December 16 leans

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • THam12
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-12-13
    • 12640

    #1
    December 16 leans
    Alright...
    I like Tennessee. They get FAU on the second leg of a back to back road trip... Which is weird in college?
    Tennessee has as much fire power as EKU did and actually play a little defense.
    Their tired legs should be a disadvantage against this team.
    I think I like 1st half and full game.
  • THam12
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-12-13
    • 12640

    #2
    I love this south Dakota St team this year.
    Senior lead.
    Share the ball and execute on offense. I don't think anything about Texas tech is going to scare them either.
    Seems like too many pts.
    Comment
    • THam12
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-12-13
      • 12640

      #3
      St marys has dismantled any team who has stepped onto their home floor.
      And I think it continues tonight.
      Marys is 5-0 ATS in last 5 home games and 11-4 ATS against the big sky conf.
      Southern Utah is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 non conf games, 0-4 ATS in last 4 games and 0-4 ATS against a team with a winning record
      Comment
      • Toledo Ed
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-04-10
        • 728

        #4
        All those stats you posted for St Mary's is honestly meaningless in the cap. Stop using that info. It's doesn't tell you anything about the team. If you are going to use numbers you need to be using kenpom numbers and betting percentages. Bol
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #5
          I like the card tonight, but on mobile so can't type much...

          hopefully i I have time later ...

          gl hammer
          Comment
          • THam12
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-12-13
            • 12640

            #6
            Originally posted by Toledo Ed
            All those stats you posted for St Mary's is honestly meaningless in the cap. Stop using that info. It's doesn't tell you anything about the team. If you are going to use numbers you need to be using kenpom numbers and betting percentages. Bol
            Doesn't mean anything in the cap, I know this.
            But I like to see trends. especially when a team is dominant at home or they perform well against a certain conference. Which both of those numbers that I listed tell me that.

            And I use kenpom. Thanks.
            Comment
            • goldust
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-29-15
              • 861

              #7
              Liking the Jackrabbits play a lot. Almost seems like they know the public will bet against such a lesser name school, so they keep making them underdogs against bigger names.
              Comment
              • Louisvillekid1
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-17-07
                • 52143

                #8
                Originally posted by goldust
                Liking the Jackrabbits play a lot. Almost seems like they know the public will bet against such a lesser name school, so they keep making them underdogs against bigger names.
                Public is and will be on sd state
                Comment
                • Toledo Ed
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-04-10
                  • 728

                  #9
                  Originally posted by THam12
                  Doesn't mean anything in the cap, I know this.
                  But I like to see trends. especially when a team is dominant at home or they perform well against a certain conference. Which both of those numbers that I listed tell me that.

                  And I use kenpom. Thanks.
                  Bol. I just haven't looked at info like that since I was young and lacking info. I assume you also have blue ribbon yearbook at your side then to assist you. Trends are for media and talking heads. Not suggesting that you are either of those. This is there final tune up game before they start conf play. I expect them to work on whatever they feel needs to be addressed and to just win the game. Maybe by margin but it won't be a priority to. I passed on game but spot doesn't line up for stm play in my opinion. That said southern defense is horrid
                  Comment
                  • THam12
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-12-13
                    • 12640

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Toledo Ed
                    Bol. I just haven't looked at info like that since I was young and lacking info. I assume you also have blue ribbon yearbook at your side then to assist you. Trends are for media and talking heads. Not suggesting that you are either of those. This is there final tune up game before they start conf play. I expect them to work on whatever they feel needs to be addressed and to just win the game. Maybe by margin but it won't be a priority to. I passed on game but spot doesn't line up for stm play in my opinion. That said southern defense is horrid
                    I just love St marys offense. Execute to a T and shoot great percentages. I think that they'd have to really let up to not cover 20
                    Comment
                    • THam12
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-12-13
                      • 12640

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                      Public is and will be on sd state
                      Yes and yes.
                      Comment
                      • Toledo Ed
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-04-10
                        • 728

                        #12
                        And they may crush them. The fact that you feel they run there offense well is actual valid insight. Way better than those silly trend numbers. Our discussion has strengthened this thread hahaha. I love it when other question my leans as I want perspective with meaning.

                        I took Richmond -4 -120 and osu ov135. Totals are not my strength but I follow big ten and Mac the most and feel this number was a few points too low. If you have any thought please critique them. I don't want to highjack your thread so pm me if you have and opinions.

                        Bol
                        Comment
                        • THam12
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-12-13
                          • 12640

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Toledo Ed
                          And they may crush them. The fact that you feel they run there offense well is actual valid insight. Way better than those silly trend numbers. Our discussion has strengthened this thread hahaha. I love it when other question my leans as I want perspective with meaning.

                          I took Richmond -4 -120 and osu ov135. Totals are not my strength but I follow big ten and Mac the most and feel this number was a few points too low. If you have any thought please critique them. I don't want to highjack your thread so pm me if you have and opinions.

                          Bol
                          I don't mind anyone jumping in with leans and reasoning! No problem man!
                          Comment
                          • goldust
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-29-15
                            • 861

                            #14
                            Does ASU getting 7 @UNLV seem a little high?
                            Comment
                            • THam12
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-12-13
                              • 12640

                              #15
                              Originally posted by goldust
                              Does ASU getting 7 @UNLV seem a little high?
                              Yes but worries me
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #16
                                Well I thought/ still think unlv dictates pace and scores 75 +, line was moving in that direction as it would obv favor unlv, but the total just got steamed...

                                doesn't change my thoughts on the game as I took over for a unit but obv terrible line now...

                                just a 1x, so let's see
                                Comment
                                • PaperTrail07
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-29-08
                                  • 20423

                                  #17
                                  Lke Ohio State over 135 myself....seem to have high #'s when they win and the #'s are going that firection....osu prob cover too...
                                  Comment
                                  • DOM_Toretto
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-28-13
                                    • 9035

                                    #18
                                    Florida state to cover? Much better team, can run up scores at home too
                                    Comment
                                    • KidSeoul
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-27-05
                                      • 1203

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Toledo Ed
                                      And they may crush them. The fact that you feel they run there offense well is actual valid insight. Way better than those silly trend numbers. Our discussion has strengthened this thread hahaha. I love it when other question my leans as I want perspective with meaning.

                                      I took Richmond -4 -120 and osu ov135. Totals are not my strength but I follow big ten and Mac the most and feel this number was a few points too low. If you have any thought please critique them. I don't want to highjack your thread so pm me if you have and opinions.

                                      Bol
                                      Hey Toledo, how come you don't post your NCAA plays? Seems like you have a lot to offer the SBR community.
                                      Comment
                                      Search
                                      Collapse
                                      SBR Contests
                                      Collapse
                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                      Collapse
                                      Working...