Jeff Chi Town Picks!

[jeffchitown]

tough pill to swallow last night but i'm bouncing back hopefully today with my main pick of the day Harvard-10. They are at home and a much better team then cornell. Also cornell starter robert hatter doubtful tonight who is essentially their best player. He averages 19.9 PPG, 3.4 RBG and 4.1 APG. That means cornell matt morgan and darryl smith will have to pick up the slack. I'm locking in on this in the hope that the news is true. If for some reason he plays then yeah this is going to be a much tougher bet to win but even if he plays knowing he is doubtful he probably won't be at 100% tonight.

[Tony Williams]

how confident are we in this one jeff? Looks like he is pretty unlikely to play, but not ruled out

[inZane]

Good luck, Jeff. The only concern I have is the line dropping from -11 -115, to -10 -105.

I'm a Chicago native myself, born and raised at 87th and Crandon on the South Side, a block away from CVS, where Butkus went to HS.

[jeffchitown]

how confident are we in this one jeff? Looks like he is pretty unlikely to play, but not ruled out

I was confident but I just researched the columbia game cornell had where hatter was missing. They won by 11 but Columbia is better than Harvard slightly but also a different team style. Harvard is more a defense oriented team. I would imagine that may make it harder for these other cornell players to make up for not having hatter. I think harvard will still cover but I would either stay away or bet small on this. It is too late for me of course. I should of looked into Columbia more I thought for some reason at first this was going to be his first game out *hits head*.

[Tony Williams]

I was confident but I just researched the columbia game cornell had where hatter was missing. They won by 11 but Columbia is better than Harvard slightly but also a different team style. Harvard is more a defense oriented team. I would imagine that may make it harder for these other cornell players to make up for not having hatter. I think harvard will still cover but I would either stay away or bet small on this. It is too late for me of course. I should of looked into Columbia more I thought for some reason at first this was going to be his first game out *hits head*.

I was thinking same thing on Columbia game, but maybe Harvard will play them tough on D. Haven't watched Harvard much at all, gl

[BIGBOY88]

Tough lost

[BIGBOY88]

No
Play today??

[jeffchitown]

I like Texas State over 120 today!

[jeffchitown]

I also like St Marys ML +130
and JMU -6

[jeffchitown]

proof of what I played today.. i need these wins bad haha rough day yesterday with rutgers, omaha, asu under bet(DAMN OT) and clippers game.

[sway]

good luck, Jeff

[jeffchitown]

2-2 yesterday if you count toronto raptors in screenshot.. other wise 1-2 .. I decided to do some massive research today on the YALE GAME here you go!
Columbia +8
Columbia vs Yale BPI Ranking 111 (BPI 62) to 77 (BPI 69.3)


Strength of Schedule Rank
Columbia – 202 Yale - 159


Stadium Average Attendance: 1,228 capacity: 2,532 about 50% full.

Notable Recent Wins at home for Yale (8-0 at home)
Jan 30- 79 to 75 against Princeton (Opponent BPI 64.2 game bpi 78)
Jan 2 – 81 to 58 against Penn(Opponent BPI 35.1 game bpi 84)
Jan 6 – 83 to 65 against NJIT ( Opponent BPI 47.8 game bpi 89.1)

Columbia notable away wins: (5-4 away)
Jan 30– 55 to 54 against Harvard (Opponent BPI 51 game bpi 57.4)
Jan 29 – 77 to 60 against Dartmouth (Opponent BPI 39.9 game bpi 86.1)
Jan 23 – 79 to 68 against Cornell (Opponent BPI 43.5 game bpi 81.1) opponent missing key player


Columbia notable away losses:
Jan 2 – 69 to 60 against stony brook (Opponent BPI 70.9 game bpi 50.1) * columbia missing key player


Yale wins against teams close to Columbia BPI of 62
Jan 30- 79 to 75 against Princeton (Opponent BPI 64.2 game bpi 78)


Columbia wins against team close to Yale BPI of 69.3
None within 15 BPI points. Saint Joes in December was BPI 74.2 and they lost by 2. Stony brook (70.9) they lost by 9 but a key player missing.

Stats between teams
Yale
RPG: 41.28 (ranked 20)
Turnover margin: -1.3 (ranked 266)
Turnovers forced: ??? some reason not listed… interesting
Turnovers per game: 14.2 (ranked 287)
Free Throw %: 64.1 (ranked 322)
Field Goal %: 46.9 (ranked 46)
3 Point Defense: 32.2 (ranked 70)
3 Point per Game: 6.5 (ranked 220)
3 Point %: 36.4 (ranked 84)
Total Assists: 233 (ranked 280)
Scoring Defense: 63.9 (ranked 23)
Scoring Margin: 11.5 (ranked 32)
Scoring Offense: 75.4 (ranked 130)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 18.8 (ranked 124)
Offensive RPG: 14.72 (ranked 6)
Assists Per Game: 15.6 (ranked 63)
Steals Per Game: 6.4 (ranked 138)
Blocked Shots Per Game: 4.5 (ranked 66)


Columbia
RPG: 37.37 (ranked 135)
Turnover Margin: .2 (ranked 175)
Turnovers forced: 12.74 (ranked 201)
Turnovers per game: 12.6 (ranked 136)
Free Throw %: 72.9 (ranked 55)
Field Goal %: 45.0 (ranked 116)
3 Point Defense: 32.5 (ranked 96)
3 Point per game: 10.1 (ranked 10)
3 Point %: 38.4 (ranked 37)
Total Assists: 301 (ranked 96)
Scoring Defense: 69.2 (ranked 130)
Scoring Margin: 8.4 (ranked 65)
Scoring Offense: 77.6 (ranked 84)

relevant additional stats
Personal Fouls Per Game: 18.8 (ranked 128)
Offensive RPG: 11.21 (ranked 152)
Assists Per Game: 15.8 (ranked 56)
Steals Per Game: 5.9 (ranked 196)
Blocked Shots Per Game: 3.4 (ranked 181)


Player Matchups (1st player is yale 2^nd is Columbia):
makai mason 6-1 PPG 15.7 RPG 2.7 shooting 44%
vs
Maodo Lo 6-3 PPG 15.8 RPG 3.9 shooting 42.2%

Justin Sears 6-8 PPG 15.4 RPG 6.7 APG 3.0 BPG 1.6 shooting 52.5%
vs
Luke Petrasek 6-10 PPG 12.2 RPG 5.5 BPG 1.2 shooting 53.6%

Brandon Sherrod 6-6 PPG 11.3 RPG 7.6 APG 1.2 shooting 55.9%
vs
Alex Rosenberg 6-7 PPG 13.8 RPG 4.0 APG 2.1 shooting 43.3%

Jack Montague 6-1 PPG 9.4 RPG 2.5 APG 2.7 shooting 35.8%
vs
Grant Mullins 6-3 PPG 13 RPG 3.7 APG 3.1 shooting 46.4%

Nick Victor 6-5 PPG 7.5 RPG 6.8 BPG 1.4 shooting 52.2%
vs
**Could be Jeff Coby or Kyle Castlin
Jeff Coby 6-8 PPG 5 RPG 4.8 shooting 45.3%

Final Notes:
I kept looking over these stats and digging deeper into this game. I think Columbia covers the spread and here is why. In every player matchup Columbia is bigger on the floor then Yale. Columbia is more diversified then Yale who relies mostly on only two players. Columbia lost by 9 on the road to a team with slightly higher BPI then Yale but was missing Alex Rosenburg that game who gets about 13.8 PPG and 4.0 RPG. Yale beats margin defense by 3.1 points. Yale has great defense ranked 23 in the country where as Columbia is mediocre defense but has better offense then Yale ranked 84^th in the country. Columbia due to player matchup this game may help reduce the defense effectiveness of Yale by size alone in matchup per player. Yale gets into foul trouble we have a very good free throw shooting team in Columbia shooting 72.9% and 55^th in the country. The last three games Yale has gotten 23 to 24 fouls per game much higher than their season average of 18.8. Yale only beat Princeton by 4 points at home who has about the same BPI as Columbia. I think Columbia could even upset today. I’m going to predict Columbia win 76 to 74 in an upset.

[jeffchitown]

oh and i put the house on this game... degenerate gambler here lol!! I need to make up for some bad beats. Like texas state over yesterday they had 67 first half only needed 56 second half but slowest 2nd half ever! I was furious lol made some last minute bets on USC last night and cut my losses to down only about $100.

[sway]

Took the +8 with a bought .5 point. Good luck to us!

[jeffchitown]

Took the +8 with a bought .5 point. Good luck to us!

Yup!! I hope we win this! I really need some good luck to go my way finally. I just hope Columbia shows up to play.. I'm so tired of seeing teams show up and its like they'd rather the game be over instead of giving the game their all.

[jeffchitown]

Time to make or break the bank!! LETS GO COLUMBIA... psst please don't fail

[BIGBOY88]

Time to make or break the bank!! LETS GO COLUMBIA... psst please don't fail

agree..... lets goooo!!!!

[sway]

ugh