Thursday's Thoughts

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Thursday's Thoughts
    I'll be adding to this more and feel free to chime in.

    This one stands out

    Ohio St is going to be too much for VCU. I hate to say it cuz you know how much I love shaka but they did a great job rallying around each other after the loss of weber to win their conference tourney. 4 games in 4 days against 3 post season teams.

    In that tourney they press wasn't the reason for their success. Its almost not even there anymore. The games where half court grinds and they simply won due to red hot 3 point shooting from melvin johnson and others. Also mo allie - cox was a monster on the offensive glass.

    Well they showed gut, grit, and heart to win in the style they do not want to play, but guess what thats exactly how Ohio St wants to play. Ohio St Avg Defensive possession length is 19.9 seconds good the 9th longest in the country. (342/351 teams). VCU is 19 seconds good for 284 longest so you can see the grind this will be ESPECIALLY since both teams take care of the ball extremely well. They are both near the top in turnover margin and both force a ton, its how they get out for easy buckets in transition, while wearing you down with defense.

    VCU is going to need another red hot shooting performance to advance here and I don't think that's going to happen.

    Really there is nothing that VCU does better than Ohio St, both are terrible from the line.

    Traveon Graham worries me as he is one of the toughest matchup in the nation but he has a banged up ankle and hasn't been able to go B2B in practice in a few weeks, while he just toughed it out 4 games in 4 days. so that's gotta be a factor.

    I just don't see vcu executing well enough in the half court to win this game.

    EDIT:

    Everyone picking Wofford to upset Arky, I think they roll. So I'm gonna bet it like this.

    So three wagers so far

    1x Ohio St -4
    1x Arky -7.5
    Ml parlay 1x arky/ohio st
  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #2
    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
    I'll be adding to this more and feel free to chime in.

    This one stands out

    Ohio St is going to be too much for VCU. I hate to say it cuz you know how much I love shaka but they did a great job rallying around each other after the loss of weber to win their conference tourney. 4 games in 4 days against 3 post season teams.

    In that tourney they press wasn't the reason for their success. Its almost not even there anymore. The games where half court grinds and they simply won due to red hot 3 point shooting from melvin johnson and others. Also mo allie - cox was a monster on the offensive glass.

    Well they showed gut, grit, and heart to win in the style they do not want to play, but guess what thats exactly how Ohio St wants to play. Ohio St Avg Defensive possession length is 19.9 seconds good the 9th longest in the country. (342/351 teams). VCU is 19 seconds good for 284 longest so you can see the grind this will be ESPECIALLY since both teams take care of the ball extremely well. They are both near the top in turnover margin and both force a ton, its how they get out for easy buckets in transition, while wearing you down with defense.

    VCU is going to need another red hot shooting performance to advance here and I don't think that's going to happen.

    Really there is nothing that VCU does better than Ohio St, both are terrible from the line.

    Traveon Graham worries me as he is one of the toughest matchup in the nation but he has a banged up ankle and hasn't been able to go B2B in practice in a few weeks, while he just toughed it out 4 games in 4 days. so that's gotta be a factor.

    I just don't see vcu executing well enough in the half court to win this game.

    EDIT:

    Everyone picking Wofford to upset Arky, I think they roll. So I'm gonna bet it like this.

    So three wagers so far

    1x Ohio St -4
    1x Arky -7.5
    Ml parlay 1x arky/ohio st
    Lol not everyone, only WizzleClown but Southern teams are 12-4 ATS in the tourney thanks to Davidson and Wofford. Although A rated conf vs D should be a no brainer.
    Comment
    • dwatersalec
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-08-10
      • 372

      #3
      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
      I'll be adding to this more and feel free to chime in.

      This one stands out

      Ohio St is going to be too much for VCU. I hate to say it cuz you know how much I love shaka but they did a great job rallying around each other after the loss of weber to win their conference tourney. 4 games in 4 days against 3 post season teams.

      In that tourney they press wasn't the reason for their success. Its almost not even there anymore. The games where half court grinds and they simply won due to red hot 3 point shooting from melvin johnson and others. Also mo allie - cox was a monster on the offensive glass.

      Well they showed gut, grit, and heart to win in the style they do not want to play, but guess what thats exactly how Ohio St wants to play. Ohio St Avg Defensive possession length is 19.9 seconds good the 9th longest in the country. (342/351 teams). VCU is 19 seconds good for 284 longest so you can see the grind this will be ESPECIALLY since both teams take care of the ball extremely well. They are both near the top in turnover margin and both force a ton, its how they get out for easy buckets in transition, while wearing you down with defense.

      VCU is going to need another red hot shooting performance to advance here and I don't think that's going to happen.

      Really there is nothing that VCU does better than Ohio St, both are terrible from the line.

      Traveon Graham worries me as he is one of the toughest matchup in the nation but he has a banged up ankle and hasn't been able to go B2B in practice in a few weeks, while he just toughed it out 4 games in 4 days. so that's gotta be a factor.

      I just don't see vcu executing well enough in the half court to win this game.

      EDIT:

      Everyone picking Wofford to upset Arky, I think they roll. So I'm gonna bet it like this.

      So three wagers so far

      1x Ohio St -4
      1x Arky -7.5
      Ml parlay 1x arky/ohio st
      With your comments regarding length of time of opponent possessions, would you consider a play on the under?
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #4
        Yes I do think this is an under game and will most likely be on it. I'm just not very good w/ totals on neutral sites..
        Comment
        • PaperTrail07
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-29-08
          • 20423

          #5
          Ohio State has nothing besides DR...he scores 30+ they win....if not...Loss....
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #6
            I'm done capping finally first round ...


            Here it is:


            Arky -7.5 $200
            Ohio st -4 $200
            Arky/Ohio st ml par $200 EV
            Unc -10 $100
            Nc st -2.5 $60
            Purdue pk $60
            UAB +14.5 $60
            Uva -16.5 $500
            Uga +5.5 $60
            New mex st +10.5 $40
            Uni -6 $500
            Zaga -18 $300

            im up big currently and it's the dance so I increaed , in reality you should decrease your units after conf tourney...

            1x =$200 roughly per my conf play/conf tournament units...

            I increased cuz I'm not a pro...

            and good luck

            Comment
            • GT21Megatron
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-20-13
              • 10818

              #7
              VCU seems to play way better when a dog especially on a neutral floor....They go their swag back and could be a dangerous team to deal with
              Comment
              • V4Value
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-01-13
                • 368

                #8
                Lkid, u got 5x on UVA being one of two biggest play?? or "typo'ed 0.5x" lol
                Comment
                • Regul8er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-06-07
                  • 10666

                  #9
                  Man, Gonzaga scares the piss out of me. Especially seeing what South Dakota St did to COlorado St last night.......and knowing that NDSU beat SDSU on their home court to win the Summit League.

                  I did not expect the line to be -18
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #10
                    Originally posted by V4Value
                    Lkid, u got 5x on UVA being one of two biggest play?? or "typo'ed 0.5x" lol
                    No typo...

                    Like I said Im betting more cuz im up and its tourney lol (prob dumb)

                    UVA UNI Zaga are true 2x's plays for me
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Regul8er
                      Man, Gonzaga scares the piss out of me. Especially seeing what South Dakota St did to COlorado St last night.......and knowing that NDSU beat SDSU on their home court to win the Summit League.

                      I did not expect the line to be -18
                      I hear ya, but I think they make a statement...

                      Colorado St packed it in, but SDST did look good
                      Comment
                      • RRed8925
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-18-15
                        • 74

                        #12
                        Good Luck
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                          I'm done capping finally first round ...


                          Here it is:


                          Arky -7.5 $200
                          Ohio st -4 $200
                          Arky/Ohio st ml par $200 EV
                          Unc -10 $100
                          Nc st -2.5 $60
                          Purdue pk $60
                          UAB +14.5 $60
                          Uva -16.5 $500
                          Uga +5.5 $60
                          New mex st +10.5 $40
                          Uni -6 $500
                          Zaga -18 $300

                          im up big currently and it's the dance so I increaed , in reality you should decrease your units after conf tourney...

                          1x =$200 roughly per my conf play/conf tournament units...

                          I increased cuz I'm not a pro...

                          and good luck

                          Changed my mind 375/300 Cincy ML
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Ticket#:34617442
                            Mar 19 07:30 PM
                            INTERNET / -1 Mar 19 05:39 PM CBB STRAIGHT BET
                            [742] NORTHWESTERN ST -135
                            675 / 500
                            Ticket#:34617449
                            Mar 19 07:30 PM
                            INTERNET / -1 Mar 19 05:40 PM CBB STRAIGHT BET
                            [742] NORTHWESTERN ST -2½-105
                            525 / 500

                            Heres the play nobody talking about...

                            Best offense nobody knows about, woodley and west going off tonight. They should hit 87-92
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              Lost 3 games since Jan 20 and all 3 to SFA

                              This line should be 6/7
                              Comment
                              Search
                              Collapse
                              SBR Contests
                              Collapse
                              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                              Collapse
                              Working...