help i need advice from the wisest of the wise here

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  • stingyrivers
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-08
    • 1240

    #1
    help i need advice from the wisest of the wise here
    hi guys....

    got myself in a spot....

    memphis losing straight up caused a series of actions on my part, and the result is:

    i essentially have 80% of my bankroll riding on

    Lville
    UNC

    ML Parlay


    i still have 20% of my bankroll as available balance


    what should i do????

    any way to hedge this in a worth while way?

    or is there some other strong play tonight i can use the 20% on seperate from Lville, Unc... in order to have a small safety net?


    all suggestions welcome, and great thanks in advance
  • WOODCHIP
    Restricted User
    • 03-21-09
    • 82

    #2
    Take syracuse and buy 3 points. Cuse +4 = MONEY
    Comment
    • mcbaseball10
      SBR MVP
      • 02-11-09
      • 2866

      #3
      Great idea woodchip, hedge with a game that he didn't pick in his original bet
      Comment
      • G's pks
        Restricted User
        • 01-01-09
        • 22251

        #4
        Pray for the light of day... Why put yourself in this position...hopefully you win... But did you see how close Xavier came to cleaning out several degenerates bankrolls yesterday? It can happen... I have my fingers crossed for you GL... G.
        Comment
        • mcbaseball10
          SBR MVP
          • 02-11-09
          • 2866

          #5
          Take a look at betting Gonz. and Ariz. ML individually.
          Comment
          • mcbaseball10
            SBR MVP
            • 02-11-09
            • 2866

            #6
            But personally, if you placed 80% on that you must feel pretty confident. I wouldn't touch it unless you need that money.
            Comment
            • DennisT
              SBR MVP
              • 03-11-09
              • 2024

              #7
              stingyrivers

              Forget bying points. That rout is madness. You said your bankroll is hurting. Why waste it. Forget the zags. Take other two on M.L. and parlay them. You should be O.K.
              Comment
              • isotopes
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-04-08
                • 654

                #8
                take a deep breath, grab a drink and enjoy the games. I think your ml Parlay is pretty safe, you should probably just let it ride without hedging it, while I think the ACC stinks, UNC isn't going to pull a Duke tonight
                Comment
                • DennisT
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-11-09
                  • 2024

                  #9
                  isotopes

                  Your probably right. Awfully hard to argue with your logic.
                  Comment
                  • stingyrivers
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-15-08
                    • 1240

                    #10
                    thanks guys...

                    i do think Lville and Unc win straight up here so im probably good, but this late in the tourney you never know....

                    Pitino is 8-0 in the sweet sixteen and in the sweet sixteen 1 seeds v. 12 seeds are 15-0 in the history of the tourney, so history is on my side in that one at least
                    Comment
                    • BetterBetter
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-18-09
                      • 542

                      #11
                      UNC is by far the cream of the crop in the ACC they can't really be compared with Duke. And Wake Forest was a young team that didn't handle their first trip to the tourney well. If they had another try right now I believe they make it to the Sweet 16 at the very least. ACC is nowhere near Big East but it is still near the top and definately stronger than the West Coast.

                      UNC 3-0 against Sweet 16 teams
                      Gonzaga 0-3 against Sweet 16 teams
                      Comment
                      • DennisT
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-11-09
                        • 2024

                        #12
                        stingyrivers

                        You will be O.K. Made the same play. We rock tonight!
                        Comment
                        • Machine Choice
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-12-08
                          • 3997

                          #13
                          Originally posted by stingyrivers
                          hi guys....

                          got myself in a spot....

                          memphis losing straight up caused a series of actions on my part, and the result is:

                          i essentially have 80% of my bankroll riding on

                          Lville
                          UNC

                          ML Parlay


                          i still have 20% of my bankroll as available balance


                          what should i do????

                          any way to hedge this in a worth while way?

                          or is there some other strong play tonight i can use the 20% on seperate from Lville, Unc... in order to have a small safety net?


                          all suggestions welcome, and great thanks in advance

                          According to The Greek, the juice on your ML parlay is -204. You bet 80% of your bankroll to earn back less than half your wager. I hope it hits, but the ruin-to-reward ratio seems off. Good luck.
                          Comment
                          • stingyrivers
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-15-08
                            • 1240

                            #14
                            wrong.... that's why i said essentially


                            i didnt play a Lville/Unc ML

                            i played several ML parlays with Lville and Unc as the last two legs....

                            essentially for what i laid down, i am getting the last two legs of Lville and Unc for about even money

                            all the other parts of the 6 parlays already won between weds and thurs nite, i should have been more clear, but for simplicity sake i just boiled it down as what i actually have left at the moment... essentially a ML parlay on Lville/Unc
                            Comment
                            • DennisT
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-11-09
                              • 2024

                              #15
                              Machine Choice

                              Your third play should be Mich.St. Do you not think.Thanks.
                              Comment
                              • Machine Choice
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-12-08
                                • 3997

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DennisT
                                Your third play should be Mich.St. Do you not think.Thanks.
                                I got what I wanted last night: Syracuse +1 and Kansas +1.5
                                Comment
                                • stingyrivers
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-15-08
                                  • 1240

                                  #17
                                  i got the big play on Lville/Unc already mentioned i got cuse in a medium play aleady

                                  was thinking of the Kansas game, but i am actually torn 50/50 on capping that game.... tough game to pick, really depends on which teams show up at the tip
                                  Comment
                                  • Ralphie1412
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-08
                                    • 13963

                                    #18
                                    people who chase with parlays is retarded. "oh shit im down a lot, oh well nothing that a 6 teamer wont cure"
                                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                    Goat Milk
                                    Comment
                                    • stingyrivers
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-15-08
                                      • 1240

                                      #19
                                      never mind kill this thread, many are not understanding what i did for whatever reason

                                      i did not chase with a parlay
                                      Comment
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