***** College Totals *****

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  • DU46
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-09-09
    • 368

    #701
    Originally posted by Flea Hotel
    I think it's a Canadian thing. I think Americans are used to watching that level of basketball. Most Canadians only see the NBA so we assume that players will generally make their free throws, be able to pass the ball to a wide open player, inbound the ball without drama, intentionally foul a player without drama, not take three pointers 12 feet behind the line for no reason, etc. I got quite an education this weekend. Some of the teams were under 50% from the foul line! I can make more than 50% from the foul line and I'm a nerd stats grad student.

    Comment
    • ckingsbr
      SBR Rookie
      • 01-15-17
      • 27

      #702
      Originally posted by Flea Hotel
      I think it's a Canadian thing. I think Americans are used to watching that level of basketball. Most Canadians only see the NBA so we assume that players will generally make their free throws, be able to pass the ball to a wide open player, inbound the ball without drama, intentionally foul a player without drama, not take three pointers 12 feet behind the line for no reason, etc. I got quite an education this weekend. Some of the teams were under 50% from the foul line! I can make more than 50% from the foul line and I'm a nerd stats grad student.
      Not just a canadien thing. I'm from California and I can barely tolerate college basketball. Have to say though lately nba has been off too. Lots of big blown leads last month.
      Comment
      • cooperman
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-23-16
        • 570

        #703
        Fwiw my feeling is you play as many games as you can as long as you're confident that they will hit at 53% or higher. If all bets are -110 and you are betting the same amount, going 22-18 is better than 11-9 .

        I say if you are playing it, post it. It is up to each individual to tail or not. This is supposed to be fun for the posters not a responsibility to manage others bankroll. Best of luck tonight
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #704
          Originally posted by Flea Hotel
          I swore I'd never bet on NCAAB again but... I can't pass on DD. The key is to bet on the games, NOT to watch them.

          DD, I'm doing an MLB team totals thread this year using a model similar to the one I've used to hit NHL Team Totals at around 70% this year. I hope you'll be doing another MLB thread, last year's was swell.
          Good to hear that you are going to have an MLB thread. It will be interesting to see if we match up on a lot of games.
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #705
            Good afternoon,

            Here are my "First Look" games for Monday:

            These are not plays and have been filtered using other criteria, just my first look, hence the name.

            I do not have time to post the lines, but for tracking purposes we'll use Vegas Insider numbers.

            As I mentioned these have doing well as of late but it never fails the first day one posts them, they go south. Be careful!

            519 G. South over
            521 Ark LR under 1st half
            523 Ark St. over
            525 OK St over
            527 WC under 1st half
            531 Rider over
            537 Bost over
            539 SC under 1st half
            543 Drex over

            Of course my three regular plays would also be part of these.
            Remember these are only based on limited criteria.

            Good luck
            Last edited by doubledime; 01-30-17, 01:46 PM.
            Comment
            • thekoreanmang
              SBR MVP
              • 03-17-14
              • 1422

              #706
              I've been waiting for this my friend. Lit's git it!
              Comment
              • slamuels2021
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-21-16
                • 201

                #707
                looking great so far DD
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #708
                  Points Awarded:
                  thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                  Thanks Kman
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #709
                    Good evening,

                    Regular Plays: 2-0

                    First Half Unders: 1-0

                    Second Half Unders When First Half Goes Over: 0

                    First Look Plays: 6-3



                    YTD:

                    Regular Plays: 50-46

                    First Half Unders: 24-18

                    Second Half Unders: 6-5

                    First Look Plays: 6-3

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #710
                      Points Awarded:
                      wlulaxer gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
                      Thank you wlulaxer
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #711
                        Good morning,

                        Tuesday's Play:

                        723 Kent/E M over 151

                        This game's opening overnight line started at 147.5 and went over night to 149. This morning it's 151. I wish I had 147.5 but I still think there is still value at 151

                        Back a little later with the "First Look" plays.

                        Good luck
                        Last edited by doubledime; 01-31-17, 09:00 AM.
                        Comment
                        • DU46
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-09-09
                          • 368

                          #712
                          All three 1H first looks cashed last night DD. Your capping definitely seems to do very well with 1H unders.
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #713

                            Fuux gave doubledime 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                            Thank you Fuux
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #714
                              Originally posted by doubledime
                              Good morning,

                              Tuesday's Play:

                              723 Kent/E M over 151

                              This game's opening overnight line started at 147.5 and went over night to 149. This morning it's 151. I wish I had 147.5 but I still think there is still value at 151

                              Back a little later with the "First Look" plays.

                              Good luck
                              Some books now have 150

                              DD
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #715
                                Good morning,

                                Go to Post #705 for an explanation of "First Look" plays.


                                719 CM/Buff over
                                749 Vandy/A&M under first half

                                Remember, these are based on limited criteria and just we're just tracking right now.

                                Good luck
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #716
                                  Kent/EM now down to 149 @ Heritage

                                  I really thought this line was going up as the day went on. Coulda, shoulda woulda

                                  Line going down does not change my reasons for the play, just wish I would have waited.

                                  DD
                                  Comment
                                  • thekoreanmang
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-17-14
                                    • 1422

                                    #717
                                    First look reminds me of weddings when a groom gets to take a "first look" at his bride before the ceremony. I guess a similar concept here before we are wedded to our picks.

                                    Good job, dd.
                                    Comment
                                    • cooperman
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-23-16
                                      • 570

                                      #718
                                      I know we have CM/Buff over for diff reasons , but I'm glad to see you on it. BOL 2 us, & you w/rest of the games
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #719
                                        Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                        First look reminds me of weddings when a groom gets to take a "first look" at his bride before the ceremony. I guess a similar concept here before we are wedded to our picks.

                                        Good job, dd.
                                        The big difference is by the time he or she has their first look, it's too late to turn around. After my first look I can reject it!
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #720
                                          Originally posted by cooperman
                                          I know we have CM/Buff over for diff reasons , but I'm glad to see you on it. BOL 2 us, & you w/rest of the games
                                          Good to hear coop
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #721
                                            Kent/EM now up to 153. What a roller coaster today
                                            Comment
                                            • HeeluvaGuy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-15-14
                                              • 3449

                                              #722
                                              GL tonight DD. I'm taking a pass on MACtion tonight. Those teams really piss me off. Maybe they'll behave for you.
                                              Comment
                                              • finfan88
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-06-11
                                                • 676

                                                #723
                                                Is 153 to high?
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #724
                                                  Originally posted by finfan88
                                                  Is 153 to high?
                                                  At 153 it's lost quite a bit of value from the over night opening line of 147.5.

                                                  It's come back down a bit from 153.

                                                  DD
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #725
                                                    Good evening,

                                                    Regular Plays: 0-1

                                                    First Half Unders: 0

                                                    Second Half Unders When First Half Goes Over: 0

                                                    First Look Plays: 2-0



                                                    YTD:

                                                    Regular Plays: 50-47

                                                    First Half Unders: 24-18

                                                    Second Half Unders: 6-5

                                                    First Look Plays: 8-3

                                                    Good luck
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #726
                                                      Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                      GL tonight DD. I'm taking a pass on MACtion tonight. Those teams really piss me off. Maybe they'll behave for you.
                                                      Now the MAC teams piss me off too!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thekoreanmang
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-17-14
                                                        • 1422

                                                        #727
                                                        Originally posted by doubledime
                                                        The big difference is by the time he or she has their first look, it's too late to turn around. After my first look I can reject it!
                                                        Haha. Hilarious!

                                                        I always accept your first looks baby. I'm an equal opportunity bettor.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #728
                                                          Good morning,

                                                          Wednesday's Plays:

                                                          537 Rich/VC over 146.5
                                                          545 Vil/Prov under 63.5 first half
                                                          577 EC/SMU under 58.5 first half


                                                          Back later with the "First Look" plays

                                                          Good luck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #729
                                                            Good afternoon,

                                                            Go to Post #705 for an explanation of "First Look" plays.

                                                            The First Look plays for Wednesday:

                                                            529 Marq/St. Jon over
                                                            543 CF/Hou under fist half
                                                            551 Brad/SIU under first half
                                                            557 St. Bony/Duq over
                                                            563 N. Iow/IL St. under first half
                                                            585 USC/Wash over
                                                            589 SD/Neb O over
                                                            596 W IL/SD St. under first half

                                                            NOTE: This is a lot of plays and I would never post or play this amount of games. Once again I remind everyone I am posting these for tracking purposes and as additional info for those who handicap their own games.

                                                            Good luck

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Flea Hotel
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 08-31-16
                                                              • 1732

                                                              #730
                                                              I just put exactly 1 Canadian Dollar on EACH of your First Look plays. BOL

                                                              Originally posted by doubledime
                                                              Good afternoon,

                                                              Go to Post #705 for an explanation of "First Look" plays.

                                                              The First Look plays for Wednesday:

                                                              529 Marq/St. Jon over
                                                              543 CF/Hou under fist half
                                                              551 Brad/SIU under first half
                                                              557 St. Bony/Duq over
                                                              563 N. Iow/IL St. under first half
                                                              585 USC/Wash over
                                                              589 SD/Neb O over
                                                              596 W IL/SD St. under first half

                                                              NOTE: This is a lot of plays and I would never post or play this amount of games. Once again I remind everyone I am posting these for tracking purposes and as additional info for those who handicap their own games.

                                                              Good luck

                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #731
                                                                Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                I just put exactly 1 Canadian Dollar on EACH of your First Look plays. BOL

                                                                You have some fancy looking bills up there.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                  • 1732

                                                                  #732
                                                                  LOL, they retired the ol dollar bill in 1995. The two dollar bill followed a couple years later. Now we have annoying coins for 1 and 2 dollars, and soon, 5. I'm barely old enough to remember these but I do. I hate coins. We have cool bills now though. Our hundreds look badass but stick together and are annoying to count.
                                                                  Originally posted by doubledime
                                                                  You have some fancy looking bills up there.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-15-14
                                                                    • 3449

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Go get 'em DD!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cooperman
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-23-16
                                                                      • 570

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Go get em DD. Just a question that goes through my messed up mind. How do the "1st look" plays come out after the final plays. You had to look at em more than once at that point.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • doubledime
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                                        • 9751

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Originally posted by cooperman
                                                                        Go get em DD. Just a question that goes through my messed up mind. How do the "1st look" plays come out after the final plays. You had to look at em more than once at that point.
                                                                        It's a time thing. Yes I know them, but it takes more time to post them. Sometimes I have the time other times I do not.
                                                                        Comment
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