Wazzu/Idaho u137

[HeeluvaGuy]

I don't usually start threads and I definitely don't start threads about specific plays, but this one is interesting. Some background:

Since 2001 Idaho has played its home games in the same weird building that its football team plays in (they put up curtains to make it a basketball arena). Over that period, these two rivals have never played a game in the Kibbie Done/Cowan Spectrum over 137 (133 is the highest they've gotten). The average total in this rivalry in this building is 114.7.

During that same span, these teams have only gone over 137 three times in all games played. The running average since 2001 is 122.6.

Idaho has played three home games this year against D-I opponents and is averaging just 60 ppg in those matchups.

Washington St's core group were all freshmen the last time they played at Idaho and didn't log a lot of time (I.e., they're unfamiliar with the building).

This is Wazzu's first road game of the season.

Wazzu has a capable defense, particularly in the shot blocking area.

Idaho ranks near the bottom of the nation in possessions per game (and just played USC to a 129 point total at SC).

So yeah, I like the under in this one. GL!

[theLegend9101]

This is the kind of capping I like to stumble on. Nice work.

[DOM_Toretto]

Nice work, I like your logic.

I was thinking WSU here to cover the spread and now I like the under too

[goldust]

Liking this pick. Gonna bet it.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Well fellas, it looks like others don't share my views. Line is now up to 139.

[DOM_Toretto]

Well fellas, it looks like others don't share my views. Line is now up to 139.

And my book still isn't offering totals yet today

[HeeluvaGuy]

And my book still isn't offering totals yet today

I've also noticed that 5Dimes isn't offering a lot of totals with reduced juice. Only 2 of the 6 games today have reduced juice. Maybe it has always been that way, but I don't remember it.

[jtoler]

Hope it hits for you, but I hear alot of people talking totals this year and referring to previous years when we have a new shot clock, more possessions and more points. Doesnt mean it still wont go under 137, but you need to relate it to other things and not previous years when there was a longer shot clock.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Hope it hits for you, but I hear alot of people talking totals this year and referring to previous years when we have a new shot clock, more possessions and more points. Doesnt mean it still wont go under 137, but you need to relate it to other things and not previous years when there was a longer shot clock.

Fair point, and good advice. Full disclosure: I have this one at 127 based in this year's numbers only. Idaho is atrocious on offense.

The last total I posted on this forum was the under in the Houston/URI game earlier this week. Link: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-basketball-betting/3190983-some-thoughts-december-8-a.html#post24943895

[goldust]

Damn, wish I got that better number. Watch it fall on 138.

[THam12]

Looked good at first... But not so much now.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Idaho with a ridiculous 1.22 points per possession in the first half. That's better than the highest offensive efficiency rating in the nation. So that'll be the last of these threads...

[goldust]

No worries. I put your HOU/URI total on a parlay before. Like your writeups.

[killawookie]

Can't imagine they start playing any D.. both teams bring back benched 2 foul starters and go all out again.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Gotta laugh sometimes. Idaho is #324 in offensive efficiency at .938 points per possession.