* College Totals *

DU46 · 01-30-17, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

I think it's a Canadian thing. I think Americans are used to watching that level of basketball. Most Canadians only see the NBA so we assume that players will generally make their free throws, be able to pass the ball to a wide open player, inbound the ball without drama, intentionally foul a player without drama, not take three pointers 12 feet behind the line for no reason, etc. I got quite an education this weekend. Some of the teams were under 50% from the foul line! I can make more than 50% from the foul line and I'm a nerd stats grad student.

ckingsbr · 01-30-17, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

I think it's a Canadian thing. I think Americans are used to watching that level of basketball. Most Canadians only see the NBA so we assume that players will generally make their free throws, be able to pass the ball to a wide open player, inbound the ball without drama, intentionally foul a player without drama, not take three pointers 12 feet behind the line for no reason, etc. I got quite an education this weekend. Some of the teams were under 50% from the foul line! I can make more than 50% from the foul line and I'm a nerd stats grad student.

Not just a canadien thing. I'm from California and I can barely tolerate college basketball. Have to say though lately nba has been off too. Lots of big blown leads last month.

cooperman · 01-30-17, 12:28 PM

Fwiw my feeling is you play as many games as you can as long as you're confident that they will hit at 53% or higher. If all bets are -110 and you are betting the same amount, going 22-18 is better than 11-9 .

I say if you are playing it, post it. It is up to each individual to tail or not. This is supposed to be fun for the posters not a responsibility to manage others bankroll. Best of luck tonight

doubledime · 01-30-17, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

I swore I'd never bet on NCAAB again but... I can't pass on DD. The key is to bet on the games, NOT to watch them.

DD, I'm doing an MLB team totals thread this year using a model similar to the one I've used to hit NHL Team Totals at around 70% this year. I hope you'll be doing another MLB thread, last year's was swell.

Good to hear that you are going to have an MLB thread. It will be interesting to see if we match up on a lot of games.

doubledime · 01-30-17, 01:43 PM

Good afternoon,

Here are my "First Look" games for Monday:

These are not plays and have been filtered using other criteria, just my first look, hence the name.

I do not have time to post the lines, but for tracking purposes we'll use Vegas Insider numbers.

As I mentioned these have doing well as of late but it never fails the first day one posts them, they go south. Be careful!

519 G. South over
521 Ark LR under 1st half
523 Ark St. over
525 OK St over
527 WC under 1st half
531 Rider over
537 Bost over
539 SC under 1st half
543 Drex over
Of course my three regular plays would also be part of these.
Remember these are only based on limited criteria.

Good luck

thekoreanmang · 01-30-17, 08:30 PM

I've been waiting for this my friend. Lit's git it!

slamuels2021 · 01-30-17, 08:49 PM

looking great so far DD

doubledime · 01-30-17, 11:19 PM

Points Awarded:

thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks Kman

doubledime · 01-30-17, 11:22 PM

Good evening,

Regular Plays: 2-0

First Half Unders: 1-0

Second Half Unders When First Half Goes Over: 0

First Look Plays: 6-3

YTD:

Regular Plays: 50-46

First Half Unders: 24-18

Second Half Unders: 6-5

First Look Plays: 6-3

Good luck

doubledime · 01-31-17, 08:36 AM

Points Awarded:

wlulaxer gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thank you wlulaxer

doubledime · 01-31-17, 08:43 AM

Good morning,

Tuesday's Play:

723 Kent/E M over 151

This game's opening overnight line started at 147.5 and went over night to 149. This morning it's 151. I wish I had 147.5 but I still think there is still value at 151

Back a little later with the "First Look" plays.

Good luck

DU46 · 01-31-17, 09:03 AM

All three 1H first looks cashed last night DD. Your capping definitely seems to do very well with 1H unders.

doubledime · 01-31-17, 10:02 AM

Fuux gave doubledime 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thank you Fuux

doubledime · 01-31-17, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by doubledime

Good morning,

Tuesday's Play:

723 Kent/E M over 151

This game's opening overnight line started at 147.5 and went over night to 149. This morning it's 151. I wish I had 147.5 but I still think there is still value at 151

Back a little later with the "First Look" plays.

Good luck

Some books now have 150

DD

doubledime · 01-31-17, 11:29 AM

Good morning,

Go to Post #705 for an explanation of "First Look" plays.

719 CM/Buff over
749 Vandy/A&M under first half

Remember, these are based on limited criteria and just we're just tracking right now.

Good luck

doubledime · 01-31-17, 12:41 PM

Kent/EM now down to 149 @ Heritage

I really thought this line was going up as the day went on. Coulda, shoulda woulda

Line going down does not change my reasons for the play, just wish I would have waited.

DD

thekoreanmang · 01-31-17, 02:28 PM

First look reminds me of weddings when a groom gets to take a "first look" at his bride before the ceremony. I guess a similar concept here before we are wedded to our picks.

Good job, dd.

cooperman · 01-31-17, 02:51 PM

I know we have CM/Buff over for diff reasons , but I'm glad to see you on it. BOL 2 us, & you w/rest of the games

doubledime · 01-31-17, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

First look reminds me of weddings when a groom gets to take a "first look" at his bride before the ceremony. I guess a similar concept here before we are wedded to our picks.

Good job, dd.

The big difference is by the time he or she has their first look, it's too late to turn around.

After my first look I can reject it!

doubledime · 01-31-17, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by cooperman

I know we have CM/Buff over for diff reasons , but I'm glad to see you on it. BOL 2 us, & you w/rest of the games

Good to hear coop

doubledime · 01-31-17, 05:17 PM

Kent/EM now up to 153. What a roller coaster today

HeeluvaGuy · 01-31-17, 05:20 PM

GL tonight DD. I'm taking a pass on MACtion tonight. Those teams really piss me off.

Maybe they'll behave for you.

finfan88 · 01-31-17, 05:20 PM

Is 153 to high?

doubledime · 01-31-17, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by finfan88

Is 153 to high?

At 153 it's lost quite a bit of value from the over night opening line of 147.5.

It's come back down a bit from 153.

DD

doubledime · 02-01-17, 09:58 AM

Good evening,

Regular Plays: 0-1

First Half Unders: 0

Second Half Unders When First Half Goes Over: 0

First Look Plays: 2-0

YTD:

Regular Plays: 50-47

First Half Unders: 24-18

Second Half Unders: 6-5

First Look Plays: 8-3

Good luck

doubledime · 02-01-17, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

GL tonight DD. I'm taking a pass on MACtion tonight. Those teams really piss me off.

Maybe they'll behave for you.

Now the MAC teams piss me off too!!

thekoreanmang · 02-01-17, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by doubledime

The big difference is by the time he or she has their first look, it's too late to turn around.

After my first look I can reject it!

Haha. Hilarious!

I always accept your first looks baby. I'm an equal opportunity bettor.

doubledime · 02-01-17, 12:21 PM

Good morning,

Wednesday's Plays:

537 Rich/VC over 146.5
545 Vil/Prov under 63.5 first half
577 EC/SMU under 58.5 first half

Back later with the "First Look" plays

Good luck

doubledime · 02-01-17, 02:21 PM

Good afternoon,

Go to Post #705 for an explanation of "First Look" plays.

The First Look plays for Wednesday:

529 Marq/St. Jon over
543 CF/Hou under fist half
551 Brad/SIU under first half
557 St. Bony/Duq over
563 N. Iow/IL St. under first half
585 USC/Wash over
589 SD/Neb O over
596 W IL/SD St. under first half

NOTE: This is a lot of plays and I would never post or play this amount of games. Once again I remind everyone I am posting these for tracking purposes and as additional info for those who handicap their own games.

Good luck

Flea Hotel · 02-01-17, 02:49 PM

I just put exactly 1 Canadian Dollar on EACH of your First Look plays. BOL

Originally posted by doubledime

Good afternoon,

Go to Post #705 for an explanation of "First Look" plays.

The First Look plays for Wednesday:

529 Marq/St. Jon over
543 CF/Hou under fist half
551 Brad/SIU under first half
557 St. Bony/Duq over
563 N. Iow/IL St. under first half
585 USC/Wash over
589 SD/Neb O over
596 W IL/SD St. under first half

NOTE: This is a lot of plays and I would never post or play this amount of games. Once again I remind everyone I am posting these for tracking purposes and as additional info for those who handicap their own games.

Good luck

doubledime · 02-01-17, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

I just put exactly 1 Canadian Dollar on EACH of your First Look plays. BOL

You have some fancy looking bills up there.

Flea Hotel · 02-01-17, 04:33 PM

LOL, they retired the ol dollar bill in 1995. The two dollar bill followed a couple years later. Now we have annoying coins for 1 and 2 dollars, and soon, 5. I'm barely old enough to remember these but I do. I hate coins. We have cool bills now though. Our hundreds look badass but stick together and are annoying to count.

Originally posted by doubledime

You have some fancy looking bills up there.

HeeluvaGuy · 02-01-17, 06:53 PM

Go get 'em DD!

cooperman · 02-01-17, 07:39 PM

Go get em DD. Just a question that goes through my messed up mind. How do the "1st look" plays come out after the final plays. You had to look at em more than once at that point.

doubledime · 02-02-17, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by cooperman

Go get em DD. Just a question that goes through my messed up mind. How do the "1st look" plays come out after the final plays. You had to look at em more than once at that point.

It's a time thing. Yes I know them, but it takes more time to post them. Sometimes I have the time other times I do not.

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