Too Good To Be True (TGTBT) Sunday

[QuantumLeap]

In yesterday's thread I said I would not be doing this until the Big Dance. However, there have been a lot of good ideas in past threads so I thought I would start another one and perhaps not make so many selections.

Post your TGTBT thoughts and picks here.

[keitht]

maryland terps

[QuantumLeap]

Illinois +5 over Pa State (Bovada)
Ill is 3-7 in their last 10 and 2-7 on the road overall.
Pa State is 10-4 at home.

[iloseagain]

posted in other one.. I think NW -5 looks very easy... Neb lost to NW at home by 9, and now they only +5 @ NW...?

EDIT: nvm they lost by 9

[QuantumLeap]

maryland terps

Are you saying Maryland is too good to be true and Indiana is the pick or are you saying you would pick Maryland over Indiana. Sorry, but the way this system works can be confusing since we usually take the team that plays against the team that's too good to be ture.

Thanks for the suggestion.

[QuantumLeap]

posted in other one.. I think NW -5 looks very easy... Neb lost to NW at home by 9, and now they only +5 @ NW...?

EDIT: nvm they lost by 9

Yeah, I like that one too. Nebraska should cover.

Thanks.

[GreatWallofTrump]

Evansville/northern Iowa under 124. Am I missing something? Both previous contests
have been under 114.

[QuantumLeap]

Temple is looking TGTBT. I just don't trust Tulane to put in a good performance compared to their recent performances.

[QuantumLeap]

Evansville/northern Iowa under 124. Am I missing something? Both previous contests
have been under 114.

Wow! 54-52 and 57-54 in their previous 2.

[posey_mvp]

So we taking the under?

[iloseagain]

Evansville/northern Iowa under 124. Am I missing something? Both previous contests
have been under 114.

yea so by the rule of TGTBT, the under is TGTBT.. Take over.

[QuantumLeap]

Illinois +5 over Pa State (Bovada)
Ill is 3-7 in their last 10 and 2-7 on the road overall.
Pa State is 10-4 at home.

Illinois keeping it close only down 36-37 at the half. Let's see if they can keep it up for the whole game.

[iloseagain]

wow i took GB u158.5... 56 at half.. i have been paying attention to this conference a little bit and their o/u have been set way too high for this tournament play.. this was an easy one.. took 2h o82 for a tiny bit to try and middle

[iloseagain]

I will say it right now... I will lose my Illinois +4 bet. Whenever a game goes to OT, i always end up losing. Im not saying this just to say it either. Im dead serious. My luck in OT is unbelievably atrocious.. If the guy makes that friggen free throw, i cash either way. Now I get to watch PSU win by 7 in OT

[QuantumLeap]

I will say it right now... I will lose my Illinois +4 bet. Whenever a game goes to OT, i always end up losing. Im not saying this just to say it either. Im dead serious. My luck in OT is unbelievably atrocious.. If the guy makes that friggen free throw, i cash either way. Now I get to watch PSU win by 7 in OT

This is the 5th game in 8 days I've been fukked by OT. None have gone my way.

[CDUBB_CW]

Favorites usually cover in OT

[iloseagain]

I will say it right now... I will lose my Illinois +4 bet. Whenever a game goes to OT, i always end up losing. Im not saying this just to say it either. Im dead serious. My luck in OT is unbelievably atrocious.. If the guy makes that friggen free throw, i cash either way. Now I get to watch PSU win by 7 in OT

[iloseagain]

This is the 5th game in 8 days I've been fukked by OT. None have gone my way.

oh shit i didnt even realize u were on illinois too..

[QuantumLeap]

Favorites usually cover in OT

I was thinking the same thing, especially favorites that are too good to be true.

This is just validation that I don't think I should be betting these games this time of year. As I've said before, bad teams have given up and teams that fight like Illinois oftentimes don't have it in them in the latter part of the game to cover.

Professional gamblers know there are different seasons to bet certain systems. To me, this part of the season is not the time to bet these and that's why I'll wait. Sometimes I get all caught up in the excitement of a team like Illinois doing well and then they get crushed in triple OT.

See you guys later. It's the time of the season for me to stop betting these.

[iloseagain]

got uni, 1h under 56.5 uni, game under 123 uni, NW ml in a parlay with uni/temple ml/indiana ml

[GreatWallofTrump]

got uni, 1h under 56.5 uni, game under 123 uni, NW ml in a parlay with uni/temple ml/indiana ml

Hope you cashed on the under. Easiest play of the day.

[drbellhead]

got uni, 1h under 56.5 uni, game under 123 uni, NW ml in a parlay with uni/temple ml/indiana ml

Man u love those ML parlays............good luck

[iloseagain]

PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
[840] NORTHWESTERN -235
[848] TOTAL u158½-110
(WISC MILWAUKEE vrs WISC GREEN BAY)
[851] NORTHERN IOWA -1-110
[852] TOTAL u123-110
(NORTHERN IOWA vrs EVANSVILLE)
[854] HOFSTRA -1½-105


i do ike the m parlays and i hit them alot so why not... this was another one i hit earlier.

[iloseagain]

do you see the amount of favorites covering today?

[drbellhead]

do you see the amount of favorites covering today?

yeah seems to be a lot of them...shit as long as ur hitting I would not change a thing...good luck

[iloseagain]

i have 2 more parlays with just purdue ml.. i had another one paying 10:1 but it has memphis grizz ml in it.. they are down 8 at home to phoenix with 2 min left haha.. cant win em all.. memphis was playing well too im shocked they lost this game

[QuantumLeap]

Evansville/northern Iowa under 124. Am I missing something? Both previous contests
have been under 114.

Final score:
56-54

[iloseagain]

QL look at northern illinois tomorrow against western michigan again... they are -5 again.. this is the same game and spread i made a post about like a week and a half ago cuz n illi looked wayyyy too TGTBT... This is insane the spread is the same..

EDIY: this one

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3227873-live-dog-here-w-michigan-4-5-a.html

they lost by 11 i think, but n illi was killing them by 20ish the whole game until the end... I really think the play here is W Mich 1h

[GreatWallofTrump]

QL look at northern illinois tomorrow against western michigan again... they are -5 again.. this is the same game and spread i made a post about like a week and a half ago cuz n illi looked wayyyy too TGTBT... This is insane the spread is the same..

EDIY: this one

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3227873-live-dog-here-w-michigan-4-5-a.html

they lost by 11 i think, but n illi was killing them by 20ish the whole game until the end... I really think the play here is W Mich 1h

Home team is 14-1 at home

[posey_mvp]

hey QL,

are you taking IPFW again today at -2.5?

[iloseagain]

Home team is 14-1 at home

its neutral isnt it...

[QuantumLeap]

hey QL,

are you taking IPFW again today at -2.5?

I didn't take them. They are playing North Dakota St which is a pretty good team even though they suck on the road. But I figured this is a road game for both teams so I stayed away.

I see IPFW is up big at half. Oh well.

[iloseagain]

QL look at northern illinois tomorrow against western michigan again... they are -5 again.. this is the same game and spread i made a post about like a week and a half ago cuz n illi looked wayyyy too TGTBT... This is insane the spread is the same..

EDIY: this one

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3227873-live-dog-here-w-michigan-4-5-a.html

they lost by 11 i think, but n illi was killing them by 20ish the whole game until the end... I really think the play here is W Mich 1h

WOW IPFW is losing now.. i didnt take them or anything but man that is a bad letdown by them

[QuantumLeap]

WOW IPFW is losing now.. i didnt take them or anything but man that is a bad letdown by them

That's why I left this one alone. Sometimes it's not just picking the winners but it's knowing when to lay off the losers.

[QuantumLeap]

This is the 5th game in 8 days I've been fukked by OT. None have gone my way.

Got another bet that goes to OT. This time I have the favorite (Hofstra).