Lkid1's Plays

**mlb** · 04-30-16, 04:02 PM

Lkid - you probably been able to analyze these guys closer than I have - what's up with Archer - is he back, he had a nice start last time out, does he keep improving and get back to his top 5-7 starter potential?

**mlb** · 04-30-16, 04:03 PM

I'd love to fade Happ in the meantime as well.

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by mlb

yeah I was on Minney going against Zim, but imo Zimm is light years beyond Latos or trending in that direction for sure.

Advanced #'s tell you Latos comes back at some point, I hope it's tonight.

yea for sure, Zimm is a much better pitcher overall.. He is due for SOME regression, albeit maybe it will come in the form of like 3-4 runs over 6 innings.. Maybe not a blowout like 7 runs in 2 innings or something idk

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by mlb

Lkid - you probably been able to analyze these guys closer than I have - what's up with Archer - is he back, he had a nice start last time out, does he keep improving and get back to his top 5-7 starter potential?

i know this is directed at lkid but ill chime in. I think Archer pitches another VERy good game tonight. He started the season in a slump, and i think hes out of it now. Some pitchers start great, slump later. I just believe this season he started bad, and will be good going forward. Its just like hitters, some start hot and even out, and some start terrible and get hot.. Its all relative. LOVE the under in this one too, along with kid

Originally posted by mlb

I'd love to fade Happ in the meantime as well.

I dont advise fading Happ. He has been one of the best pitchers since he went to Pit last season and had his mechanics fixed. This is no fluke that he is pitching so well this year. Dont think it is a fluke. He keeps the ball down and doesnt strike out a lot, but doesnt give up big hits.

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 04:08 PM

i think this toronto game sees 4-5 runs tops tonight

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-30-16, 04:15 PM

-$419 on day

lets close strong

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 04:59 PM

Conforto HR damn this kid is nice

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-30-16, 06:15 PM

Dammit , we in some trouble here

**twestacott** · 04-30-16, 06:19 PM

We need Os Sox and Spurs to bail us out tonight

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-30-16, 06:38 PM

I think we gonna come out ahead by end of day, just the losses came early

**funnyb25** · 04-30-16, 06:41 PM

its tough to watch porcello pitch...kinda look away as he delivers..lol

**twestacott** · 04-30-16, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

I think we gonna come out ahead by end of day, just the losses came early

Yeah still early to start panicking. We are up pretty good on the week as well so I am not concerned.

**funnyb25** · 04-30-16, 06:53 PM

hate when they hold runners at 3rd with 2 out...next guy always gets retired

**funnyb25** · 04-30-16, 06:54 PM

next guy alaways comes through!! R Sox!

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 07:16 PM

Not watching game cuz i was at dinner but wtf everyone complaining about lol? Porcello has 3 ip 2h 0bb.. What am i missing?

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 07:17 PM

Yall sound like he's given up 8 runners in 3 innings.. Unless u talkin about a diff game

**funnyb25** · 04-30-16, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Yall sound like he's given up 8 runners in 3 innings.. Unless u talkin about a diff game

It has nothing to do with the scoreboard..lol...his form is atrocious

**funnyb25** · 04-30-16, 07:30 PM

GONEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE Schoooooooooooop

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

It has nothing to do with the scoreboard..lol...his form is atrocious

haha fair enough.. I mean hes actually been LEGIT besides 2 pitches this year. Gave up two 2-run shots to batista and besides that, has looked like a 20m/year pitcher no matter what anyone wants to say. And i swear im not being a red sox homer. This is true. ERA down to 3.14 now. WHIP under 1. 11-12k/9.. Legit stuff so far. Funny cuz hes not a strikeout pitcher

**i70/i25 kid** · 04-30-16, 08:05 PM

Can't get any worse for OKC right? +19 worth a unit?

**donkeykong** · 04-30-16, 08:11 PM

Shit, you came into my thread and said nice job. I had no idea who you were at that time. Now that I see this thread it was a major compliment. This thread and your picks rule.

**dvb02** · 04-30-16, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Soccer (EPL)
watford -150 $100 Win
west ham -105 $100 Win
new castle -110 $60 Win
Everton draw +250 $30 Loss
Sunderland +130 $60 Loss

Soccer (italy)
udinese -110 $60 Loss

Soccer (Germany)
Leverkeusen -175 $100 (ties lose)

Soccer (Columbia)
millionaire ev $300

Mlb
twins +120 $200
bo sox -129 $200
cards -141 $300
o's -159 $300
Sea u7.5 -120 $100
Tor u 7.5 -115 $100

NBA
spurs -6 -115 (b +1/2) $200

parlay
spurs ml/mets ml (list degrom) +105 $100

+$104 on day

we are all cleaned up

bump

**sandman624** · 04-30-16, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

I think we gonna come out ahead by end of day, just the losses came early

Any ny thought on the Manchester United game in the morning

**$HungrySS** · 04-30-16, 10:31 PM

Gotta like Leicester or the draw on this one. Small bet on each.
+285 Leiscester
+230 Draw

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 11:03 PM

Nice call on spurs. Wire to wire was never close. Love it. GL tomorrow

**sandman624** · 04-30-16, 11:28 PM

Nice. I ended up taking leiscester +.5 at -115
thanks for input

**iloseagain** · 04-30-16, 11:51 PM

nice hit on sea u7!!! great pick man

**Louisvillekid1** · 05-01-16, 08:47 AM

B2b brutal days

-$497 yesterday

+$1734 on week

crazy thing is , as bad as it was yesterday if o's won we woulda profited

kris Davis came through in b8 and then abreu with the dagger in t9

we will get it back, still way up on week

**Louisvillekid1** · 05-01-16, 08:50 AM

Adjustment time

gonna tighten down units until we get hott again

it's only 2 days losing but they thing that separtes long term winners is the ability to adjust timing ...

Going to 60/100/200 format

lower risk for a lil

**Louisvillekid1** · 05-01-16, 08:57 AM

You have to re evaluate your self constantly , I don't understand how cappers keep same unit all year

you press when hott, and pull back when cold... It throws those 55% in the trash

maximize profit / minimize risk

Let's close our week on a positive note

**chaseman** · 05-01-16, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Adjustment time

gonna tighten down units until we get hott again

it's only 2 days losing but they thing that separtes long term winners is the ability to adjust timing ...

Going to 60/100/200 format

lower risk for a lil

Completely agree with that sentiment. Many people would go larger to try and compensate for losses. Gotta stay patient. I think a lot of us have had a rough few days in MLB - it's a long season and there are days when no amount of capping can predict the craziness that ensues. Things will settle down though... BOL, friend.

**tcarn01** · 05-01-16, 09:13 AM

Keep it up kid.

**$HungrySS** · 05-01-16, 09:50 AM

Big long write up and then can't connect to Internet so here we go again.

Not liking a lot of bases picks today but leanin towards O's, Cards and Brew.

Sale has to lose sooner or later and after keeping it close last night, I'm hoping O's get the win.

Great pitching matchup in Cards game. If Cards can get bats going off Scherzer, Martinez can get his 5th win. Down 2 in series.

Peralta got his 1st win last Sunday in a similar matchup against Philly. Kept it close last night and again down 2.

Favs today though are Cubs and Dodgers with Kershaw on the mound and down 2.

**$HungrySS** · 05-01-16, 09:59 AM

Leiscester draw.

**Shark** · 05-01-16, 10:42 AM

Your thoughts on the nba series prices we have. Heat -150 to win 200. And pacers +290 200 wins 580. I understand your Indy play is free rolled but I missed that so I'm looking to hedge today.

Here are my thoughts. Play Charlotte +220 136 wins 300. That way if Charlotte wins we are even but if heat win like I think then we still prof 64.

For pacers. Line looks to be coming down. -245 for me on tor ml. Play 2.45*220=539. Indy is 2.9*2=580. Prof 41 if pacers hit and 20 if raps hit.

Anything you would do differently? Could wait out a few more cents on raps ml?