
                    in the game that they won this year, they were behind by 5 at the half. Looks like 1st half is the pick on this game.
                    Comment
                    • HeeluvaGuy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-15-14
                      • 3449

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mahncpa
                      I went to Arkansas State page and looked at any of the "results/scores" of games. The boxscore gives the score
                      by quarters. In the Lehigh game, Arky St. was up 53-32. I have not figured out a way to compare the halftime
                      score to the halftime spread however. That would be helpful. I just saw that they do get out of the gate well.
                      BTW, Go Heels!! Lifelong Tar Heel fan here!!
                      Gotcha. I thought maybe you had found halftime stats along the lines of what he does for full games. That would be amazing.

                      Big test tonight for the Heels. They're playing well, but Assembly Hall is a tough environment. It'll be interesting to see how we play as a road favorite in this spot.

                      Best of luck tonight!
                      Comment
                      • mahncpa
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-19-09
                        • 341

                        #12
                        [QUOTE=HeeluvaGuy;26592867]Gotcha. I thought maybe you had found halftime stats along the lines of what he does for full games. That would be amazing.

                        Big test tonight for the Heels. They're playing well, but Assembly Hall is a tough environment. It'll be interesting to see how we play as a road favorite in this spot.

                        Yes, it would be great if Pomeroy had half time details! I have been hunting for something like that for a while.

                        I hear you about the Heels. Tough game. I never bet on/against the Heels, just try to enjoy the game.
                        But if I had to bet it, I would take the points with IU. I think it is a fairly even matchup, but the home
                        team gets the edge to cover in this game. Best of luck to you.
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #13
                          Easy money on Arky State all the way.
                          Comment
                          • TheeArchBishop
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-17-11
                            • 1328

                            #14
                            Good job fellas
                            Comment
                            • mahncpa
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-19-09
                              • 341

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TPowell
                              Easy money on Arky State all the way.
                              Thanks for the Arky State tip. I took -3.5 first half. With my 3 picks, I only
                              went 2-2. UNC-W led by double digits most of the game and I had them at
                              -5.5. Won by 5. So that was a tough beat. How did you identify Arky St.
                              as a good first half team??? Thanks in advance!!
                              Comment
                              • TPowell
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 18842

                                #16
                                Originally posted by mahncpa
                                Thanks for the Arky State tip. I took -3.5 first half. With my 3 picks, I only
                                went 2-2. UNC-W led by double digits most of the game and I had them at
                                -5.5. Won by 5. So that was a tough beat. How did you identify Arky St.
                                as a good first half team??? Thanks in advance!!

                                Just have to pick through Ken Pom box scores. Breaks it down in quarters but you can still get a good picture
                                Comment
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