Lkid1's Plays

funnyb25 · 05-19-16, 10:44 PM

4-2 Dodgers

mohye1980 · 05-20-16, 02:37 AM

One of you sharp ones in here should cap esports. I bet we could clean up. Lol

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 07:14 AM

Originally posted by chuckpicks298

A tack all them soccer games are Saturday correct?

Yes, I was looking over my notes from yesterday and I posted the Irish Cup games that are being played on Saturday going to go over today's games and see what I can find. It's odd tho some of the teams the premier teams are playing are small township teams that don't play in the any leagues so there's absolutely no info on these teams so I'm basing my tips here on previous Irish Cup games and for the most part the premier league teams put up a ton of goals except for a few teams who only put in one or two and park the bus.

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 07:43 AM

Ok so current line I'm getting g on AIK/Falken o2.5 Sweden League game tiday is -135 perfect I'm doubling down on this. So the 2u last night at -149 and now 2u's at -135 I don't see it getting much lower in fact I'm a bit surprised it got this low this early thought it might be here much closer to KO so lines might move back up get it in while you can

chuckpicks298 · 05-20-16, 08:06 AM

I got -155

Manny0825 · 05-20-16, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Ok so current line I'm getting g on AIK/Falken o2.5 Sweden League game tiday is -135 perfect I'm doubling down on this. So the 2u last night at -149 and now 2u's at -135 I don't see it getting much lower in fact I'm a bit surprised it got this low this early thought it might be here much closer to KO so lines might move back up get it in while you can

Wish i could join in the fun. My book only has o1.5 -500 and o3.5 +175. Might be able to live bet it.

Don West · 05-20-16, 08:21 AM

You're very confident about this? Would you rather take Both to score (-143) or O 3.5 (+175)? My book doesn't offer the 2.5 right now.

Louisvillekid1 · 05-20-16, 08:37 AM

Turn the page

can't get bases going

but we will here soon

Don West · 05-20-16, 08:41 AM

What do you all think about the Lightning tonight?

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by Don West

You're very confident about this? Would you rather take Both to score (-143) or O 3.5 (+175)? My book doesn't offer the 2.5 right now.

I capped this game at 4+ I normally only post bet lines I'm currently able to bet on so if my tip loses we all lose where as if I post a tip in which I'm not able to bet people who tail lose, if I do post a tip where I am unable to bet I make sure to disclose that I am not able to bet. Now at o3.5 it might be a pass, o2.5 has the highest % to win IMO. Both to score is also possible but I am only posting my most confident picks and not playing the board.

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 09:04 AM

I'm currently in the market for a new online book that accepts BTC just trying to find the right one(s) that work for me.

Don West · 05-20-16, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

I capped this game at 4+ I normally only post bet lines I'm currently able to bet on so if my tip loses we all lose where as if I post a tip in which I'm not able to bet people who tail lose, if I do post a tip where I am unable to bet I make sure to disclose that I am not able to bet. Now at o3.5 it might be a pass, o2.5 has the highest % to win IMO. Both to score is also possible but I am only posting my most confident picks and not playing the board.

Thanks for the feedback. I might take Both to score and parlay it with some bases or tennis favorite.

Louisvillekid1 · 05-20-16, 09:09 AM

Stack I'm in 300/200

base took all our weeks profit last night

im only posting winners to close week ..

Sweeping next 3 days

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 09:10 AM

Had some extra time this morning and didn't see much other than what I have posted today for foots so I took a look at baseball. I want to do a few weeks of mock picks to see where I'm at but I want to post picks here in order to track how I'm doing. Now these are NOT actual tips these are what I am seeing and what I am thinking outcomes could be.
NYM/MIL u7.5
Bos/Cle o9
Wash -131
Minn +114

CantTouchAyo · 05-20-16, 09:14 AM

tailing stockholm/falkensbergs over. hit -135 and then -130. thanks guys, gl

tigertom · 05-20-16, 09:14 AM

Heritage has o2.5 -130

Don West · 05-20-16, 09:16 AM

I would list the Yankees tonight as one of my leans. I know the best number is gone, but Sonny Gray is a loser.

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by tigertom

Heritage has o2.5 -130

Perfect get on it, just as I thought it would be just a bit earlier than I thought, I posted earlier that this may go back up to -145ish after noon

HeeluvaGuy · 05-20-16, 09:21 AM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Turn the page

can't get bases going

but we will here soon

I find baseball to be streakier than any other sport. Such a strange game sometimes. I loved NYY/OAK over and CWS over last night, but watching those games you would have thought a spider monkey made those picks.

Sometimes good picks lose and bad picks win. Just the way it goes.

ATLIEN6 · 05-20-16, 09:26 AM

I think i can agree when i say baseball makes no fuckin sense sometimes

amit patel · 05-20-16, 09:28 AM

Lkid you playing the over stack is .. Sweden league falk vs aik ??

Louisvillekid1 · 05-20-16, 09:32 AM

Yeah

ATLIEN6 · 05-20-16, 09:37 AM

Tennis play in 8 minutes, juiced af i would throw it in a large open parlay

Thiem -1.5

Swingman · 05-20-16, 09:56 AM

Bases broke me in half yesterday along with Toronto. Need a big 3 days, let me know what you guys got... I'm gonna do some research and find 1 or 2 baseball games I like.

ATLIEN6 · 05-20-16, 09:57 AM

Can anyone tell me shit about these 2 argentina games

River Plate OVER 2
Aldosivi OVER 2

SA

Rubio Nu OVER 2.5

funnyb25 · 05-20-16, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Ok so current line I'm getting g on AIK/Falken o2.5 Sweden League game tiday is -135 perfect I'm doubling down on this. So the 2u last night at -149 and now 2u's at -135 I don't see it getting much lower in fact I'm a bit surprised it got this low this early thought it might be here much closer to KO so lines might move back up get it in while you can

I'm in bud... 128 100

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 10:26 AM

Does anyone know if anyone is tracking MLB winners with closing lines at +150 or better?? I'm already starting to do so trying to maybe find a pattern or spots with high winning %'s. Just finished with COL and so far this season this season they have won 6 out 10 games on the road at closing line of +150 or better. Tonight they're playing PIT and right now I'm at +190, I am totally disregarding stats, players, hot/cold, and just looking at ML's I've only gone thru 7 teams so far one of the teams being ATL which is looking like it's going to be the curve. Not saying that this is a play but going to try and finish all teams at some point today.

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 10:43 AM

Went and looked at opposite dogs to PIT at home when PIT is -150 or worse at home 5-1 3 wins from series vs ATL and the only loss was ATL. Going to continue looking these up, but looks like game is a pass.

HeeluvaGuy · 05-20-16, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Went and looked at opposite dogs to PIT at home when PIT is -150 or worse at home 5-1 3 wins from series vs ATL and the only loss was ATL. Going to continue looking these up, but looks like game is a pass.

FYI, the Braves have now lost 25 of their 40 games by 2 or more runs. I've been fading them on the RL for +$ and have been doing quite well.

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

FYI, the Braves have now lost 25 of their 40 games by 2 or more runs. I've been fading them on the RL for +$ and have been doing quite well.

So 62%.....were all the RL's against ATL juiced? and was ATL's RL at +$? I wonder what made more $ fading or betting with if you always bet same amount. Today might be a good play +130 for Phil, -150 ATL

ATLIEN6 · 05-20-16, 11:08 AM

Betting on ATL you will lose money over the season 100% Trust me, peep the ATL in my username haha

ATLIEN6 · 05-20-16, 11:09 AM

There is no way we will have a 'worst to first' season like we did back in the 90s

chuckpicks298 · 05-20-16, 11:15 AM

Wowmy book just went up to -167

HeeluvaGuy · 05-20-16, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

So 62%.....were all the RL's against ATL juiced? and was ATL's RL at +$? I wonder what made more $ fading or betting with if you always bet same amount. Today might be a good play +130 for Phil, -150 ATL

Here are the RLs I had fading ATL since last Thursday (sorry, about the best I can do right now):

+130 W
+140 W
+115 W
+110 L
+135 W
+130 W
+120 L
+135 W

I usually grab these right when they come out the night before. Right now I have the Phillies at +150. Keep in mind, at a 62% win rate, you only need lines something like -150 or better to profit.

Stackzilla · 05-20-16, 11:17 AM

I know they do suck lol but I was curious to see if RL's on ATL was trending more profitable fading or betting ATL. Say all the games they've lost (25) RL are at -150 but all the games they won (15) are +150. That's just an example I know some runs are both juiced and some are only juiced one way.

Using the ex. betting on ATL RL im up +225 but betting against im up +166 thats betting $10 a/game