Lkid1's Plays

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #23451
    Originally posted by 2Sweeet
    R u sober is the real ?
    Almost 2 years now, Sponsor a lot of guys and speak at rehabs a few times a month.

    life is great , sports betting has been through the roof with clear head, always could pick winners
    Comment
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143

      #23452
      Some afternoon action to scoreboard watch. Guess could track ncaabb here. WMU / Mich St 146 1x (DK) Both teams have been off for over a week, 10 days and 9 days respectively. Could lead to a slow start coming off the break. Was looking at 1h but landed on the game with the big spread. Neither team can hit a 3 If they life depended on it, which helps buts here are the keys. Both teams rebounding extremely well, so that edge for second chance points should be very minimal. Secondly , neither team turns the ball over at a high rate , nor force many. Which prevents fast break points. Lastly , and most importantly, Sparty scores a ridiculous 23% of their points from the line, and the Broncos don’t foul. To wrap it up, we should steal a few minutes late with a 27 point spread. Also, it should be noted that Mich St , has OSU on deck as they get back Into conference play. Just an early start in a bit of Sandwich game, this could be a 77-54 type of game which gives plenty to work with.
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #23453
        McNesse St 1h TT O36.5 -110 (Dk) 1xCowboys just played two days ago and I believe that’s an advantage Vs a team that’s been off 10 days. But on the court I this just screams blitzed. The Lions turnover rate is disgusting. 338th in league and besides Kam Burton their entire roster anywhere from 15-27% turnover rate. If you know will wade and McNeese this is what they do. They thrive off turnovers and will trap plenty which should lead to a bunch of fast break points. With this style of play, I could see McNeese in the bonus early, where they shoot it 72.8 % as a team. SE Louisiana already fouls quite a bit as it is. Can’t just focus on stats here , (not that they don’t look good for that play) but it’s actually favors the Cowboys much more due to playing the 44th toughest schedule vs the Lions 198th ( which isn’t completely horrible) but point is McNeese is better than they look on paper and the paper is pretty good. They may not lose again , not that it matters for this wager .
        Comment
        • Chiefs83
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-16
          • 2742

          #23454
          Tailed both…LouisvilleKid is a respected capper
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 36700

            #23455
            Originally posted by Chiefs83
            Tailed both…LouisvilleKid is a respected capper
            Guy came back a new man. Salud, Lkid.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #23456
              Loyola Marymount +8.5 -112 1x
              +8.5 / u150 +275 0.2x
              Coach Riley has done a great job in his first season so far @ Wazzou. Filled with tranfers they have come together quickly to produce 11-3 record. But things are starting to add up. Lost best player coward earlier in the month indefinitely ( 17.7 / 7 / 3,7) . The. Lost one of the watts ( not brothers ) before their last game (12.5/4.8) . On top of that they lost two minor bench recently as well. They wanna run and up down but I believe the lions could frustrate them If this becomes a half court game . Which I think it will. This is the Perfect spot where down 4 players could really show. They already had one of the lowest minutes played together in the country with new coach / new faces , likeMentioned earlier. The scary thing is Lo La Mary, hasn’t been good on the road so far. But they are an experienced team and should be able to cover this big number with defense .
              Comment
              • Louisvillekid1
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-17-07
                • 52143

                #23457
                Originally posted by Chiefs83
                Tailed both…LouisvilleKid is a respected capper
                Let’s get it
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #23458
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                  Guy came back a new man. Salud, Lkid.
                  Still around huh? Hope all is well, bro.
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 36700

                    #23459
                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                    Still around huh? Hope all is well, bro.
                    Hey, Lkid. Not playing like I used to.

                    But I have been posting plays in Cal Yr 2024. So far so good.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #23460
                      25 points in first 5 min of 2h is diabolical after 61 in the first 20 . Just was WMU explosive , still fine tho just tighter
                      Comment
                      • matt711
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-09-12
                        • 2282

                        #23461
                        Thanks LK, nice your doing well, thanks for the $150 winner!!!
                        Comment
                        • gauchojake
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-17-10
                          • 34103

                          #23462
                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                          Almost 2 years now, Sponsor a lot of guys and speak at rehabs a few times a month.

                          life is great , sports betting has been through the roof with clear head, always could pick winners
                          Good for you man. Keep it up. Don’t ever give up your seat.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #23463
                            Good capping on McNeese, literally said they were gonna blitz em. Bad bet, but cmon scoreless last 2.5 min
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #23464
                              1-2 -1.32x Not a good 2h from Lo La Mary, hindsight the under was stronger as they weren’t covering a high scoring game. Hence the correlation I tried. Get it back tomorrow.
                              Comment
                              • lesterdymond
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-25-11
                                • 2356

                                #23465
                                You gonna let me pick your brain with the horses ?

                                been waiting 5 years or so lol

                                let’s open a PP together L kid

                                we both know this is where the money is at
                                Last edited by lesterdymond; 12-31-24, 09:07 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #23466
                                  Originally posted by lesterdymond
                                  You gonna let me pick your brain with the horses ?

                                  been waiting 5 years or so lol

                                  let’s open a PP together L kid

                                  we both know this is where the money is at
                                  Man so much crazy shit going in that industry , STR has more knowledge than anyone down the horse racing
                                  forum. But sure I love talking horses.

                                  why I got to login in this thing every time?
                                  Comment
                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-17-07
                                    • 52143

                                    #23467
                                    Caulin Lacy O44.5 Rec Yds -114
                                    Caulin Lacy O4.5 Rec +118


                                    This kid is uber talented. He started of the year hurt and then had the yips with drops, really never got comfortable. Plus we had Jacory Brooks (opt out) who’s an NFL WR, & Chris Bell (Playing) who is a big time deep threat . Lacy gonna be a name you know next year with miller moss.


                                    Now this is gonna be the Issac Brown show, with a touch of Duke Watson, but with all this prep including 20 days since Tyler opted out, Brohm will design some shit. The QB fillin in Harrison Bailey is better than these lines giving credit for. He’s a big 6’5 who was top 100 recruit , played briefly for Tenny & Unlv.
                                    Plus he’s a Senior. Duece Adams may have a package in there, but that should be it. Isaac Brown is Super Star freshmen and I bet him too already. His success should lead to opening up
                                    Play action and I believe Brohm will feature Lacy.


                                    I bet 2x each , Because expecting atleast 2 short passes like screens or whatever to get qb settled which may or may not result in yards , but help the +$ reception .


                                    Only book that’s offering on my outs is weak ass Fan Duel.


                                    Caveat emptor , I am a Louisville die hard, so could be biased.


                                    Lmk if you tailing
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #23468
                                      It should be noted that, he opted out mid season to redshirt, but can play in this game without affecting it. He was the #1 WR in transfer portal from South Alabama
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #23469
                                        He’ll bring stability, firepower, and versatility to the receiver room without its go-to guy and should be a threat who can consistently get open against UW.
                                        Though Bailey and Lacy have played zero snaps together this season, I expect to see the star receiver be a focal point of Jeff Brohm’s offensive game plan. Be it via short screens, slants, or crosses over the middle of the field, expect a heavy dose of Lacy.
                                        Bailey has a strong arm and experience as a power four starter. Expect Louisville to try Lacy downfield early and often.
                                        It’s hard to miss as many games as Lacy did in 2024 and be impactful in a one game situation. There will be rust to shake off, but I see this as Lacy’s opportunity to claim the no. 1 receiver spot heading into 2025.
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #23470
                                          That last part isn’t my writing. It’s Louisville beat writer
                                          Comment
                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-17-07
                                            • 52143

                                            #23471
                                            It’s a boom or bust play. He either has 7 for 120 or 2 for 13 .
                                            So fukk it
                                            80+ / +350
                                            90+ / 470
                                            100+ / +630
                                            110 + / +860
                                            125 +’/ +1200
                                            0. 2x each
                                            layed it in, 5x
                                            Comment
                                            • Chiefs83
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-01-16
                                              • 2742

                                              #23472
                                              Tailed on the Louisville receiver
                                              Comment
                                              • MisterSack
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-16-19
                                                • 596

                                                #23473
                                                Nice TD
                                                Comment
                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                  • 52143

                                                  #23474
                                                  Originally posted by Chiefs83
                                                  Tailed on the Louisville receiver
                                                  Originally posted by MisterSack
                                                  Nice TD
                                                  Lacy and brown show!

                                                  let’s climb



                                                  <br>
                                                  <br>
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                    • 52143

                                                    #23475
                                                    These lines are priced badly imo , in UNLV / Air Force. This game is gonna be a straight 3 point shooting contest. Two of the better shooting team in country and they are ranked around 240th in defending the 3. Won’t be a fast pace but threes will dominate the scoring.

                                                    First off Dedan Thomas Jr is -160 to make a 3. He shoots 41% , doesn’t shoot a ton (16-39) and He’s covered this in 11/12 games this year. Julian Rishwain is -180 to make 2. He shoots 39.5% and covered this line 9/12 and he’s a gunner (30-76).

                                                    On Air Force side Ethan Taylor -125 to make 3. He’s a gunner 38-97 good for 39.2 %. He’s covered this line 7/12.

                                                    Not sure best way to bet it.

                                                    If you like a different a Dejuicer go ahead , I’m using Ravens TT O23.5 with all 3

                                                    That’s 0.6x each

                                                    Taylor is +125

                                                    Thomas is +103

                                                    Rishwain is -107

                                                    3 separate 0.6x parlays , kinda wierd but 2/3 atleast of this are hitting.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #23476
                                                      This is @ bet 365 btw
                                                      Comment
                                                      • packerd_00
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-22-13
                                                        • 17777

                                                        #23477
                                                        What's going on mate? been a few years.

                                                        Good to see you back.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #23478
                                                          How Lacy hasn’t cashed yet and has 2 touchdowns is really frustrating man, it would be a shame after featuring him to not finish .



                                                          Rishwain ✔️
                                                          Taylor and Thomas just need 1
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-17-07
                                                            • 52143

                                                            #23479
                                                            Originally posted by packerd_00
                                                            What's going on mate? been a few years.

                                                            Good to see you back.
                                                            hey buddy, good luck tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #23480
                                                              Thomas ✔️
                                                              Comment
                                                              • packerd_00
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-22-13
                                                                • 17777

                                                                #23481
                                                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                hey buddy, good luck tonight
                                                                Same to you mate.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #23482
                                                                  So many things had to go wrong to lose this Lacy play. E
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                                    • 52143

                                                                    #23483
                                                                    Taylor ✔️ cash those 3
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #23484
                                                                      Welp I went a lil heavier on Lacy, but really thought it was like 80% play. Get a nice score if Ravens score 24 Saturday after those 3 point parlays.I mean they 17.5 favs , so feel good about it.
                                                                      I got nothing left tonight personal , gonna work on tomorrows
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                                        • 52143

                                                                        #23485
                                                                        Passing today , happy new year
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...