Lkid1's Plays

[Louisvillekid1]

4-0 on the leans too bud, nice work



nice day in NBA and overall

Lol don't you just hate going 4-0 on the leans haha

[Louisvillekid1]

Good work on Boise and mich st O btw

[funnyb25]

Lol don't you just hate going 4-0 on the leans haha

A wise guy once told me that its a good thing when your leans hit, hell, might even want to track them...

[Louisvillekid1]

A wise guy once told me that its a good thing when your leans hit, hell, might even want to track them...

very true my man

[cwnotorious]

That's a tough one, Scott off the win and Jordan not exactly in form.

course is so long, I really don't have a strong edge here, feels like a short line for the kid

I would lean speith here but not strong enough for a wager, i would expect scott to shoot well the first couple days and tail off as the weekend hits. Speith should be rested and ready for a solid week, his last tourney missed cut obviously shows he was not in top form but with rory playing and world ranking points up for grabs he should have enough motivation. Bol gents I am on Bill Haas -115 over kevin kisner 1st round today (5dimes)

[fooolforever]

I wouldn't bet against Scott right now. even the elite players get on heaters and Scott is clearly on a heater

what do you guys think about Spieth -115 over Scott (full tournament)?

[fooolforever]

Any other opinion on a first round matchup

[Louisvillekid1]

Golf R1

Kuch over Leishman 130/100

[Louisvillekid1]

Jordan is paired w/ Rory so you know he's gonna want to ball and has to start to build for the majors. But just a tough spot imo

[Louisvillekid1]

Early Play:

Big South Tourney in Blues Creek, NC

Presbyterian vs RadFord

Two of the slowest paced teams in the conference meet in the 2nd early game to kick off the Big South Tourney. The Blue Hose (10-19) on the year, won the first matchup in Clinton 69-68. Radford (16-14) doesn't foul at all, and Pres gets a big chunk of their points from the line.

I have the Highlanders w/ the edge here and winning by 6-10 so shouldn't be a ton of late game fouling either. Partner that w/ the fact that its very possible both teams come out tight in the opening round of the tourney, combined w/ already slow pace I don't see either team hitting the 70 mark.

I have it Radford 68-58 ish

Im Rolling w/ the u 140 for $200 to start day.

[Louisvillekid1]

NCAABB:

Play #2

Temple/SMU ML Par $200/$240

Smu last game home game of the season, more importantly Moore/Tolbert/Kennedy Last collegiate game. They aren't losing in Moody, I missed the move from 4.5 to 5.5 and it prob closes at 6, so the ML is a better option at this point.

Temple has big game against memphis that is crucial to the owls tourney hopes. Terrible matchup for the tigers here, as they should continue to struggle on the road. They only boast 1 road win on the year and that was against lowly UCF 97-86. Josh Paster already struggles to motivate and going into philly its going to make it even harder.

The owls have been solid all year, and its Decosey & Bond's Senior Night. The Owls only have 3 home losses on the year, to St Joes by 1, routed by Nova and Houston.

Clearly have a huge coaching edge here as well.

I normally wouldn't mind the laying the 4 but I was looking for something to pair SMU w/ and temple fell right into place

[Louisvillekid1]

Spent a few hours already on this huge card and those are those only 2 plays so far...

Looking like a short card tonight, but sometimes it just happens like that...

If I add anything I'll be sure to post it...

[GGGJR82]

Kid, wanted to get your thoughts on Houston(-135). Other than a game they let slip away at home against Temple, Houston has been playing good down the stretch... I have played the opposite side of Cinci a couple times this year and have great results. Wanted to see how you felt about Cinci @ Houston(-135) 3 unites

[Schweino]

I like Houston myself.

[iloseagain]

Lol don't you just hate going 4-0 on the leans haha

thats how it goes!

Good work on Boise and mich st O btw

wasnt me on boise, credit goes to jeffchitown! MSU was me though thank you

[iloseagain]

Kid, wanted to get your thoughts on Houston(-135). Other than a game they let slip away at home against Temple, Houston has been playing good down the stretch... I have played the opposite side of Cinci a couple times this year and have great results. Wanted to see how you felt about Cinci @ Houston(-135) 3 unites

Houston is +2 and +115 on the ML on my site.. Cinci is -135.. Do you have your numbers backwards?

[GGGJR82]

I don't know why I put Houston(-135)... Your right sorry about that.. Houston(1.5) was one of the plays I have been tracking this morning, was wondering your thoughts

[Louisvillekid1]

Strong lean on Houston, but wanted +3 for $200

If I can't get +3-115, Id prefer to Play Ml and reduce to $100

[GGGJR82]

I agree I would also like to get +3, I have a book so he doesn't send out lines until 45 mins before tip so I'm hopeing by then we can get good number.. Great play on VT last night I did not originally have that play until I checked your plays... Thanks!

[Louisvillekid1]

There it is ,

Play #3

Houston +3 $200

[Louisvillekid1]

Radford total in a free fall

[Louisvillekid1]

Sean Newcomb is making his debut this afternoon... Lots of hype around this young lefty and considering backing him today... Tigers got the big boys in the lineup today tho... Gotta pass but an interesting angle on some mlb EX

[Louisvillekid1]

Fukk it I'll stick to my guns for some small early action:

Braves -110 $60

[GGGJR82]

The way I play I stay away from double digit road favorites, but there is one play tonight that seems like a public play.. Ark lil Rock(-11) @ app state.. Typical First place team traveling to last place team and a lot of times that team gets over looked and they play a tight game or the number sneaks in late.. 27-3 they do have a couple decent road wins, and could possibly get to the tourney if they lost in the conference championship game, but a team with that type of season they are having I do not feel are taking any chances. Last conference game before the conference tourney starts, add some impressive wins down the stretch to impress the committee when it comes to seeding the tourney, could be the difference between a 14-15 seed to a 12-13 seed. Ark lil rock has a lot to play for, App state plays well early for senior night but in the end I think Ark lil rock has their way with App st. Feels like a big public play but another game I havent been able to talk myself out of even tho it is a game I would normally not give much thought to

[jeffchitown]

here is my picks
1 unit=$10
Rider -5 1u
Radford under 140 - 1u (thanks to louisvillekid)
Arizona -6 2u (thanks to iloseagain for the pick)
Temple -4.5 1u (Memphis U is not a very good road team I see temple winning this at home by 6+ if first half temple drops to -2 I'd take that as well keep an eye on the line)
Middle Ten -7 1u (Even without one of their starters middle Ten should pound florida atlantic.)
UAB -5 2u
UAB 1h -2.5 2.5u

So Carolina -6.5 1u (thanks to iloseagain for the pick)
Bucknell -13.5 2.5u

[Louisvillekid1]

Tough Call Appy St hasn't not covered that # @ home since January 9th and only twice have they failed to cover it all season.

They have 2 extra prep days for a game that's easy to get motivated for, having a shot to play the best team in the conference. On the flip side Arky Lil rock already locked up #1 seed.

Line just dropped to 9.5/10

I don't like Lil Rock personally

[Husker36]

Early Play:

Big South Tourney in Blues Creek, NC

Presbyterian vs RadFord

Two of the slowest paced teams in the conference meet in the 2nd early game to kick off the Big South Tourney. The Blue Hose (10-19) on the year, won the first matchup in Clinton 69-68. Radford (16-14) doesn't foul at all, and Pres gets a big chunk of their points from the line.

I have the Highlanders w/ the edge here and winning by 6-10 so shouldn't be a ton of late game fouling either. Partner that w/ the fact that its very possible both teams come out tight in the opening round of the tourney, combined w/ already slow pace I don't see either team hitting the 70 mark.

I have it Radford 68-58 ish

Im Rolling w/ the u 140 for $200 to start day.

I have 137 or 63.5 1st half. Thoughts on that?

[Louisvillekid1]

I have 137 or 63.5 1st half. Thoughts on that?

I still see value but have to reduce

Its a 2x play for me and Im a $100 per unit punter

I'd reduce and play a $60/$60 split, this will still get you value and a safer play with the ability to free roll if the 1h hits...

[Louisvillekid1]

Quick Recap:

Presbyterian/Radford u 140 $200
Temple/SMU Ml Par +120 $200
Houston +3 $200
Atlanta Braves -110 $60

[GGGJR82]

big card today not many plays.. Starting to talk myself into an obvious public play.. Thanks, I'll throw your plays on my ticket

[ATLIEN6]

I like it kid. Braves scare me..but thats only cause im a native.

[Schweino]

Braves put up 11 yesterday. I took the opposite and went with the Tigers. Cant see offense in Atlanta for two straight lol.

[Louisvillekid1]

Quick Recap:

Presbyterian/Radford u 140 $200
Temple/SMU Ml Par +120 $200
Houston +3 $200
Atlanta Braves -110 $60

Adding White Sox Ev $60

Gotta fade Kershaw here, his name is giving the value in the line. Im very high on the white sox this year, and LA this big of fav here is just laughable...

Dodgers hard enough to motivate in regular season, and Sox should be excited to face to Koufax

[posey_mvp]

hi kidd,

looks like total for Presbyterian/Radford is now 137. Would you still bet for under at 137?

thanks.

[Louisvillekid1]

see post 2443