Lkid1's Plays

[John Deere]

no prob.

I have:

over 2.5 +173 for 250
under 2.5 -120 for 250

I'm "freerolling" the over now.

If it stays under 2.5 I will lose 250 and win 250 - net $0
If it goes over 2.5 I will win (250 * 1.73 = 433) and lose (250 *1.2 = 300) - netting 133

break even or free money.

It was also possible to take the money right away 133/2 without any risk of not making 0$

[Stackzilla]

no prob.

I have:

over 2.5 +173 for 250
under 2.5 -120 for 250

I'm "freerolling" the over now.

If it stays under 2.5 I will lose 250 and win 250 - net $0
If it goes over 2.5 I will win (250 * 1.73 = 433) and lose (250 *1.2 = 300) - netting 133

break even or free money.

BOL! Nice Catch

[mlb]

It was also possible to take the money right away 133/2 without any risk of not making 0$

yup - but since I already bet the over 2 in my thread before noticing this I figured I might as well max out on value over the over. If it goes under, I don't lose anything besides my initial over 2 play.

[Stackzilla]

Just locked in: ATL PK +124 $20 Draw +203 $10 1h u1/2 +135 $10 1hDraw -110 $20. BOL everyone

[mlb]

BOL! Nice Catch

thanks man

[Capybara]

What game is this for?

They're talking about today's Champions' League soccer match, Bayern Munich vs. Atletico Madrid.

I had to look it up too.

[Da Phoenix]

Not sure how your book goes but mine if the line is wrong it counts as a no bet especially if odds are way off which you could get screwed.

[twestacott]

Surprised with all the soccer action we have in here lately that we dont have anybody on MLS. With its limited popularity compared to Euro soccer I would think the books probably leave some value on the board due to the small amount of risk because of limited action. Again I dont know shit about capping soccer so I might be just talking out of my ass here.

[Louisvillekid1]

At the casino today so won't me posting much, when post plays when I make em

[Louisvillekid1]

Surprised with all the soccer action we have in here lately that we dont have anybody on MLS. With its limited popularity compared to Euro soccer I would think the books probably leave some value on the board due to the small amount of risk because of limited action. Again I dont know shit about capping soccer so I might be just talking out of my ass here.

you make a good point but I don't follow mls

maybe I should start

[mlb]

Surprised with all the soccer action we have in here lately that we dont have anybody on MLS. With its limited popularity compared to Euro soccer I would think the books probably leave some value on the board due to the small amount of risk because of limited action. Again I dont know shit about capping soccer so I might be just talking out of my ass here.

I have an MLS thread in the soccer subforum - up over 24 units in MLS this year haha

[Joe Sharp]

Tonight's MLS plays are....

New England Revolution
NYFC/Montreal Over


I do pretty well in MLS but the following posters post good plays regularly:

Mlb
000
cogiditopapa

[Stackzilla]

you make a good point but I don't follow mls

maybe I should start

I tried a few years ago but it's really hit or miss I follow a few teams and been to a few Orlando City games but its tough capping

[Stackzilla]

I have an MLS thread in the soccer subforum - up over 24 units in MLS this year haha

guess it's not so tough. congrats gonna have to check it out

[mlb]

Not sure how your book goes but mine if the line is wrong it counts as a no bet especially if odds are way off which you could get screwed.

this is how my book and most books go, however I legitimately thought this was their line, because the juice wasn't out of line... turns out you are right and I am screwed.... need the over 2.5 now

[twestacott]

I have an MLS thread in the soccer subforum - up over 24 units in MLS this year haha

Nice..... might have to try tailing a few matches for a small play and see what happens

[mlb]

Nice..... might have to try tailing a few matches for a small play and see what happens

no guarantees on future success obviously as this is my first full year following and playing it, but I have a pretty good feel for it most weeks so far... I would think lines were even softer years passed, but I cannot speak to this.

[mlb]

guess it's not so tough. congrats gonna have to check it out

thanks - think its just a relatively lucky run right now with some fortunate variance through 8 weeks, but we'll see.

[Stackzilla]

no guarantees on future success obviously as this is my first full year following and playing it, but I have a pretty good feel for it most weeks so far... I would think lines were even softer years passed, but I cannot speak to this.

I was picking a few years ago and couldn't really get a hold on trends cuz they're weren't any lol every night was literally a coin flip, I'd hit fav's a lot but no luck with dogs.

[Stackzilla]

With the lastest new I'm slamming 1h u another $20, ATL PK $20, and u2 $20 BOL

[mlb]

With the lastest new I'm slamming 1h u another $20, ATL PK $20, and u2 $20 BOL

yeah my plays are in trouble with this lineup announcement.

[twestacott]

no guarantees on future success obviously as this is my first full year following and playing it, but I have a pretty good feel for it most weeks so far... I would think lines were even softer years passed, but I cannot speak to this.

Fully understand..... hence the odd small play to feel it out for myself.

[Stackzilla]

much better game to watch today. congrats who bet 1h over. both are hitting the net hard.

[twestacott]

Really trying to convince myself to fade Jake Arrieta off the no hitter with the crazy lines we are getting. Just so hard with the way the Cubs are playing and how dominant Arrieta has looked in all of his starts this year.

[Louisvillekid1]

Champ league 2h u1 ev $100

[Louisvillekid1]

Clips 1h +115 $100

[Stackzilla]

Really trying to convince myself to fade Jake Arrieta off the no hitter with the crazy lines we are getting. Just so hard with the way the Cubs are playing and how dominant Arrieta has looked in all of his starts this year.

Was thinking same was gonna fade him big bet a,b,c style til he loses

[Stackzilla]

as long as +200 or better

[Louisvillekid1]

MLB	STRAIGHT BET [912] ARI D’BACKS -119 ( WAINWRIGHT-R / P CORBIN -L )	119 / 100
Ticket#:63593045 Apr 27 08:45 PM	INTERNET / -1	Apr 27 04:06 PM	SOC	STRAIGHT BET [26915] CLUB NACIONAL DRAW +190 (90 MINUTES + INJURY TIME ONLY)	200 / 380

[Louisvillekid1]

Mlb

twins/Indians u8 -115 $100

[Louisvillekid1]

Clean up request?

[Jayvegas420]

Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3-1 in Indians last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 38-17-1 in Indians last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 13-4 in Twins last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Besides the over in the Islanders game, this under is my pick of the night. GOOD LUCK.

[Louisvillekid1]

Kenneland r8
$20 WP #10
$5 Ex Box 6,9,10


$70 play

[Stackzilla]

I got u Kid gimme a sec

[Stackzilla]

MLB: Dbacks -119 list $100 MIN/CLE u8 $100 NBA CLIPS 1H +115 $10 COPA LIBERTADORES :CLUB NACIONAL DRAW $200 Kenneland r8 $20 WP #10 $5 Ex Box 6,9,10 $70 PLay